Federico Gaio and Steven Diez will square off in the quarter of the Aguascalientes Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:00 pm on CANCHA LA HUERTA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Federico Gaio who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Federico Gaio is the pick to win this match.
Federico Gaio -> 1.66
Steven Diez -> 2.10
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Prediction and head to head Federico Gaio vs. Steven Diez
This will be the 2nd time that Federico Gaio and Steven Diez face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Diez (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Diez won 3-6 6-1 6-4 in the 2nd round in the Burnie Challenger back in 2019.
Federico Gaio
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 14-12 | 25-15 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-28 | 9-9 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-38 | 6-8 | 14-16 | 13-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-19 | 5-4 | 10-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 185, Federico got to the quarter after defeating Paul Jubb 6-4 6-1 and Denis Istomin 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Gaio had a good straight sets win against Istomin (6-4 6-2). During the match, Gaio scored 70 points vs Istomin’s 50. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gaio bagged 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Federico Gaio was exceptionally effective on serve to win 85% (23/27) of his 1st serve and 70% (14/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Federico broke Istomin 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 58% of the points he played.
Gaio has a positive match record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (354-294). 4-6 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Gaio has an aggregate 249-178 match record in the last years on clay.
Federico has a compiled 4-10 win-loss record in 2022, 4-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Aguascalientes Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Steven Diez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4-12 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-36 | 7-13 | 16-19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-32 | 13-12 | 22-19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-28 | 3-6 | 12-16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-16 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 297, Diez reached the quarter after defeating Rinky Hijikata 6-2 6-4 and Ernesto Escobedo 6-4 7-63.
In the 2nd round, Steven had a good straight sets win against Escobedo (6-4 7-63). During the match Diez scored 88 points vs Escobedo’s 78. The Canadian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Diez bagged 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Steven Diez was extremely efficient on serve to win 74% (25/34) of his 1st serve and 64% (25/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Canadian broke Escobedo twice after converting 13% of his break points (2/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Diez hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Diez has an overall 9-11 win-loss record in 2022, 7-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gaio | Diez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 35 | 41 |
| Pts | 131-94 | 149-127 |
| Total Points | 225 | 276 |
| Winners | 44 | 48 |
| %Winners | 34% | 32% |
Both Gaio and Diez played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Gaio and Diez have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Gaio played 6 games less than Diez. The Italian scored 44 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Diez bagged 48 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gaio | Diez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 53/94 | 64/130 |
| %1st in | 56% | 49% |
| 1st pts | 44/53 | 48/64 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 24/41 | 40/66 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 61% |
Gaio struck 16 aces (8 per match). Diez made 9 aces (4.5 per match). Gaio won 83% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Diez won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gaio | Diez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 6 |
| Converted | 8/20 | 6/23 |
| % Converted | 40% | 26% |
| Conceded | 2 | 10 |
| Saved | 1 | 8 |
| % Saved | 50% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Gaio broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. Gaio lost his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Steven broke his opponents 6 times with a 26% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Gaio | ||||
| R1 Jubb |
R2 Istomin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 18 | 35 | |
| pts | 61-44 | 70-50 | 131-94 | |
| Total points | 105 | 120 | 225 | |
| Winners | 21 | 23 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 33% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 7 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 26/47 | 27/47 | 53/94 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 57% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 23/27 | 44/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 85% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 14/20 | 24/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 70% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 3/11 | 8/20 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 27% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Diez | ||||
| R1 Hijikata |
R2 Escobedo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 23 | 41 | |
| pts | 61-49 | 88-78 | 149-127 | |
| Total points | 110 | 166 | 276 | |
| Winners | 23 | 25 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 28% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 30/57 | 34/73 | 64/130 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 47% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 23/30 | 25/34 | 48/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 74% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/27 | 25/39 | 40/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 64% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 2/15 | 6/23 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 13% | 26% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 5/6 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 83% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Adrian Menendez-MaceirasMenendez-Maceiras – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Federico GaioGaio – Steven DiezDiez (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Nicolas JarryJarry (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
