Juan Pablo Varillas and Camilo Ugo Carabelli will face off in the semifinal of the Buenos Aires 2 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juan Pablo Varillas who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Juan Pablo Varillas is the pick to win this match.
Juan Pablo Varillas -> 1.54
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 2.48
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Prediction and head to head Juan Pablo Varillas vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli
This will be the 2nd time that Juan Pablo Varillas and Camilo Ugo Carabelli fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Pablo Patino-Samudio (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Pablo Patino-Samudio won 6-2 3-6 6-0 in the semifinal in Turkey F9 (Antalya) back in 2018.
Juan Pablo Varillas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-19 | 0-4 | 16-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-29 | 4-7 | 23-17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 53-27 | 2-3 | 51-23 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 51-23 | 0-2 | 51-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 111, Juan reached the semifinal after defeating Gilbert Klier Junior 6-2 6-2, Pol Martin Tiffon 7-5 6-4 and Francisco Comesana 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter, Juan had a good straight sets win against Comesana (6-4 6-3). During the match, Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 63 points vs Comesana’s 52. Juan was quite aggressive to blast 15 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pablo Patino-Samudio couldn’t to score even 1 ace and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Juan Pablo Varillas was quite efficient on serve to win 88% (15/17) of his 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Pablo Patino-Samudio broke Comesana 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Juan hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Pablo Patino-Samudio has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (331-205). 20-7 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Pablo Patino-Samudio has an overall299-175 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
Juan’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger.
Juan has a composed 22-9 win-loss record in 2022, 20-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Buenos Aires 2 Challenger
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-17 | 2-1 | 31-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 175, Ugo Carabelli got to the semifinal after beating Facundo Juarez 6-2 6-4, Facundo Diaz Acosta 6-3 6-2 and Gonzalo Villanueva 6-4 6-2.
In the quarter, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Villanueva (6-4 6-2). During the match Ugo Carabelli scored 66 points vs Villanueva’s 53. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 16 winners.
Talking about serving, Ugo Carabelli couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 55% of his first serves in, winning 53% (16/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the 2nd serve. Camilo broke Villanueva 7 times after converting 54% of his break points (7/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Camilo hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The Argentine’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger.
Camilo has an aggregate 15-9 win-loss record in 2022, 12-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Ugo Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 57 | 53 |
| Pts | 209-164 | 188-145 |
| Total Points | 373 | 333 |
| Winners | 74 | 54 |
| %Winners | 35% | 29% |
Both Pablo Patino-Samudio and Ugo Carabelli played 3 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Pablo Patino-Samudio and Ugo Carabelli have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Pablo Patino-Samudio played 4 games more than Ugo Carabelli. Juan scored 74 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Ugo Carabelli scored 54 winners (29%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Ugo Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 1st in | 92/165 | 88/160 |
| %1st in | 56% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 74/92 | 54/88 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 61% |
| 2nd pts | 42/73 | 43/72 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 60% |
Pablo Patino-Samudio managed to score 5 aces (1.7 per match). Ugo Carabelli struck 2 aces (0.7 per match). Pablo Patino-Samudio won 80% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Ugo Carabelli won 61% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Ugo Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 16 |
| Converted | 11/27 | 16/32 |
| % Converted | 41% | 50% |
| Conceded | 10 | 13 |
| Saved | 8 | 7 |
| % Saved | 80% | 54% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 |
Pablo Patino-Samudio broke his opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Peruvian conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Ugo Carabelli broke his opponents 16 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 54% of the break points that he conceded.
| Pablo Patino-Samudio | |||||
| R1 Klier Junior |
R2 Martin Tiffon |
1/4 Comesana |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 7-5 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 22 | 19 | 57 | |
| pts | 68-47 | 78-65 | 63-52 | 209-164 | |
| Total points | 115 | 143 | 115 | 373 | |
| Winners | 26 | 33 | 15 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% | 24% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 34/55 | 41/63 | 17/47 | 92/165 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 65% | 36% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 26/34 | 33/41 | 15/17 | 74/92 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 80% | 88% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/21 | 12/22 | 18/30 | 42/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 55% | 60% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/11 | 4/8 | 11/27 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 27% | 50% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 3 | 1 | 10 | |
| Saved | 6/6 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 0% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Ugo Carabelli | |||||
| R1 Juarez |
R2 Diaz Acosta |
1/4 Villanueva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 17 | 18 | 53 | |
| pts | 60-44 | 62-48 | 66-53 | 188-145 | |
| Total points | 104 | 110 | 119 | 333 | |
| Winners | 17 | 21 | 16 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 34% | 24% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 27/53 | 31/52 | 30/55 | 88/160 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 60% | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 17/27 | 21/31 | 16/30 | 54/88 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 68% | 53% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 14/21 | 13/25 | 43/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 67% | 52% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 4/8 | 7/13 | 16/32 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 50% | 54% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2/2 | 3/7 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 43% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWLLLLL
WWLLWWWWLL Tennis Scores in Buenos Aires 2 Challenger
- Andrea CollariniCollarini – Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves (1-6 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – Santiago Fa Rodriguez TavernaFa Rodriguez Taverna (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Gonzalo VillanuevaVillanueva (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrea Collarini/Renzo OlivoCollarini/Renzo Olivo – Roman Andres Burruchaga/Gonzalo VillanuevaAndres Burruchaga/Gonzalo Villanueva (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – Andrea CollariniCollarini (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
