Varvara Gracheva and Heather Watson will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Varvara Gracheva who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Varvara Gracheva is the pick to win this match.
Varvara Gracheva -> 1.67
Heather Watson -> 2.2
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Prediction and head to head Varvara Gracheva vs. Heather Watson
There is no head to head record between Varvara Gracheva and Heather Watson since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Varvara Gracheva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-10 | 4-8 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-30 | 23-18 | 7-6 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-32 | 7-11 | 12-14 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-31 | 11-10 | 7-10 | 9-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-14 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 73, Varvara reached the qualifications after beating Maddison Inglis 6-2 6-3.
In the qualifications, Varvara had a good straight sets win against Inglis (6-2 6-3). During the match, Gracheva scored 61 points vs Inglis’s 43. Varvara was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Gracheva wasn’t able to score even 1 ace and she committed only 2 double faults. Varvara Gracheva was exceptionally effective on serve to win 83% (24/29) of her 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Varvara broke Inglis 3 times after converting 30% of her break points (3/10).
Gracheva has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 63% of her matches (182-109). 4-3 on clay in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Gracheva has an aggregate112-47 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
Varvara has a composed 12-8 win-loss record in 2022, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Heather Watson
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-8 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-25 | 18-13 | 2-4 | 6-3 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-26 | 14-13 | 4-6 | 6-3 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-21 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-11 | 14-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 103, heather reached the qualifications after defeating Kristina Kucova 6-4 6-0.
In the qualifications, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Kucova (6-4 6-0). During the match Watson scored 57 points vs Kucova’s 38. The Brit was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Watson was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Heather Watson lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Watson put 70% of her first serves in, winning 64% (21/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Kucova 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Watson has an aggregate 11-10 win-loss record in 2022, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2015 and 2016. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gracheva | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 16 |
| Pts | 61-43 | 57-38 |
| Total Points | 104 | 95 |
| Winners | 24 | 21 |
| %Winners | 39% | 37% |
Both Gracheva and Watson played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Gracheva and Watson have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Gracheva played 1 game more than Watson. Gracheva scored 24 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit scored 21 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gracheva | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 0 |
| 1st in | 29/47 | 33/47 |
| %1st in | 62% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 24/29 | 21/33 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 8/14 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 57% |
Gracheva didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Watson also didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Gracheva won 83% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Watson won 64% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gracheva | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 6 |
| Converted | 3/10 | 6/10 |
| % Converted | 30% | 60% |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 |
| Saved | 0 | 3 |
| % Saved | 0% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
Varvara broke her opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. The Russian extremely effective on her serve as she has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Watson broke her opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Watson conceded her serve twice and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gracheva | |||
| Q1 Inglis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 61-43 | 61-43 | |
| Total points | 104 | 104 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 29/47 | 29/47 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 24/29 | 24/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 12/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/10 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Watson | |||
| Q1 Kucova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 57-38 | 57-38 | |
| Total points | 95 | 95 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 33/47 | 33/47 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 21/33 | 21/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 8/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLLLLL
LWLLLLWWWW Tennis Scores in Madrid
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- Sekou BangouraBangoura – Austin KrajicekKrajicek (6-71 7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
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