Akira Santillan and Keegan Smith will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Morelos Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on CANCHA 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Akira Santillan who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Akira Santillan is the pick to win this match.
Akira Santillan -> 1.72
Keegan Smith -> 2.07
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Prediction and head to head Akira Santillan vs. Keegan Smith
There is no head to head record between Akira Santillan and Keegan Smith since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Akira Santillan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-33 | 11-13 | 21-14 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-28 | 28-19 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 20-15 | 2-5 | 12-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 385, Santillan got to the qualifications after defeating Jose Antonio Rodriguez 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Akira had a good straight sets win against Antonio Rodriguez Rodriguez (6-4 6-4). During the match, Santillan scored 70 points vs Antonio Rodriguez Rodriguez’s 57. Santillan was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Santillan bagged 6 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Akira Santillan was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (24/31) of his 1st serve and 53% (16/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Akira broke Antonio Rodriguez Rodriguez 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Santillan has a winning match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (216-160). 11-6 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Santillan has an aggregate 144-92 record in the last years on hard.
Akira’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Canberra.
Akira has an overall 14-9 win-loss record in 2022, 11-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Morelos Challenger
Santillan has never competed in this tournament before.
Keegan Smith
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-10 | 12-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-26 | 31-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-24 | 26-14 | 3-4 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-4 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 421, Smith got to the qualifications after defeating Eduardo Bribiesca 6-1 3-6 6-0.
In the qualifications, Smith defeated Bribiesca (6-1 3-6 6-0). During the match Smith scored 85 points vs Bribiesca’s 59. Smith was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, Smith fired 12 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Keegan Smith lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Smith put 68% of his first serves in, winning 88% (35/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (8/19) on the 2nd serve. Smith broke Bribiesca 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Keegan’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Cancun and M25 Bakersfield.
Smith has a composed 16-7 win-loss record in 2022, 13-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Santillan | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 22 |
| Pts | 70-57 | 85-59 |
| Total Points | 127 | 144 |
| Winners | 24 | 35 |
| %Winners | 34% | 41% |
Both Santillan and Smith played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Keegan Smith conceded 1 set while Akira Santillan hasn’t lost a set so far. Santillan has played 1 set(s) less than Smith (2 vs 3). Therefore, Santillan played 2 games less than Smith. Santillan scored 24 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Smith managed to score 35 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Santillan | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 12 |
| 1st in | 31/61 | 40/59 |
| %1st in | 51% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 35/40 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 88% |
| 2nd pts | 16/30 | 8/19 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 42% |
Santillan made 6 aces . Smith bagged 12 aces . Santillan won 77% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Smith won 88% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Santillan | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/13 |
| % Converted | 50% | 38% |
| Conceded | 6 | 2 |
| Saved | 4 | 1 |
| % Saved | 67% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Akira broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Santillan surrendered his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Keegan broke his opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Smith conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Santillan | |||
| Q1 Antonio Rodriguez Rodriguez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 70-57 | 70-57 | |
| Total points | 127 | 127 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 31/61 | 31/61 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 24/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/30 | 16/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Smith | |||
| Q1 Bribiesca |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 3-6 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 85-59 | 85-59 | |
| Total points | 144 | 144 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 40/59 | 40/59 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 35/40 | 35/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/19 | 8/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLLWWLL
LLWWLLWLWW
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