Emma Raducanu and Anhelina Kalinina will play each other in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 8:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Anhelina Kalinina who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Anhelina Kalinina is the pick to win this match.
Anhelina Kalinina -> 1.76
Emma Raducanu -> 2.16

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Prediction and head to head Emma Raducanu vs. Anhelina Kalinina

There is no head to head record between Emma Raducanu and Anhelina Kalinina since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Emma Raducanu

Emma Raducanu

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
29
High
10
LLLWLWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 28-22 17-14 6-4 0-1 5-3 0-0
2024 23-13 9-8 4-2 3-0 7-3 0-0
2023 5-5 5-4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 17-19 10-11 6-5 0-1 1-2 0-0
2021 25-9 18-4 0-0 2-2 5-3 0-0

Ranked no. 11 (career-high), the Brit got to the 3rd round after beating Tereza Martincova 7-63 6-0 and Marta Kostyuk 6-2 6-1.

In the 2nd round, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Kostyuk (6-2 6-1). During the match, Raducanu scored 62 points vs Kostyuk’s 35. The Brit was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Regarding the service games, Raducanu scored just 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault. Emma Raducanu was pretty efficient on serve to win 89% (24/27) of her 1st serve and 63% (5/8) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Emma broke Kostyuk 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Raducanu hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 60% of the points she played.

Raducanu has a fantastic match record in the last 6 years having won 72% of her matches (83-32). 5-2 on clay in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Raducanu has a compiled5-2 record in the last 6 years on clay.

Raducanu has an aggregate 7-7 win-loss record in 2022, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

The Brit has never competed in this tournament before.

Madrid
Raducanu's Record

Anhelina Kalinina

Anhelina Kalinina

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
157
High
25
LLWLWLLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 9-13 5-7 2-4 2-2 0-0 0-0
2024 22-24 8-14 10-7 0-0 4-3 0-0
2023 29-25 18-16 5-4 3-1 3-4 0-0
2022 34-22 8-10 8-5 13-3 5-4 0-0
2021 47-15 5-6 31-4 9-3 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 37, Kalinina got to the 3rd round after defeating Sloane Stephens 7-5 6-4 and Garbine Muguruza 6-3 6-0.

In the 2nd round, Anhelina had a good straight sets win against Muguruza (6-3 6-0). During the match Kalinina scored 62 points vs Muguruza’s 42. Kalinina was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Kalinina blasted 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Anhelina Kalinina conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 6 break points. Furthermore, Kalinina put 67% of her first serves in, winning 74% (31/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. Kalinina broke Muguruza 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Anhelina hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Kalinina has a compiled 10-7 win-loss record in 2022, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Madrid
Kalinina's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Raducanu
A.Kalinina
2h:40
2h:40
Time on court​
2h:55
2h:55
1h:04
1h:04
Last match​
1h:21
1h:21
2
2
Match played
2
2
34
34
Games Played​
37
37
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
136
136
Total points​
133
133
68
68
Avg point​
66.5
66.5
60
60
Winners
65
65
30
30
Avg Winners​
32.5
32.5
44%
44%
Ratio winners
49%
49%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
5
5
1.5
1.5
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
4
4
Double Faults
7
7
2
2
Avg Double Faults
3.5
3.5
60/82
60/82
1st won total​
65/95
65/95
!
73%
73%
1st won %
68%
68%
15/27
15/27
2nd won total​
16/37
16/37
56%
56%
2nd won %
43%
43%
-- Break Points --
9/16
9/16
BP won
9/17
9/17
4.5/8
4.5/8
Avg BP won
4.5/8.5
4.5/8.5
!
56%
56%
Won
!
53%
53%
7
7
Conceded
11
11
3.5
3.5
Avg Conceded
5.5
5.5
1
1
Broken
3
3
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
6
6
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Raducanu Kalinina
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 34 37
Pts 136-92 133-105
Total Points 228 238
Winners 60 65
%Winners 44% 49%

Both Raducanu and Kalinina played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Raducanu and Kalinina have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Raducanu played 3 games less than Kalinina. Raducanu scored 60 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Anhelina bagged 65 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve Raducanu Kalinina
Aces 3 5
Avg per match 1.5 2.5
1st in 82/109 95/132
%1st in 75% 72%
1st pts 60/82 65/95
%1st pts 73% 68%
2nd pts 15/27 16/37
%2nd pts 56% 43%

Raducanu scored 3 aces (1.5 per match). Kalinina managed to score 5 aces (2.5 per match). Raducanu won 73% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Kalinina won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Raducanu Kalinina
Won 9 9
Converted 9/16 9/17
% Converted 56% 53%
Conceded 7 11
Saved 6 8
% Saved 86% 73%
Times Broken 1 3

Raducanu broke her opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. Raducanu surrendered her serve once and she saved 86% of the break points that she conceded. Anhelina broke her opponents 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. Anhelina conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.

Raducanu
R1
Martincova
R2
Kostyuk
Total
Score 7-63 6-0 6-2 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 15 34
pts 74-57 62-35 136-92
Total points 131 97 228
Winners 36 24 60
%Winners 49% 39% 44%
SERVE
Aces 2 1 3
Double Faults 3 1 4
1st in 55/74 27/35 82/109
% 1st in 74% 77% 75%
1st pts 36/55 24/27 60/82
% 1st pts 65% 89% 73%
2nd pts 10/19 5/8 15/27
% 2nd pts 53% 63% 56%
Breaks
Won 4 5 9
Converted 4/4 5/12 9/16
Converted % 100% 42% 56%
Conceded 7 0 7
Saved 6/7 0/0 6
Saved % 86% 43%
Times Broken 1 0 1
Kalinina
R1
Stephens
R2
Muguruza
Total
Score 7-5 6-4 6-3 6-0
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 22 15 37
pts 71-63 62-42 133-105
Total points 134 104 238
Winners 34 31 65
%Winners 48% 50% 49%
SERVE
Aces 1 4 5
Double Faults 3 4 7
1st in 53/69 42/63 95/132
% 1st in 77% 67% 72%
1st pts 34/53 31/42 65/95
% 1st pts 64% 74% 68%
2nd pts 6/16 10/21 16/37
% 2nd pts 38% 48% 43%
Breaks
Won 5 4 9
Converted 5/9 4/8 9/17
Converted % 56% 50% 53%
Conceded 5 6 11
Saved 2/5 6/6 8
Saved % 40% 100% 70%
Times Broken 3 0 3

Tennis Scores in Madrid

Upcoming matches in the draw