Diego Sebastian Schwartzman and Pablo Carreno-Busta will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on PISTA JAN KODES. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Diego Sebastian Schwartzman who should win in 3 sets.
Diego Sebastian Schwartzman -> 1.82
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 2.08
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Prediction and head to head Diego Sebastian Schwartzman vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta
This will be the 4th time that Diego Sebastian Schwartzman and Pablo Carreno-Busta square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Carreno-Busta (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Carreno-Busta won 6-4 3-6 7-5 in the quarter in Barcelona back in 2021.
Highlights Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Diego Sebastian Schwartzman – Barcelona 23-April-2021
Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|
Ranked no. 15, Diego got to the semifinal after beating Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-2 6-2, Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 7-5 and Felix Auger Aliassime 3-6 6-2 6-3.
In the quarter against Auger-Aliassime, Schwartzman recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-2 6-3). During the match, Schwartzman scored 85 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 77. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Schwartzman couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Diego Sebastian Schwartzman lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Schwartzman put 71% of his first serves in, winning 64% (38/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the 2nd serve. Schwartzman broke Auger-Aliassime 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Diego has lost 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Schwartzman has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (367-236). 15-4 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Schwartzman has a compiled 243-124 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Schwartzman’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Buenos Aires and Rio de Janeiro.
Schwartzman has an aggregate 19-8 win-loss record in 2022, 15-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Barcelona
Pablo Carreno-Busta
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-27 | 25-10 | 14-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, the Spaniard got to the semifinal after defeating Bernabe Zapata Miralles 6-3 6-3, Lorenzo Sonego 6-2 5-7 6-2 and Casper Ruud 4-6 7-68 6-3.
In the quarter against Ruud, Pablo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-68 6-3).During the match Carreno-Busta scored less points (1) than Ruud. In fact, the world no. 15 won 119 points vs Ruud’s. That means that Carreno-Busta was more focused during the important points. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 60 winners.
Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve twice and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 70% of his first serves in, winning 64% (60/94) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (23/41) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Ruud twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carreno-Busta has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Spaniard has a compiled 14-7 win-loss record in 2022, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Barcelona
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2018 and 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Schwartzman | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 64 | 78 |
| Pts | 229-191 | 287-258 |
| Total Points | 420 | 545 |
| Winners | 82 | 119 |
| %Winners | 36% | 41% |
Both Schwartzman and Carreno-Busta played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Diego Sebastian Schwartzman conceded 1 set, while Pablo Carreno-Busta lost 2 sets. Schwartzman has played 1 set(s) less than Carreno-Busta (7 vs 8). Therefore, Schwartzman played 14 games less than Carreno-Busta. The Argentine scored 82 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Pablo made 119 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Schwartzman | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| 1st in | 133/198 | 185/276 |
| %1st in | 67% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 82/133 | 119/185 |
| %1st pts | 62% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 31/65 | 55/91 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 60% |
Schwartzman made 2 aces (0.7 per match). Carreno-Busta managed to score 5 aces (1.7 per match). Schwartzman won 62% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 64% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Schwartzman | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 12 |
| Converted | 18/38 | 12/28 |
| % Converted | 47% | 43% |
| Conceded | 18 | 26 |
| Saved | 8 | 20 |
| % Saved | 44% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 6 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 18 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. Pablo broke his opponents 12 times with a 43% conversion rate. Pablo conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Schwartzman | |||||
| R2 Mcdonald | R3 Musetti | 1/4 Auger-Aliassime | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 7-5 | 3-6 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 22 | 26 | 64 | |
| pts | 70-48 | 74-66 | 85-77 | 229-191 | |
| Total points | 118 | 140 | 162 | 420 | |
| Winners | 19 | 25 | 38 | 82 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 34% | 45% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 31/47 | 43/68 | 59/83 | 133/198 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 63% | 71% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 19/31 | 25/43 | 38/59 | 82/133 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 58% | 64% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/16 | 9/25 | 15/24 | 31/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 36% | 63% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 7 | 4 | 18 | |
| Converted | 7/18 | 7/14 | 4/6 | 18/38 | |
| Converted % | 39% | 50% | 67% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 0/5 | 8/10 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | 80% | 27% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | |
| Carreno-Busta | |||||
| R2 Zapata Miralles | R3 Sonego | 1/4 Ruud | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-2 5-7 6-2 | 4-6 7-68 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 28 | 32 | 78 | |
| pts | 65-51 | 103-87 | 119-120 | 287-258 | |
| Total points | 116 | 190 | 239 | 545 | |
| Winners | 19 | 40 | 60 | 119 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 39% | 50% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 34/53 | 57/88 | 94/135 | 185/276 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 65% | 70% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 19/34 | 40/57 | 60/94 | 119/185 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 70% | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 21/31 | 23/41 | 55/91 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 68% | 56% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 4/8 | 2/8 | 12/28 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 25% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 5/6 | 12/14 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 83% | 86% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
Tennis Scores in Barcelona
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-3 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (3-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Casper RuudRuud (4-6 7-68 6-3) – See score progression
- Kevin Krawietz/Andreas MiesKrawietz/Andreas Mies – Juan-Sebastian Cabal/Robert FarahCabal/Robert Farah (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction