Ekaterina Alexandrova and Clara Burel will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 5:00 pm on Manolo Santana Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ekaterina Alexandrova who should win in 2 sets.
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 1.31
Clara Burel -> 3.45
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Prediction and head to head Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Clara Burel
This will be the 3rd time that Ekaterina Alexandrova and Clara Burel square off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Burel won 3-6 6-4 6-3 in the Rubber 1 in Billie Jean King Cup, Finals back in 2021.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47-25 | 22-16 | 13-5 | 4-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-25 | 17-13 | 1-7 | 3-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-21 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-18 | 12-10 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-23 | 10-9 | 6-5 | 7-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 45, Ekaterina got to the qualifications after beating Tamara Korpatsch 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Korpatsch (6-4 6-4). During the match, Alexandrova scored 63 points vs Korpatsch’s 55. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alexandrova recorded 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 58% of her first serves in, winning 62% (24/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Korpatsch 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Alexandrova has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 60% of her matches (243-161). 6-2 on clay in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Alexandrova has an overall73-54 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.
The Russian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Charleston.
Alexandrova has a composed 10-8 win-loss record in 2022, 6-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Clara Burel
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-29 | 13-14 | 7-9 | 3-2 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-18 | 11-5 | 17-9 | 9-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-29 | 7-7 | 11-17 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-20 | 7-7 | 18-8 | 15-4 | 4-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 84, Clara reached the qualifications after defeating Diane Parry 6-4 6-75 6-4.
In the qualifications, Burel defeated Parry (6-4 6-75 6-4). During the match Burel scored 115 points vs Parry’s 106. Clara was very aggressive to blast 56 winners.
About the serving games, Burel managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Clara Burel lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Burel put 71% of her first serves in, winning 70% (56/80) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (15/33) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Parry 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
The French player has an aggregate 4-6 win-loss record in 2022, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
The French player has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alexandrova | Burel |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 33 |
| Pts | 63-55 | 115-106 |
| Total Points | 118 | 221 |
| Winners | 24 | 56 |
| %Winners | 38% | 49% |
Both Alexandrova and Burel played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Clara Burel dropped 1 set while Ekaterina Alexandrova hasn’t dropped a set so far. Alexandrova has played 1 set(s) less than Burel (2 vs 3). Therefore, Alexandrova played 13 games less than Burel. Alexandrova scored 24 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The French player recorded 56 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alexandrova | Burel |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3 |
| 1st in | 39/67 | 80/113 |
| %1st in | 58% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 24/39 | 56/80 |
| %1st pts | 62% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 18/28 | 15/33 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 45% |
Alexandrova bagged 2 aces . Burel blasted 3 aces . Alexandrova won 62% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Burel won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alexandrova | Burel |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 5/11 |
| % Converted | 57% | 45% |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 |
| Saved | 1 | 6 |
| % Saved | 33% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
Alexandrova broke her opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Ekaterina dropped her serve twice and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. The French player broke her opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The French player conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Alexandrova | |||
| Q1 Korpatsch | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 63-55 | 63-55 | |
| Total points | 118 | 118 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 39/67 | 39/67 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 24/39 | 24/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/28 | 18/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Burel | |||
| Q1 Parry | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-75 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 115-106 | 115-106 | |
| Total points | 221 | 221 | |
| Winners | 56 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 80/113 | 80/113 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 56/80 | 56/80 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/33 | 15/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Ramkumar RamanathanRamanathan – Marinko MatosevicMatosevic (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sekou BangouraBangoura – Austin KrajicekKrajicek (6-71 7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexios HalebianHalebian – Marc PolmansPolmans (7-65 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yuki BhambriBhambri – Liam BroadyBroady (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Clara BurelBurel (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Danka KovinicKovinic – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Harmony TanTan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kristina MladenovicMladenovic – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrea PetkovicPetkovic – Kaja JuvanJuvan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Oceane DodinDodin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna BondarBondar – Greetje MinnenMinnen (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Heather WatsonWatson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jil TeichmannTeichmann – Petra KvitovaKvitova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ana KonjuhKonjuh – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Tereza MartincovaMartincova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Clara TausonTauson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sloane StephensStephens – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Madison KeysKeys (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Alison RiskeRiske (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Monica PuigPuig – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Shelby RogersRogers (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Simona HalepHalep – Shuai ZhangZhang (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (3-1) – H2H and prediction