Federico Gaio and Steven Diez will square off in the quarter of the Aguascalientes Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:00 pm on CANCHA LA HUERTA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Federico Gaio who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Federico Gaio is the pick to win this match.
Federico Gaio -> 1.66
Steven Diez -> 2.10

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Prediction and head to head Federico Gaio vs. Steven Diez

This will be the 2^nd time that Federico Gaio and Steven Diez face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Diez (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Diez won 3-6 6-1 6-4 in the 2^nd round in the Burnie Challenger back in 2019.

Federico Gaio

Ranked no. 185, Federico got to the quarter after defeating Paul Jubb 6-4 6-1 and Denis Istomin 6-4 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Gaio had a good straight sets win against Istomin (6-4 6-2). During the match, Gaio scored 70 points vs Istomin’s 50. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Regarding the service games, Gaio bagged 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Federico Gaio was exceptionally effective on serve to win 85% (23/27) of his 1st serve and 70% (14/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Federico broke Istomin 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 58% of the points he played.

Gaio has a positive match record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (354-294). 4-6 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Gaio has an aggregate 249-178 match record in the last years on clay.

Federico has a compiled 4-10 win-loss record in 2022, 4-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Aguascalientes Challenger

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Steven Diez

Ranked no. 297, Diez reached the quarter after defeating Rinky Hijikata 6-2 6-4 and Ernesto Escobedo 6-4 7-6³.

In the 2^nd round, Steven had a good straight sets win against Escobedo (6-4 7-6³). During the match Diez scored 88 points vs Escobedo’s 78. The Canadian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about serving, Diez bagged 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Steven Diez was extremely efficient on serve to win 74% (25/34) of his 1st serve and 64% (25/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Canadian broke Escobedo twice after converting 13% of his break points (2/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Diez hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Diez has an overall 9-11 win-loss record in 2022, 7-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Gaio	Diez
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	4
Tot Games	35	41
Pts	131-94	149-127
Total Points	225	276
Winners	44	48
%Winners	34%	32%

Both Gaio and Diez played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Gaio and Diez have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Gaio played 6 games less than Diez. The Italian scored 44 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Diez bagged 48 winners (32%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Gaio	Diez
Aces	16	9
Avg per match	8	4.5
1st in	53/94	64/130
%1st in	56%	49%
1st pts	44/53	48/64
%1st pts	83%	75%
2nd pts	24/41	40/66
%2nd pts	59%	61%

Gaio struck 16 aces (8 per match). Diez made 9 aces (4.5 per match). Gaio won 83% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Diez won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Gaio	Diez
Won	8	6
Converted	8/20	6/23
% Converted	40%	26%
Conceded	2	10
Saved	1	8
% Saved	50%	80%
Times Broken	1	2

Gaio broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. Gaio lost his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Steven broke his opponents 6 times with a 26% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Gaio
	R1 Jubb	R2 Istomin	Total
Score	6-4 6-1	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	17	18	35
pts	61-44	70-50	131-94
Total points	105	120	225
Winners	21	23	44
%Winners	34%	33%	34%
SERVE
Aces	9	7	16
Double Faults	3	3	6
1st in	26/47	27/47	53/94
% 1st in	55%	57%	56%
1st pts	21/26	23/27	44/53
% 1st pts	81%	85%	83%
2nd pts	10/21	14/20	24/41
% 2nd pts	48%	70%	59%
Breaks
Won	5	3	8
Converted	5/9	3/11	8/20
Converted %	56%	27%	40%
Conceded	2	0	2
Saved	1/2	0/0	1
Saved %	50%	–	25%
Times Broken	1	0	1

Diez
	R1 Hijikata	R2 Escobedo	Total
Score	6-2 6-4	6-4 7-63
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	18	23	41
pts	61-49	88-78	149-127
Total points	110	166	276
Winners	23	25	48
%Winners	38%	28%	32%
SERVE
Aces	5	4	9
Double Faults	1	3	4
1st in	30/57	34/73	64/130
% 1st in	53%	47%	49%
1st pts	23/30	25/34	48/64
% 1st pts	77%	74%	75%
2nd pts	15/27	25/39	40/66
% 2nd pts	56%	64%	61%
Breaks
Won	4	2	6
Converted	4/8	2/15	6/23
Converted %	50%	13%	26%
Conceded	4	6	10
Saved	3/4	5/6	8
Saved %	75%	83%	79%
Times Broken	1	1	2

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Adrian Menendez-MaceirasMenendez-Maceiras – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Federico GaioGaio – Steven DiezDiez (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Nicolas JarryJarry (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – (0-0) – H2H and prediction