Ons Jabeur and Varvara Gracheva will play each other in the 2nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 5:00 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ons Jabeur who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ons Jabeur is the pick to win this match.
Ons Jabeur -> 1.21
Varvara Gracheva -> 4.65
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Prediction and head to head Ons Jabeur vs. Varvara Gracheva
There is no head to head record between Ons Jabeur and Varvara Gracheva since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Ons Jabeur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-14 | 2-6 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-17 | 18-11 | 11-3 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-17 | 19-12 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 25-12 | 13-4 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-11 | 18-8 | 3-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Ons got to the 2nd round after beating Jasmine Paolini 7-69 6-1.
In the 1st round, Jabeur had a good straight sets win against Paolini (7-69 6-1). During the match, Jabeur scored 76 points vs Paolini’s 59. The Tunisian was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Jabeur bagged 5 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Ons Jabeur lost the serve 4 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Jabeur put 67% of her first serves in, winning 65% (30/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (9/23) on the 2nd serve. Jabeur broke Paolini 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).
Jabeur has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (306-179). 7-2 on clay in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Jabeur has a composed 87-45 record in the last years on clay.
The Tunisian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Charleston.
The Tunisian has an aggregate 15-7 win-loss record in 2022, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Varvara Gracheva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-27 | 13-15 | 15-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-30 | 23-18 | 7-6 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-32 | 7-11 | 12-14 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-31 | 11-10 | 7-10 | 9-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-14 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 73, Varvara got to the 2nd round after defeating Maddison Inglis 6-2 6-3, Heather Watson 6-3 6-2 and Alize Cornet 1-6 7-5 7-5.
In the 1st round against Cornet, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-5 7-5). During the match Gracheva scored 104 points vs Cornet’s 102. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 42 winners.
About the serving games, Gracheva recorded 4 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Varvara Gracheva lost the serve 6 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Gracheva put 66% of her first serves in, winning 63% (42/67) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (16/34) on the 2nd serve. Varvara broke Cornet 6 times after converting 32% of her break points (6/19).
The Russian has a composed 14-8 win-loss record in 2022, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Jabeur | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 65 |
| Pts | 76-59 | 229-192 |
| Total Points | 135 | 421 |
| Winners | 30 | 95 |
| %Winners | 39% | 41% |
Jabeur played 1 match while Gracheva competed in 3 matches. Gracheva started her run from the qualifications while Jabeur had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Varvara Gracheva surrendered 1 set while Ons Jabeur hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Jabeur has played 5 set(s) less than Gracheva (2 vs 7). Therefore, Jabeur played 45 games less than Gracheva. The Tunisian scored 30 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Varvara managed to score 95 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Jabeur | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 2 |
| 1st in | 46/69 | 134/203 |
| %1st in | 67% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 30/46 | 95/134 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 9/23 | 35/69 |
| %2nd pts | 39% | 51% |
Jabeur struck 5 aces . Gracheva fired 6 aces (2 per match). Jabeur won 65% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 39% of the points. On the other side, Gracheva won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Jabeur | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 13 |
| Converted | 6/12 | 13/37 |
| % Converted | 50% | 35% |
| Conceded | 7 | 19 |
| Saved | 3 | 12 |
| % Saved | 43% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 7 |
The Tunisian broke her opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Ons conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded. Gracheva broke her opponents 13 times with a 35% conversion rate. Varvara conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded.
| Jabeur | |||
| R1 Paolini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-69 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 76-59 | 76-59 | |
| Total points | 135 | 135 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 46/69 | 46/69 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 30/46 | 30/46 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/23 | 9/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 39% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Gracheva | |||||
| Q1 Inglis |
Q3 Watson |
R1 Cornet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | 1-6 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | 31 | 65 | |
| pts | 61-43 | 64-47 | 104-102 | 229-192 | |
| Total points | 104 | 111 | 206 | 421 | |
| Winners | 24 | 29 | 42 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 45% | 40% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 29/47 | 38/55 | 67/101 | 134/203 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 69% | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 24/29 | 29/38 | 42/67 | 95/134 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 76% | 63% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 7/17 | 16/34 | 35/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 41% | 47% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 4/8 | 6/19 | 13/37 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 50% | 32% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 16 | 19 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/3 | 10/16 | 12 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 63% | 130% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWLWW
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova – Elena RybakinaRybakina (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Marta KostyukKostyuk (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Kaia KanepiKanepi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Tamara ZidansekZidansek (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Belinda BencicBencic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Simona HalepHalep – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (0-0) – H2H and prediction
