Michail Pervolarakis and Naoki Nakagawa will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Morelos Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:30 pm on CANCHA 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naoki Nakagawa who should win in 3 sets.
Naoki Nakagawa -> 1.63
Michail Pervolarakis -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Michail Pervolarakis vs. Naoki Nakagawa
This will be the 2nd time that Michail Pervolarakis and Naoki Nakagawa play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Nakagawa (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Nakagawa won 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the final in M25 Afula back in 2021.
Michail Pervolarakis
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-32 | 16-20 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 28-22 | 25-20 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-13 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 31-25 | 31-23 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 391, the Greek reached the qualifications after beating Kyle Seelig 6-4 1-6 6-3.
In the qualifications, Michail defeated Seelig (6-4 1-6 6-3). During the match, Pervolarakis scored 82 points vs Seelig’s 78. The Greek was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pervolarakis fired 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Michail Pervolarakis lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Pervolarakis put 57% of his first serves in, winning 70% (30/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. The Greek broke Seelig 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Pervolarakis has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 55% of his matches (107-88). 8-8 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pervolarakis has a compiled98-77 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Michail has an overall 11-13 win-loss record in 2022, 8-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Morelos Challenger
The Greek has never competed in this tournament before.
Naoki Nakagawa
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-22 | 15-21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-16 | 13-12 | 1-1 | 11-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 42-19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-27 | 16-16 | 10-9 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-15 | 32-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 508, the Japanese reached the qualifications after defeating Sho Shimabukuro 6-4 7-5.
In the qualifications, Nakagawa had a good straight sets win against Shimabukuro (6-4 7-5). During the match Nakagawa scored 69 points vs Shimabukuro’s 57. Naoki was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Nakagawa scored 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Naoki Nakagawa was pretty efficient on serve to win 81% (26/32) of his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Japanese broke Shimabukuro 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Nakagawa has a compiled 8-5 win-loss record in 2022, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pervolarakis | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 22 |
| Pts | 82-78 | 69-57 |
| Total Points | 160 | 126 |
| Winners | 30 | 26 |
| %Winners | 37% | 38% |
Both Pervolarakis and Nakagawa played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Michail Pervolarakis lost 1 set while Naoki Nakagawa hasn’t conceded a set so far. Pervolarakis has played 1 set more than Nakagawa (3 vs 2). Therefore, Pervolarakis played 4 games more than Nakagawa. The Greek scored 30 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Naoki scored 26 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pervolarakis | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 5 |
| 1st in | 43/76 | 32/60 |
| %1st in | 57% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 30/43 | 26/32 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 15/28 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 54% |
Pervolarakis bagged 9 aces . Nakagawa bagged 5 aces . Pervolarakis won 70% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Nakagawa won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pervolarakis | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 |
| % Converted | 57% | 57% |
| Conceded | 10 | 6 |
| Saved | 6 | 4 |
| % Saved | 60% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
The Greek broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Michail surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Nakagawa broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Nakagawa conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Pervolarakis | |||
| Q1 Seelig | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 1-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 82-78 | 82-78 | |
| Total points | 160 | 160 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 43/76 | 43/76 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 30/43 | 30/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 16/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Nakagawa | |||
| Q1 Shimabukuro | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 69-57 | 69-57 | |
| Total points | 126 | 126 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 32/60 | 32/60 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 26/32 | 26/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 15/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Adrian Menendez-MaceirasMenendez-Maceiras – Brayden SchnurSchnur (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Malek JaziriJaziri – Pedja KrstinKrstin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bernard TomicTomic – Yunseong ChungChung (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rodolfo Jauregui Sainz De RozasJauregui Sainz De Rozas – Roberto QuirozQuiroz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Benjamin LockLock – Matias Franco DescotteFranco Descotte (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jc AragoneAragone – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Calvin HemeryHemery – Prajnesh GunneswaranGunneswaran (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ernesto EscobedoEscobedo – Denis IstominIstomin (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Akira SantillanSantillan – Keegan SmithSmith (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Viktor DurasovicDurasovic – Jay ClarkeClarke (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Michail PervolarakisPervolarakis – Naoki NakagawaNakagawa (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Fajing SunSun – Aziz DougazDougaz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas MejiaMejia – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Hernandez SerranoHernandez Serrano – Yuichi SugitaSugita (0-0) – H2H and prediction