Diego Sebastian Schwartzman and Pablo Carreno-Busta will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on PISTA JAN KODES. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Diego Sebastian Schwartzman who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Diego Sebastian Schwartzman is the pick to win this match.
Diego Sebastian Schwartzman -> 1.82
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 2.08

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Prediction and head to head Diego Sebastian Schwartzman vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta

This will be the 4th time that Diego Sebastian Schwartzman and Pablo Carreno-Busta square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Carreno-Busta (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Carreno-Busta won 6-4 3-6 7-5 in the quarter in Barcelona back in 2021.

Highlights Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Diego Sebastian Schwartzman – Barcelona 23-April-2021

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
High
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet

Ranked no. 15, Diego got to the semifinal after beating Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-2 6-2, Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 7-5 and Felix Auger Aliassime 3-6 6-2 6-3.

In the quarter against Auger-Aliassime, Schwartzman recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-2 6-3). During the match, Schwartzman scored 85 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 77. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Regarding the service games, Schwartzman couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Diego Sebastian Schwartzman lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Schwartzman put 71% of his first serves in, winning 64% (38/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the 2nd serve. Schwartzman broke Auger-Aliassime 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Diego has lost 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.

Schwartzman has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (367-236). 15-4 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Schwartzman has a compiled 243-124 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Schwartzman’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Buenos Aires and Rio de Janeiro.

Schwartzman has an aggregate 19-8 win-loss record in 2022, 15-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Barcelona

Barcelona
Schwartzman's Record

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Pablo Carreno-Busta

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
89
High
10
LLWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-27 25-10 14-14 1-3 0-0 0-0
2024 10-12 7-6 2-4 1-1 0-1 0-0
2023 2-5 2-4 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 37-25 19-8 11-9 5-5 2-3 0-0
2021 38-18 14-8 17-4 5-4 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 19, the Spaniard got to the semifinal after defeating Bernabe Zapata Miralles 6-3 6-3, Lorenzo Sonego 6-2 5-7 6-2 and Casper Ruud 4-6 7-68 6-3.

In the quarter against Ruud, Pablo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-68 6-3).During the match Carreno-Busta scored less points (1) than Ruud. In fact, the world no. 15 won 119 points vs Ruud’s. That means that Carreno-Busta was more focused during the important points. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 60 winners.

Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve twice and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 70% of his first serves in, winning 64% (60/94) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (23/41) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Ruud twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Carreno-Busta has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The Spaniard has a compiled 14-7 win-loss record in 2022, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Barcelona

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2018 and 2021. See his history.

Barcelona
Carreno-Busta's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Schwartzman
P.Carreno-Busta
5h:44
5h:44
Time on court​
7h:11
7h:11
!
2h:12
2h:12
Last match​
!
3h:02
3h:02
3
3
Match played
3
3
64
64
Games Played​
78
78
7
7
Set played​​
8
8
229
229
Total points​
287
287
76.3
76.3
Avg point​
95.7
95.7
82
82
Winners
119
119
27.3
27.3
Avg Winners​
39.7
39.7
36%
36%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
5
5
0.7
0.7
Avg Aces
1.7
1.7
9
9
Double Faults
2
2
3
3
Avg Double Faults
0.7
0.7
82/133
82/133
1st won total​
119/185
119/185
62%
62%
1st won %
64%
64%
31/65
31/65
2nd won total​
55/91
55/91
48%
48%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
18/38
18/38
BP won
12/28
12/28
6/12.7
6/12.7
Avg BP won
4/9.3
4/9.3
47%
47%
Won
43%
43%
18
18
Conceded
26
26
6
6
Avg Conceded
8.7
8.7
10
10
Broken
6
6
3.3
3.3
Avg Broken
2
2
8
8
Saved
20
20

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Schwartzman Carreno-Busta
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 8
Tot Games 64 78
Pts 229-191 287-258
Total Points 420 545
Winners 82 119
%Winners 36% 41%

Both Schwartzman and Carreno-Busta played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Diego Sebastian Schwartzman conceded 1 set, while Pablo Carreno-Busta lost 2 sets. Schwartzman has played 1 set(s) less than Carreno-Busta (7 vs 8). Therefore, Schwartzman played 14 games less than Carreno-Busta. The Argentine scored 82 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Pablo made 119 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Schwartzman Carreno-Busta
Aces 2 5
Avg per match 0.7 1.7
1st in 133/198 185/276
%1st in 67% 67%
1st pts 82/133 119/185
%1st pts 62% 64%
2nd pts 31/65 55/91
%2nd pts 48% 60%

Schwartzman made 2 aces (0.7 per match). Carreno-Busta managed to score 5 aces (1.7 per match). Schwartzman won 62% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 64% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Schwartzman Carreno-Busta
Won 18 12
Converted 18/38 12/28
% Converted 47% 43%
Conceded 18 26
Saved 8 20
% Saved 44% 77%
Times Broken 10 6

The Argentine broke his opponents 18 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. Pablo broke his opponents 12 times with a 43% conversion rate. Pablo conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.

Schwartzman
R2
Mcdonald
R3
Musetti
1/4
Auger-Aliassime
Total
Score 6-2 6-2 6-4 7-5 3-6 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 16 22 26 64
pts 70-48 74-66 85-77 229-191
Total points 118 140 162 420
Winners 19 25 38 82
%Winners 27% 34% 45% 36%
SERVE
Aces 1 1 0 2
Double Faults 1 6 2 9
1st in 31/47 43/68 59/83 133/198
% 1st in 66% 63% 71% 67%
1st pts 19/31 25/43 38/59 82/133
% 1st pts 61% 58% 64% 62%
2nd pts 7/16 9/25 15/24 31/65
% 2nd pts 44% 36% 63% 48%
Breaks
Won 7 7 4 18
Converted 7/18 7/14 4/6 18/38
Converted % 39% 50% 67% 47%
Conceded 3 5 10 18
Saved 0/3 0/5 8/10 8
Saved % 0% 0% 80% 27%
Times Broken 3 5 2 10
Carreno-Busta
R2
Zapata Miralles
R3
Sonego
1/4
Ruud
Total
Score 6-3 6-3 6-2 5-7 6-2 4-6 7-68 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 3 8
Tot Games 18 28 32 78
pts 65-51 103-87 119-120 287-258
Total points 116 190 239 545
Winners 19 40 60 119
%Winners 29% 39% 50% 41%
SERVE
Aces 1 3 1 5
Double Faults 0 0 2 2
1st in 34/53 57/88 94/135 185/276
% 1st in 64% 65% 70% 67%
1st pts 19/34 40/57 60/94 119/185
% 1st pts 56% 70% 64% 64%
2nd pts 11/19 21/31 23/41 55/91
% 2nd pts 58% 68% 56% 60%
Breaks
Won 6 4 2 12
Converted 6/12 4/8 2/8 12/28
Converted % 50% 50% 25% 43%
Conceded 6 6 14 26
Saved 3/6 5/6 12/14 20
Saved % 50% 83% 86% 73%
Times Broken 3 1 2 6

Tennis Scores in Barcelona

  • Alex De MinaurDe MinaurCameron NorrieNorrie (6-3 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
  • Carlos AlcarazAlcarazStefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
  • Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian SchwartzmanFelix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (3-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
  • Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-BustaCasper RuudRuud (4-6 7-68 6-3) – See score progression
  • Kevin Krawietz/Andreas MiesKrawietz/Andreas MiesJuan-Sebastian Cabal/Robert FarahCabal/Robert Farah (6-4 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian SchwartzmanPablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (1-2) – H2H and prediction
  • Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz GarfiaAlex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction