Yunseong Chung and Keegan Smith will face off in the quarter of the Morelos Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on CANCHA 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Keegan Smith who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Keegan Smith is the pick to win this match.
Keegan Smith -> 1.68
Yunseong Chung -> 2.19
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Prediction and head to head Yunseong Chung vs. Keegan Smith
There is no head to head record between Yunseong Chung and Keegan Smith since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Yunseong Chung
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-16 | 14-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 20-16 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-25 | 23-17 | 7-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 28-15 | 21-10 | 5-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 374, the Korean reached the quarter after defeating Bernard Tomic 6-3 3-6 6-4 and Aleksandar Kovacevic 3-6 7-5 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Kovacevic, Chung recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-4). During the match, Chung scored 110 points vs Kovacevic’s 107. Chung was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Regarding the service games, Chung scored 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Yunseong Chung lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Chung put 63% of his first serves in, winning 68% (41/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 66% (23/35) on the 2nd serve. Chung broke Kovacevic twice after converting 15% of his break points (2/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Yunseong has surrendered 2 set in this event to win 51% of the points he played.
Chung has a winning record in the last 9 years having won 58% of his matches (222-158). 9-3 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Chung has an overall170-113 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
Chung’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Monastir.
Yunseong has a composed 12-7 win-loss record in 2022, 9-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Morelos Challenger
Yunseong has never competed in this tournament before.
Keegan Smith
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-18 | 28-16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-26 | 31-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-24 | 26-14 | 3-4 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-4 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 421, Keegan reached the quarter after defeating Eduardo Bribiesca 6-1 3-6 6-0, Akira Santillan 6-4 7-5, Fajing Sun 6-4 6-2 and Juan Alejandro Hernandez 7-5 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Smith had a good straight sets win against Alejandro Hernandez (7-5 6-4). During the match Smith scored 74 points vs Alejandro Hernandez’s 54. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Smith managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Keegan Smith was very effective on serve to win 90% (28/31) of his 1st serve and 76% (16/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Smith broke Alejandro Hernandez twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Keegan started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Cancun and M25 Bakersfield.
The American has an overall 19-7 win-loss record in 2022, 16-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Chung | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 59 | 84 |
| Pts | 201-196 | 288-215 |
| Total Points | 397 | 503 |
| Winners | 82 | 129 |
| %Winners | 41% | 45% |
Chung played 2 matches while Smith competed in 4 matches. Smith started his run from the qualifications while Chung had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Yunseong Chung dropped 2 sets, while Keegan Smith dropped 1 set. Chung has played 3 set(s) less than Smith (6 vs 9). Therefore, Chung played 25 games less than Smith. Chung scored 82 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Keegan recorded 129 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Chung | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 33 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 8.3 |
| 1st in | 117/193 | 149/219 |
| %1st in | 61% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 82/117 | 129/149 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 87% |
| 2nd pts | 45/76 | 40/70 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 57% |
Chung recorded 14 aces (7 per match). Smith made 33 aces (8.3 per match). Chung won 70% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Smith won 87% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Chung | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 12 |
| Converted | 5/21 | 12/35 |
| % Converted | 24% | 34% |
| Conceded | 11 | 6 |
| Saved | 8 | 5 |
| % Saved | 73% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
The Korean broke his opponents 5 times with a 24% conversion rate. Yunseong conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Keegan broke his opponents 12 times with a 34% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Chung | ||||
| R1 Tomic |
R2 Kovacevic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | 3-6 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 31 | 59 | |
| pts | 91-89 | 110-107 | 201-196 | |
| Total points | 180 | 217 | 397 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | 82 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 37% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 57/98 | 60/95 | 117/193 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 63% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 41/57 | 41/60 | 82/117 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 68% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/41 | 23/35 | 45/76 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 66% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 2/13 | 5/21 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 15% | 24% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 80% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Smith | ||||||
| Q1 Bribiesca |
Q3 Santillan |
R1 Sun |
R2 Alejandro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 3-6 6-0 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-4 6-2 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | 18 | 22 | 84 | |
| pts | 85-59 | 63-57 | 66-45 | 74-54 | 288-215 | |
| Total points | 144 | 120 | 111 | 128 | 503 | |
| Winners | 35 | 37 | 29 | 28 | 129 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 59% | 44% | 38% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 12 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 33 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 40/59 | 45/61 | 33/47 | 31/52 | 149/219 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 74% | 70% | 60% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 35/40 | 37/45 | 29/33 | 28/31 | 129/149 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 82% | 88% | 90% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/19 | 8/16 | 8/14 | 16/21 | 40/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 50% | 57% | 76% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 2/6 | 3/9 | 2/7 | 12/35 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 33% | 33% | 29% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 100% | – | 125% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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