Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur will square off in the 2nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 9:00 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.56
Alex De Minaur -> 2.49

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Alex De Minaur

This will be the 4th time that Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Sinner won 7-6(3) 6-3 6-4 in the 4th round in at the Australian Open back in January 2022.

Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur – Australian Open 24-January-2022

Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
2
High
1
WWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 58-6 24-3 11-2 15-0 8-1 0-0
2024 73-8 40-5 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0

Ranked no. 12, the Italian reached the 2nd round after beating Tommy Paul 6-74 7-64 6-3.

In the 1st round against Paul, Sinner recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 7-64 6-3). During the match, Sinner scored 120 points vs Paul’s 109. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sinner recorded 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was very efficient on serve to win 72% (46/64) of his 1st serve and 66% (29/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Italian broke Paul 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).

Sinner has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 68% of his matches (182-86). 4-1 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has a compiled55-30 record in the last 5 years on clay.

Jannik has an overall 20-4 win-loss record in 2022, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Madrid
Sinner's Record

Alex De Minaur

Alex De Minaur

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
7
High
6
LWLLLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 56-24 30-11 10-5 13-6 3-2 0-0
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 22, the Australian got to the 2nd round after defeating Pedro Martinez Portero 7-62 1-6 6-3.

In the 1st round, Alex defeated Martinez Portero (7-62 1-6 6-3).During the match De Minaur scored less points (2) than Martinez Portero. In fact, the world no. 12 won 98 points vs Martinez Portero’s. That means that De Minaur was more focused during the important points. The Australian was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, De Minaur fired 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alex De Minaur lost the serve 5 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 56% of his first serves in, winning 66% (38/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (19/45) on the 2nd serve. Alex broke Martinez Portero 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Alex’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Barcelona.

Alex has a composed 17-8 win-loss record in 2022, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See his history.

Madrid
De Minaur's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

J.Sinner
A.De Minaur
3h:00
3h:00
Time on court​
2h:44
2h:44
!
3h:00
3h:00
Last match​
!
2h:44
2h:44
1
1
Match played
1
1
35
35
Games Played​
29
29
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
120
120
Total points​
98
98
120
120
Avg point​
98
98
46
46
Winners
38
38
46
46
Avg Winners​
38
38
38%
38%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
6
6
8
8
Avg Aces
6
6
3
3
Double Faults
1
1
3
3
Avg Double Faults
1
1
46/64
46/64
1st won total​
38/58
38/58
!
72%
72%
1st won %
66%
66%
29/44
29/44
2nd won total​
19/45
19/45
!
66%
66%
2nd won %
42%
42%
-- Break Points --
3/11
3/11
BP won
4/7
4/7
3/11
3/11
Avg BP won
4/7
4/7
!
27%
27%
Won
!
57%
57%
4
4
Conceded
17
17
4
4
Avg Conceded
17
17
2
2
Broken
5
5
2
2
Avg Broken
!
5
5
2
2
Saved
12
12

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sinner De Minaur
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 35 29
Pts 120-109 98-100
Total Points 229 198
Winners 46 38
%Winners 38% 39%

Both Sinner and De Minaur played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner conceded 1 set, while Alex De Minaur lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sinner and De Minaur have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Sinner played 6 games more than De Minaur. Sinner scored 46 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, De Minaur bagged 38 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sinner De Minaur
Aces 8 6
Avg per match 8 6
1st in 64/108 58/103
%1st in 59% 56%
1st pts 46/64 38/58
%1st pts 72% 66%
2nd pts 29/44 19/45
%2nd pts 66% 42%

Sinner bagged 8 aces . De Minaur managed to score 6 aces . Sinner won 72% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 66% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sinner De Minaur
Won 3 4
Converted 3/11 4/7
% Converted 27% 57%
Conceded 4 17
Saved 2 12
% Saved 50% 71%
Times Broken 2 5

The Italian broke his opponent 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. Sinner surrendered his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Alex broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. De Minaur conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
R1
Paul
Total
Score 6-74 7-64 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 35 35
pts 120-109 120-109
Total points 229 229
Winners 46 46
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 8 8
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 64/108 64/108
% 1st in 59% 59%
1st pts 46/64 46/64
% 1st pts 72% 72%
2nd pts 29/44 29/44
% 2nd pts 66% 66%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/11 3/11
Converted % 27% 27%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 2/4 2
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 2 2
De Minaur
R1
Martinez Portero
Total
Score 7-62 1-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 29 29
pts 98-100 98-100
Total points 198 198
Winners 38 38
%Winners 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 58/103 58/103
% 1st in 56% 56%
1st pts 38/58 38/58
% 1st pts 66% 66%
2nd pts 19/45 19/45
% 2nd pts 42% 42%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/7 4/7
Converted % 57% 57%
Conceded 17 17
Saved 12/17 12
Saved % 71% 71%
Times Broken 5 5

Tennis Scores in Madrid

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