Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur will square off in the 2nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 9:00 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 3 sets.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.56
Alex De Minaur -> 2.49
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Alex De Minaur
This will be the 4th time that Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Sinner won 7-6(3) 6-3 6-4 in the 4th round in at the Australian Open back in January 2022.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur – Australian Open 24-January-2022
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 58-6 | 24-3 | 11-2 | 15-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, the Italian reached the 2nd round after beating Tommy Paul 6-74 7-64 6-3.
In the 1st round against Paul, Sinner recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 7-64 6-3). During the match, Sinner scored 120 points vs Paul’s 109. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner recorded 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was very efficient on serve to win 72% (46/64) of his 1st serve and 66% (29/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Italian broke Paul 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Sinner has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 68% of his matches (182-86). 4-1 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has a compiled55-30 record in the last 5 years on clay.
Jannik has an overall 20-4 win-loss record in 2022, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 56-24 | 30-11 | 10-5 | 13-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, the Australian got to the 2nd round after defeating Pedro Martinez Portero 7-62 1-6 6-3.
In the 1st round, Alex defeated Martinez Portero (7-62 1-6 6-3).During the match De Minaur scored less points (2) than Martinez Portero. In fact, the world no. 12 won 98 points vs Martinez Portero’s. That means that De Minaur was more focused during the important points. The Australian was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, De Minaur fired 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alex De Minaur lost the serve 5 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 56% of his first serves in, winning 66% (38/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (19/45) on the 2nd serve. Alex broke Martinez Portero 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Alex’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Barcelona.
Alex has a composed 17-8 win-loss record in 2022, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 35 | 29 |
| Pts | 120-109 | 98-100 |
| Total Points | 229 | 198 |
| Winners | 46 | 38 |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% |
Both Sinner and De Minaur played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner conceded 1 set, while Alex De Minaur lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sinner and De Minaur have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Sinner played 6 games more than De Minaur. Sinner scored 46 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, De Minaur bagged 38 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 6 |
| 1st in | 64/108 | 58/103 |
| %1st in | 59% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 46/64 | 38/58 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 29/44 | 19/45 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 42% |
Sinner bagged 8 aces . De Minaur managed to score 6 aces . Sinner won 72% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 66% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/11 | 4/7 |
| % Converted | 27% | 57% |
| Conceded | 4 | 17 |
| Saved | 2 | 12 |
| % Saved | 50% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
The Italian broke his opponent 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. Sinner surrendered his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Alex broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. De Minaur conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | |||
| R1 Paul | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 7-64 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 35 | |
| pts | 120-109 | 120-109 | |
| Total points | 229 | 229 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 64/108 | 64/108 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 46/64 | 46/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 29/44 | 29/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 66% | 66% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 3/11 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| De Minaur | |||
| R1 Martinez Portero | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 1-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 98-100 | 98-100 | |
| Total points | 198 | 198 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 58/103 | 58/103 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 38/58 | 38/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/45 | 19/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 17 | 17 | |
| Saved | 12/17 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andy MurrayMurray – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-1 3-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Gael MonfilsMonfils (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrey RublevRublev – Jack DraperDraper (2-6 6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Andy MurrayMurray (25-11) – H2H and prediction
- Marin CilicCilic – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-6) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel EvansEvans – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- David GoffinGoffin – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Casper RuudRuud (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lucas PouillePouille – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – John IsnerIsner (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Christian GarinGarin (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (1-1) – H2H and prediction