Lorenzo Musetti and Alejandro Moro Canas will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on COURT 4. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.116
Alejandro Moro Canas -> 6.35
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Alejandro Moro Canas
There is no head to head record between Lorenzo Musetti and Alejandro Moro Canas since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Lorenzo Musetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-19 | 6-7 | 10-8 | 1-2 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 30-15 | 6-4 | 20-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 61, the Italian reached the qualifications after defeating Yoshihito Nishioka 7-5 6-3.
In the qualifications, Musetti had a good straight sets win against Nishioka (7-5 6-3). During the match, Musetti scored 71 points vs Nishioka’s 58. Lorenzo was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Musetti scored just 1 ace in the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Musetti put 68% of his first serves in, winning 63% (27/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the 2nd serve. Lorenzo broke Nishioka 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Musetti has a winning record in the last 5 years having won 57% of his matches (111-83). 7-3 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Musetti has an overall71-41 match record in the last 5 years on clay.
The Italian has a compiled 13-11 win-loss record in 2022, 7-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Alejandro Moro Canas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-16 | 6-3 | 13-8 | 2-4 | 4-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-31 | 17-11 | 17-15 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-18 | 20-8 | 20-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-16 | 30-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 440 (career-high), Moro got to the qualifications after beating Francisco Cerundolo 6-0 6-4.
In the qualifications, Moro had a good straight sets win against Cerundolo (6-0 6-4). During the match Moro scored 55 points vs Cerundolo’s 29. Alejandro was pretty aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Moro scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alejandro Moro Canas was quite effective on serve to win 78% (21/27) of his 1st serve and 92% (11/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Cerundolo 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Alejandro’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M15 Villena and M25 Vale do Lobo.
The Spaniard has an aggregate 17-7 win-loss record in 2022, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Moro has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Musetti | Moro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 16 |
| Pts | 71-58 | 55-29 |
| Total Points | 129 | 84 |
| Winners | 27 | 21 |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% |
Both Musetti and Moro played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Musetti and Moro have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Musetti played 5 games more than Moro. Musetti scored 27 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Alejandro made 21 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Musetti | Moro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 1 |
| 1st in | 43/63 | 27/39 |
| %1st in | 68% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 27/43 | 21/27 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 11/12 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 92% |
Musetti blasted 1 ace . Moro also managed to score 1 ace . Musetti won 63% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Moro won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 92% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Musetti | Moro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 4/6 |
| % Converted | 71% | 67% |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 |
| Saved | 0 | 0 |
| % Saved | 0% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
Lorenzo broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Alejandro broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Moro was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Musetti | |||
| Q1 Nishioka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 71-58 | 71-58 | |
| Total points | 129 | 129 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 43/63 | 43/63 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 27/43 | 27/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 11/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Moro | |||
| Q1 Cerundolo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 55-29 | 55-29 | |
| Total points | 84 | 84 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 27/39 | 27/39 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 21/27 | 21/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/12 | 11/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 92% | 92% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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