Marie Bouzkova and Danka Kovinic will face off in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time in their career. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marie Bouzkova who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Marie Bouzkova is the pick to win this match.
Marie Bouzkova -> 1.44
Danka Kovinic -> 2.79

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Prediction and head to head Marie Bouzkova vs. Danka Kovinic

This will be the 2nd time that Marie Bouzkova and Danka Kovinic square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Bouzkova (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Bouzkova won 3-6 5-0 ret. in the 1st round in Melbourne back in 2021.

Marie Bouzkova

Marie Bouzkova

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
42
High
24
LLWLWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 31-21 20-12 9-6 1-1 1-2 0-0
2024 27-22 17-16 7-3 1-0 2-3 0-0
2023 28-24 19-16 5-5 1-0 3-3 0-0
2022 42-14 33-10 5-2 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 16-21 11-13 1-4 2-1 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 77, the Czech reached the qualifications after defeating Fiona Ferro 6-2 6-2.

In the qualifications, Marie had a good straight sets win against Ferro (6-2 6-2). During the match, Bouzkova scored 60 points vs Ferro’s 32. Bouzkova was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about the service games, Bouzkova fired 3 aces and she was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Marie Bouzkova was extremely efficient on serve to win 75% (21/28) of her 1st serve and 90% (9/10) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Bouzkova broke Ferro 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).

Bouzkova has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 65% of her matches (284-155). 1-1 on clay in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Bouzkova has an overall53-39 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.

Marie’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Guadalajara.

Bouzkova has an aggregate 18-7 win-loss record in 2022, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Madrid
Bouzkova's Record

Danka Kovinic

Danka Kovinic

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
609
High
46
LLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 3-4 1-2 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 3-4 2-3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 16-16 4-8 10-7 2-1 0-0 0-0
2022 29-21 6-8 23-11 0-1 0-1 0-0
2021 14-20 4-12 10-6 0-1 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 114, the reached the qualifications after defeating Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-4 6-2.

In the qualifications, The had a good straight sets win against Sasnovich (6-4 6-2). During the match Kovinic scored 67 points vs Sasnovich’s 53. The was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.

About the serving games, Kovinic fired 5 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Danka Kovinic was exceptionally effective on serve to win 71% (24/34) of her 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. The broke Sasnovich 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).

Kovinic’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Marbella.

Kovinic has an overall 10-7 win-loss record in 2022, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2016. See her history.

Madrid
Kovinic's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Bouzkova
D.Kovinic
1h:04
1h:04
Time on court​
1h:21
1h:21
1h:04
1h:04
Last match​
1h:21
1h:21
1
1
Match played
1
1
16
16
Games Played​
18
18
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
60
60
Total points​
67
67
60
60
Avg point​
67
67
21
21
Winners
24
24
21
21
Avg Winners​
24
24
35%
35%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
5
5
3
3
Avg Aces
5
5
0
0
Double Faults
4
4
0
0
Avg Double Faults
4
4
21/28
21/28
1st won total​
24/34
24/34
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
9/10
9/10
2nd won total​
11/21
11/21
!
90%
90%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
5/9
5/9
BP won
5/8
5/8
5/9
5/9
Avg BP won
5/8
5/8
!
56%
56%
Won
!
63%
63%
1
1
Conceded
4
4
1
1
Avg Conceded
4
4
1
1
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
2
2
0
0
Saved
2
2

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Bouzkova Kovinic
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 18
Pts 60-32 67-53
Total Points 92 120
Winners 21 24
%Winners 35% 36%

Both Bouzkova and Kovinic played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Bouzkova and Kovinic have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Bouzkova played 2 games less than Kovinic. Bouzkova scored 21 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The blasted 24 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Bouzkova Kovinic
Aces 3 5
Avg per match 3 5
1st in 28/38 34/55
%1st in 74% 62%
1st pts 21/28 24/34
%1st pts 75% 71%
2nd pts 9/10 11/21
%2nd pts 90% 52%

Bouzkova made 3 aces . Kovinic struck 5 aces . Bouzkova won 75% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 90% of the points. On the other side, Kovinic won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Bouzkova Kovinic
Won 5 5
Converted 5/9 5/8
% Converted 56% 63%
Conceded 1 4
Saved 0 2
% Saved 0% 50%
Times Broken 1 2

The Czech broke her opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Marie surrendered her serve once and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. Kovinic broke her opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Danka conceded her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.

Bouzkova
Q1
Ferro
Total
Score 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 60-32 60-32
Total points 92 92
Winners 21 21
%Winners 35% 35%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 28/38 28/38
% 1st in 74% 74%
1st pts 21/28 21/28
% 1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 9/10 9/10
% 2nd pts 90% 90%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/9 5/9
Converted % 56% 56%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 0/1 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 1 1
Kovinic
Q1
Sasnovich
Total
Score 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
pts 67-53 67-53
Total points 120 120
Winners 24 24
%Winners 36% 36%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 34/55 34/55
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 24/34 24/34
% 1st pts 71% 71%
2nd pts 11/21 11/21
% 2nd pts 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/8 5/8
Converted % 63% 63%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 2/4 2
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 2 2

Tennis Scores in Madrid

Upcoming matches in the draw