Keegan Smith and Juan Alejandro Hernandez will play each other in the 2nd round of the Morelos Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 12:30 pm on ESTADIO MORELOS. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Keegan Smith who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Keegan Smith is the pick to win this match.
Keegan Smith -> 1.3
Juan Alejandro Hernandez -> 3.52
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Prediction and head to head Keegan Smith vs. Juan Alejandro Hernandez
There is no head to head record between Keegan Smith and Juan Alejandro Hernandez since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Keegan Smith
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-21 | 29-17 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-26 | 31-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-24 | 26-14 | 3-4 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-4 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 421, the American got to the 2nd round after beating Eduardo Bribiesca 6-1 3-6 6-0, Akira Santillan 6-4 7-5 and Fajing Sun 6-4 6-2.
In the 1st round, Smith had a good straight sets win against Sun (6-4 6-2). During the match, Smith scored 66 points vs Sun’s 45. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Smith scored 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Keegan Smith was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 88% (29/33) of his 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Keegan broke Sun 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Smith has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 69% of his matches (85-39). 15-3 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Smith has a composed69-29 record in the last 7 years on hard.
The American’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Cancun and M25 Bakersfield.
Smith has an aggregate 18-7 win-loss record in 2022, 15-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Morelos Challenger
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-15 | 12-6 | 11-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-26 | 19-18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-19 | 18-10 | 13-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-7 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 553, Juan got to the 2nd round after defeating Yuichi Sugita 6-3 3-1 ret..
In the 1st round, The Mexican had a good straight sets win against Sugita (6-3 3-1 ret.). During the match Alejandro scored 48 points vs Sugita’s 33. Alejandro was quite aggressive to blast 15 winners.
About the serving games, Alejandro recorded 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Juan Alejandro Hernandez lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Alejandro put 52% of his first serves in, winning 68% (15/22) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the 2nd serve. Juan was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Sugita 4 times.
Alejandro’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in M15 Cancun.
The Mexican has a compiled 12-12 win-loss record in 2022, 10-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Smith | Alejandro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 62 | 13 |
| Pts | 214-161 | 48-33 |
| Total Points | 375 | 81 |
| Winners | 101 | 15 |
| %Winners | 47% | 31% |
Smith played 3 matches while Alejandro competed in 1 match. Smith started his run from the qualifications while Alejandro had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Keegan Smith lost 1 set while Juan Alejandro Hernandez hasn’t conceded a set so far. Smith has played 4 sets more than Alejandro (7 vs 3). Therefore, Smith played 49 games more than Alejandro. Keegan scored 101 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Alejandro recorded 15 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Smith | Alejandro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 3 |
| 1st in | 118/167 | 22/42 |
| %1st in | 71% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 101/118 | 15/22 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 24/49 | 12/20 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 60% |
Smith bagged 24 aces (8 per match). Alejandro scored 3 aces . Smith won 86% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Alejandro won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Smith | Alejandro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 4 |
| Converted | 10/28 | 4/4 |
| % Converted | 36% | 100% |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 |
| Saved | 5 | 3 |
| % Saved | 83% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Keegan broke his opponents 10 times with a 36% conversion rate. The American lost his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Juan broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. Alejandro conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Smith | |||||
| Q1 Bribiesca |
Q3 Santillan |
R1 Sun |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 3-6 6-0 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | 18 | 62 | |
| pts | 85-59 | 63-57 | 66-45 | 214-161 | |
| Total points | 144 | 120 | 111 | 375 | |
| Winners | 35 | 37 | 29 | 101 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 59% | 44% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 12 | 5 | 7 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 40/59 | 45/61 | 33/47 | 118/167 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 74% | 70% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 35/40 | 37/45 | 29/33 | 101/118 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 82% | 88% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/19 | 8/16 | 8/14 | 24/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 50% | 57% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 2/6 | 3/9 | 10/28 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 33% | 33% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 100% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Alejandro | |||||
| R1 Sugita |
Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-1 ret. | ||||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |||
| Tot Games | 13 | 13 | |||
| pts | 48-33 | 48-33 | |||
| Total points | 81 | 81 | |||
| Winners | 15 | 15 | |||
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |||
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |||
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |||
| 1st in | 22/42 | 22/42 | |||
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |||
| 1st pts | 15/22 | 15/22 | |||
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |||
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 12/20 | |||
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |||
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |||
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/4 | |||
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |||
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |||
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |||
| Saved % | 75% | 25% | |||
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |||
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWLWWL
LLWWLLWWLW Tennis Scores in Morelos Challenger
- Roberto QuirozQuiroz – Rodolfo Jauregui Sainz De RozasJauregui Sainz De Rozas (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Nicolas MejiaMejia – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Keegan SmithSmith – Fajing SunSun (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jay ClarkeClarke – Viktor DurasovicDurasovic (6-4 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Malek JaziriJaziri – Pedja KrstinKrstin (5-7 6-1 7-62) – See score progression
- Elmar EjupovicEjupovic – Goncalo OliveiraOliveira (6-3 0-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Benjamin LockLock – Skander MansouriMansouri (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (3-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Prajnesh GunneswaranGunneswaran – Calvin HemeryHemery (7-610 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Adrian Menendez-MaceirasMenendez-Maceiras – Brayden SchnurSchnur (5-7 7-63 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Juan Alejandro HernandezAlejandro Hernandez – Yuichi SugitaSugita (6-3 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Yunseong ChungChung – Bernard TomicTomic (6-3 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Ernesto EscobedoEscobedo – Denis IstominIstomin (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elmar EjupovicEjupovic – Jay ClarkeClarke (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Benjamin LockLock – Adrian Menendez-MaceirasMenendez-Maceiras (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Naoki NakagawaNakagawa – Steven DiezDiez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ernesto EscobedoEscobedo – Prajnesh GunneswaranGunneswaran (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas MejiaMejia – Roberto QuirozQuiroz (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Yunseong ChungChung (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Keegan SmithSmith – Juan Hernandez SerranoHernandez Serrano (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Malek JaziriJaziri (0-0) – H2H and prediction
