Kaichi Uchida and Lucas Gerch will face off in the qualifications of the Prague 2 Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 10:30 am on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lucas Gerch who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lucas Gerch is the pick to win this match.
Lucas Gerch -> 1.444
Kaichi Uchida -> 2.69
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Prediction and head to head Kaichi Uchida vs. Lucas Gerch
This will be the 4th time that Kaichi Uchida and Lucas Gerch square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Gerch (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Gerch won 4-6 7-6(4) 6-2 in the 1st round in M25 Cancun back in February 2022.
Kaichi Uchida
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47-31 | 39-21 | 0-3 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2024 | 42-30 | 18-22 | 16-6 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-33 | 4-18 | 3-10 | 9-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-34 | 24-23 | 8-5 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-26 | 27-13 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 281, Uchida got to the qualifications after beating Matthew William Donald 6-2 6-0.
In the qualifications, Kaichi had a good straight sets win against William Donald (6-2 6-0). During the match, Uchida scored 54 points vs William Donald’s 29. Kaichi was pretty aggressive to blast 12 winners.
Talking about the service games, Uchida scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Kaichi Uchida was quite effective on serve to win 75% (12/16) of his 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Kaichi broke William Donald 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).
Uchida has a positive record in the last 10 years having won 52% of his matches (305-282). 1-1 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Uchida has an aggregate 101-77 match record in the last years on clay.
Uchida’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in M25 Loule.
Kaichi has a composed 7-10 win-loss record in 2022, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Prague 2 Challenger
The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.
Lucas Gerch
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-17 | 6-4 | 20-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-23 | 0-2 | 35-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2023 | 32-20 | 2-2 | 26-14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-29 | 11-3 | 36-20 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-27 | 8-8 | 20-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 364 (career-high), Gerch got to the qualifications after defeating Otto Virtanen 5-7 6-3 6-1.
In the qualifications against Virtanen, The German recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 6-1). During the match Gerch scored 108 points vs Virtanen’s 97. The German was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, Gerch recorded 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Lucas Gerch lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Gerch put 60% of his first serves in, winning 63% (35/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (17/38) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Virtanen 7 times after converting 35% of his break points (7/20).
Lucas’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Cancun.
Lucas has an aggregate 21-9 win-loss record in 2022, 8-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Uchida | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 14 | 28 |
| Pts | 54-29 | 108-97 |
| Total Points | 83 | 205 |
| Winners | 12 | 35 |
| %Winners | 22% | 32% |
Both Uchida and Gerch played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Lucas Gerch conceded 1 set while Kaichi Uchida hasn’t conceded a set so far. Uchida has played 1 set(s) less than Gerch (2 vs 3). Therefore, Uchida played 14 games less than Gerch. The Japanese scored 12 winners (22% of the total points). On the other side, Lucas struck 35 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Uchida | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2 |
| 1st in | 16/40 | 56/94 |
| %1st in | 40% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 12/16 | 35/56 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 17/38 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 45% |
Uchida scored 1 ace . Gerch also struck 2 aces . Uchida won 75% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Gerch won 63% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Uchida | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 7 |
| Converted | 6/12 | 7/20 |
| % Converted | 50% | 35% |
| Conceded | 1 | 7 |
| Saved | 0 | 3 |
| % Saved | 0% | 43% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Uchida broke his opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Japanese lost his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. The German broke his opponent 7 times with a 35% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded.
| Uchida | |||
| Q1 William |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 54-29 | 54-29 | |
| Total points | 83 | 83 | |
| Winners | 12 | 12 | |
| %Winners | 22% | 22% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 16/40 | 16/40 | |
| % 1st in | 40% | 40% | |
| 1st pts | 12/16 | 12/16 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 14/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Gerch | |||
| Q1 Virtanen |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 108-97 | 108-97 | |
| Total points | 205 | 205 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 56/94 | 56/94 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 35/56 | 35/56 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/38 | 17/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/20 | 7/20 | |
| Converted % | 35% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWWWL
LLLLWWWWLW
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