Keegan Smith and Fajing Sun will fight against each other in the 1st round of the Morelos Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 1:30 pm on CANCHA 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Keegan Smith who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Keegan Smith is the pick to win this match.
Keegan Smith -> 1.38
Fajing Sun -> 2.94
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Keegan Smith vs. Fajing Sun
There is no head to head record between Keegan Smith and Fajing Sun since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Keegan Smith
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-14 | 17-12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-26 | 31-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-24 | 26-14 | 3-4 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-4 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 421, Keegan got to the 1st round after beating Eduardo Bribiesca 6-1 3-6 6-0 and Akira Santillan 6-4 7-5.
In the qualifications, Smith had a good straight sets win against Santillan (6-4 7-5). During the match, Smith scored 63 points vs Santillan’s 57. Keegan was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Smith blasted 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Keegan Smith conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Smith put 74% of his first serves in, winning 82% (37/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (8/16) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Santillan twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Smith has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 68% of his matches (84-39). 14-3 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Smith has a compiled68-29 record in the last 7 years on hard.
Keegan’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Cancun and M25 Bakersfield.
Smith has a compiled 17-7 win-loss record in 2022, 14-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Morelos Challenger
Smith has never competed in this tournament before.
Fajing Sun
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-13 | 14-9 | 7-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-27 | 25-22 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 32-18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 614, Fajing got to the 1st round after beating Mukund Sasikumar 7-5 6-2 and Aziz Dougaz 6-2 0-6 6-2.
In the qualifications, Fajing defeated Dougaz (6-2 0-6 6-2). During the match Sun scored 68 points vs Dougaz’s 66. Fajing was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Sun scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 4 double faults. Fajing Sun lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Sun put 55% of his first serves in, winning 72% (26/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 34% (10/29) on the 2nd serve. Sun broke Dougaz 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chinese started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Fajing has a compiled 2-1 win-loss record in 2022, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Smith | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 42 |
| Pts | 148-116 | 147-130 |
| Total Points | 264 | 277 |
| Winners | 72 | 61 |
| %Winners | 49% | 41% |
Both Smith and Sun played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Keegan Smith dropped 1 set, while Fajing Sun surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Smith and Sun have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Smith played 2 games more than Sun. The American scored 72 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Fajing managed to score 61 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Smith | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 85/120 | 77/132 |
| %1st in | 71% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 72/85 | 61/77 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 16/35 | 21/55 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 38% |
Smith scored 17 aces (8.5 per match). Sun scored 7 aces (3.5 per match). Smith won 85% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Sun won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 38% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Smith | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 8 |
| Converted | 7/19 | 8/17 |
| % Converted | 37% | 47% |
| Conceded | 4 | 11 |
| Saved | 3 | 7 |
| % Saved | 75% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
The American broke his opponents 7 times with a 37% conversion rate. Keegan dropped his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Sun broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. Fajing conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Smith | ||||
| Q1 Bribiesca |
Q3 Santillan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 3-6 6-0 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | 44 | |
| pts | 85-59 | 63-57 | 148-116 | |
| Total points | 144 | 120 | 264 | |
| Winners | 35 | 37 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 59% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 5 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 40/59 | 45/61 | 85/120 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 74% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 35/40 | 37/45 | 72/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 82% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/19 | 8/16 | 16/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 50% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 2/6 | 7/19 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 33% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 2/2 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sun | ||||
| Q1 Kumar Mukund |
Q3 Dougaz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | 6-2 0-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 22 | 42 | |
| pts | 79-64 | 68-66 | 147-130 | |
| Total points | 143 | 134 | 277 | |
| Winners | 35 | 26 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 38% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 41/67 | 36/65 | 77/132 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 55% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 35/41 | 26/36 | 61/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 72% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/26 | 10/29 | 21/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 34% | 38% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 5/8 | 8/17 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 63% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 3/7 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 43% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWLWWL
LWWLWWWWLW Tennis Scores in Morelos Challenger
- Juan Alejandro HernandezAlejandro Hernandez – Yuichi SugitaSugita (6-3 3-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Prajnesh GunneswaranGunneswaran – Calvin HemeryHemery (7-610 4-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ernesto EscobedoEscobedo – Denis IstominIstomin (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Adrian Menendez-MaceirasMenendez-Maceiras – Brayden SchnurSchnur (5-7 7-63 2-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yunseong ChungChung – Bernard TomicTomic (6-3 3-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Malek JaziriJaziri – Pedja KrstinKrstin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rodolfo Jauregui Sainz De RozasJauregui Sainz De Rozas – Roberto QuirozQuiroz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elmar EjupovicEjupovic – Goncalo OliveiraOliveira (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Benjamin LockLock – Skander MansouriMansouri (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Naoki NakagawaNakagawa – Steven DiezDiez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ernesto EscobedoEscobedo – Prajnesh GunneswaranGunneswaran (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Viktor DurasovicDurasovic – Jay ClarkeClarke (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas MejiaMejia – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Keegan SmithSmith – Fajing SunSun (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
