Alexander Zverev and Lorenzo Musetti will square off in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:30 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.35
Lorenzo Musetti -> 3.44
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Lorenzo Musetti
There is no head to head record between Alexander Zverev and Lorenzo Musetti since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Alexander Zverev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-4 | 9-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 71-21 | 31-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), the German reached the 3rd round after beating Marin Cilic 4-6 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Cilic, Alexander recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-4). During the match, Zverev scored 94 points vs Cilic’s 83. Zverev was extremely aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Regarding the service games, Zverev struck 11 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alexander Zverev lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Zverev put 78% of his first serves in, winning 77% (53/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. Alexander broke Cilic 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Zverev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 67% of his matches (395-194). 6-2 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Zverev has an aggregate 134-63 record in the last years on clay.
The German’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Montpellier.
The German has an overall 18-7 win-loss record in 2022, 6-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Lorenzo Musetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-2 | 3-2 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 63, Musetti reached the 3rd round after beating Yoshihito Nishioka 7-5 6-3, Alejandro Moro Canas 5-7 7-5 6-2, Ilya Ivashka 2-6 6-3 7-5 and Sebastian Korda 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Korda (6-4 6-3). During the match Musetti scored 72 points vs Korda’s 58. Lorenzo was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Musetti scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 62% of his first serves in, winning 70% (26/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Korda 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Musetti started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Italian has a composed 16-11 win-loss record in 2022, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zverev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 101 |
| Pts | 94-83 | 344-308 |
| Total Points | 177 | 652 |
| Winners | 53 | 150 |
| %Winners | 56% | 44% |
Zverev played 1 match while Musetti competed in 4 matches. Musetti started his run from the qualifications while Zverev had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexander Zverev surrendered 1 set, while Lorenzo Musetti surrendered 2 sets. Zverev has played 7 set(s) less than Musetti (3 vs 10). Therefore, Zverev played 71 games less than Musetti. Zverev scored 53 winners (56% of the total points). On the other side, Lorenzo fired 150 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zverev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 69/89 | 224/323 |
| %1st in | 78% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 53/69 | 150/224 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 9/20 | 52/99 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 53% |
Zverev made 11 aces . Musetti scored 6 aces (1.5 per match). Zverev won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zverev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 18 |
| Converted | 3/9 | 18/37 |
| % Converted | 33% | 49% |
| Conceded | 8 | 26 |
| Saved | 6 | 15 |
| % Saved | 75% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 11 |
The German broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Musetti broke his opponents 18 times with a 49% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.
| Zverev | |||
| R2 Cilic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 94-83 | 94-83 | |
| Total points | 177 | 177 | |
| Winners | 53 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 56% | 56% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 69/89 | 69/89 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 53/69 | 53/69 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/20 | 9/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Musetti | ||||||
| Q1 Nishioka |
Q3 Moro |
R1 Ivashka |
R2 Korda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 5-7 7-5 6-2 | 2-6 6-3 7-5 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 32 | 29 | 19 | 101 | |
| pts | 71-58 | 114-104 | 87-88 | 72-58 | 344-308 | |
| Total points | 129 | 218 | 175 | 130 | 652 | |
| Winners | 27 | 53 | 44 | 26 | 150 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 46% | 51% | 36% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 43/63 | 75/104 | 69/96 | 37/60 | 224/323 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 72% | 72% | 62% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 27/43 | 53/75 | 44/69 | 26/37 | 150/224 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 71% | 64% | 70% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 16/29 | 14/27 | 11/23 | 52/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | 52% | 48% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 4/16 | 4/6 | 5/8 | 18/37 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 25% | 67% | 63% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 6/8 | 5/9 | 4/6 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 75% | 56% | 67% | 198% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLWLWW
WLWWLW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Casper RuudRuud (7-67 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-4 4-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- David GoffinGoffin – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-3 5-7 7-62) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Lucas PouillePouille (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Cristian GarinGarin (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – John IsnerIsner (6-4 6-75 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Marin CilicCilic (4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Jack DraperDraper (2-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Andy MurrayMurray – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-1 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- David GoffinGoffin – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Lucas PouillePouille (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Cristian GarinGarin (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – David GoffinGoffin (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Andy MurrayMurray (25-11) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Dusan LajovicLajovic (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Daniel EvansEvans (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
