Kaia Kanepi and Martina Trevisan will square off in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on Manolo Santana Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Kaia Kanepi who should win in 2 sets.
Kaia Kanepi -> 1.44
Martina Trevisan -> 2.79
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Prediction and head to head Kaia Kanepi vs. Martina Trevisan
This will be the 2nd time that Kaia Kanepi and Martina Trevisan fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kanepi (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Kanepi won 6-4 6-3 in the final in the Brescia back in 2018.
Kaia Kanepi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-22 | 6-10 | 11-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-19 | 15-11 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-14 | 16-8 | 6-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-5 | 1-3 | 6-1 | 10-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 55, the Estonian reached the qualifications after defeating Harriet Dart 6-1 6-1.
In the qualifications, Kanepi had a good straight sets win against Dart (6-1 6-1). During the match, Kanepi scored 55 points vs Dart’s 24. Kaia was very aggressive to blast 15 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kanepi was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault. Kaia Kanepi was very effective on serve to win 75% (15/20) of her 1st serve and 82% (14/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Estonian broke Dart 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Kanepi has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (216-113). 3-1 on clay in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Kanepi has a composed 83-38 record in the last years on clay.
Kanepi has a compiled 12-5 win-loss record in 2022, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Martina Trevisan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 22-32 | 10-19 | 12-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-27 | 17-17 | 6-7 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 8-10 | 15-7 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-27 | 8-12 | 14-10 | 4-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 81, Trevisan reached the qualifications after beating Cristina Bucsa 6-1 6-3.
In the qualifications, Trevisan had a good straight sets win against Bucsa (6-1 6-3). During the match Trevisan scored 55 points vs Bucsa’s 35. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about serving, Trevisan struck 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Martina Trevisan lost the serve once. Furthermore, Trevisan put 73% of her first serves in, winning 70% (23/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the 2nd serve. Trevisan broke Bucsa 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
The Italian has an overall 10-8 win-loss record in 2022, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kanepi | Trevisan |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 14 | 16 |
| Pts | 55-24 | 55-35 |
| Total Points | 79 | 90 |
| Winners | 15 | 23 |
| %Winners | 27% | 42% |
Both Kanepi and Trevisan played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kanepi and Trevisan have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Kanepi played 2 games less than Trevisan. Kaia scored 15 winners (27% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian struck 23 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kanepi | Trevisan |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 3 |
| 1st in | 20/37 | 33/45 |
| %1st in | 54% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 15/20 | 23/33 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 14/17 | 7/12 |
| %2nd pts | 82% | 58% |
Kanepi didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Trevisan bagged 3 aces . Kanepi won 75% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 82% of the points. On the other side, Trevisan won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kanepi | Trevisan |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/6 |
| % Converted | 71% | 83% |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 |
| Saved | 1 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Kaia broke her opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Kanepi pretty effective on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points. The Italian broke her opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. The Italian conceded her serve once and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kanepi | |||
| Q1 Dart | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 55-24 | 55-24 | |
| Total points | 79 | 79 | |
| Winners | 15 | 15 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 27% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 20/37 | 20/37 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 15/20 | 15/20 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/17 | 14/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 82% | 82% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Trevisan | |||
| Q1 Bucsa | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 55-35 | 55-35 | |
| Total points | 90 | 90 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 33/45 | 33/45 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 23/33 | 23/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 7/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Yuki BhambriBhambri – Liam BroadyBroady (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ramkumar RamanathanRamanathan – Marinko MatosevicMatosevic (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sekou BangouraBangoura – Austin KrajicekKrajicek (6-71 7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexios HalebianHalebian – Marc PolmansPolmans (7-65 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Danka KovinicKovinic – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Harmony TanTan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
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- Maria SakkariSakkari – Madison KeysKeys (2-0) – H2H and prediction
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