Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Andrea Collarini will clash against each other in the final of the Buenos Aires 2 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on COURT DIEGO SCHWARTZMAN. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.4
Andrea Collarini -> 2.95
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Andrea Collarini
This will be the 2nd time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Andrea Collarini play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Collarini (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Collarini won 6-2 6-0 in the 2nd round in Argentina F8 back in 2016.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 58-30 | 6-5 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 175, Ugo Carabelli got to the final after beating Facundo Juarez 6-2 6-4, Facundo Diaz Acosta 6-3 6-2, Gonzalo Villanueva 6-4 6-2 and Juan Pablo Varillas 3-6 6-1 6-0.
In the semifinal against Pablo Patino-Samudio, The Argentine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-1 6-0). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 82 points vs Pablo Patino-Samudio’s 65. The Argentine was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ugo Carabelli couldn’t to score even 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 2 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 54% of his first serves in, winning 76% (34/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (17/39) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Pablo Patino-Samudio 6 times after converting 86% of his break points (6/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ugo Carabelli has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 64% of his matches (224-127). 13-6 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Ugo Carabelli has an overall197-107 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
The Argentine’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger.
Ugo Carabelli has a composed 16-9 win-loss record in 2022, 13-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Buenos Aires 2 Challenger
Andrea Collarini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-26 | 0-1 | 45-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-32 | 0-3 | 26-28 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-30 | 3-3 | 20-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-37 | 0-2 | 25-34 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-13 | 0-2 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 260, Collarini got to the final after defeating Gonzalo Lama 7-5 6-3, Renzo Olivo 4-6 6-1 6-3, Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1-6 6-2 6-2 and Genaro Alberto Olivieri 6-4 6-1.
In the semifinal, Andrea had a good straight sets win against Alberto Olivieri (6-4 6-1). During the match Collarini scored 60 points vs Alberto Olivieri’s 42. Andrea was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Collarini was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Andrea Collarini conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 87% of his first serves in, win 77% (30/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (3/6) on the 2nd serve. Collarini broke Alberto Olivieri 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Collarini has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Argentine’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Buenos Aires 2 Challenger.
Collarini has a compiled 7-9 win-loss record in 2022, 5-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Collarini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 75 | 87 |
| Pts | 270-210 | 304-257 |
| Total Points | 480 | 561 |
| Winners | 88 | 136 |
| %Winners | 33% | 45% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Collarini played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost 1 set, while Andrea Collarini lost 2 sets. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set(s) less than Collarini (9 vs 10). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 12 games less than Collarini. Camilo scored 88 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Andrea blasted 136 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Collarini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| 1st in | 133/244 | 204/284 |
| %1st in | 55% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 88/133 | 136/204 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 60/111 | 35/80 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 44% |
Ugo Carabelli managed to score 2 aces (0.5 per match). Collarini struck 1 ace (0.3 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 66% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Collarini won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Collarini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 22 | 20 |
| Converted | 22/39 | 20/41 |
| % Converted | 56% | 49% |
| Conceded | 23 | 30 |
| Saved | 15 | 20 |
| % Saved | 65% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 10 |
Ugo Carabelli broke his opponents 22 times with a 56% conversion rate. Camilo dropped his serve 8 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. Collarini broke his opponents 20 times with a 49% conversion rate. Andrea conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | ||||||
| R1 Juarez |
R2 Diaz Acosta |
1/4 Villanueva |
1/2 Pablo Patino-Samudio |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | 3-6 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 17 | 18 | 22 | 75 | |
| pts | 60-44 | 62-48 | 66-53 | 82-65 | 270-210 | |
| Total points | 104 | 110 | 119 | 147 | 480 | |
| Winners | 17 | 21 | 16 | 34 | 88 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 34% | 24% | 41% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 27/53 | 31/52 | 30/55 | 45/84 | 133/244 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 60% | 55% | 54% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 17/27 | 21/31 | 16/30 | 34/45 | 88/133 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 68% | 53% | 76% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 14/21 | 13/25 | 17/39 | 60/111 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 67% | 52% | 44% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 22 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 4/8 | 7/13 | 6/7 | 22/39 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 50% | 54% | 86% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 23 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2/2 | 3/7 | 8/10 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 43% | 80% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| Collarini | ||||||
| R1 Lama |
R2 Olivo |
1/4 Meligeni Rodrigues Alves |
1/2 Alberto |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 4-6 6-1 6-3 | 1-6 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 26 | 23 | 17 | 87 | |
| pts | 77-62 | 97-84 | 70-69 | 60-42 | 304-257 | |
| Total points | 139 | 181 | 139 | 102 | 561 | |
| Winners | 29 | 39 | 38 | 30 | 136 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 40% | 54% | 50% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 41/72 | 63/91 | 61/76 | 39/45 | 204/284 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 69% | 80% | 87% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 29/41 | 39/63 | 38/61 | 30/39 | 136/204 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 62% | 62% | 77% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/31 | 12/28 | 4/15 | 3/6 | 35/80 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 43% | 27% | 50% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 7/13 | 5/10 | 4/10 | 20/41 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 54% | 50% | 40% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 30 | |
| Saved | 10/12 | 7/11 | 3/7 | 0/0 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 64% | 43% | – | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrea CollariniCollarini – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (1-0) – H2H and prediction
