Pablo Carreno-Busta and Lorenzo Sonego will face off in the 3rd round of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:00 pm on PISTA JAN KODES. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.53
Lorenzo Sonego -> 2.50

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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Lorenzo Sonego

This will be the 3rd time that Pablo Carreno-Busta and Lorenzo Sonego play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Carreno-Busta and Sonego (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they played, Carreno-Busta won 7-6(7) 6-0 in the 3rd round in Winston salem back in 2019.

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Pablo Carreno-Busta

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
89
High
10
LWLLWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-28 25-10 14-14 2-4 0-0 0-0
2024 10-12 7-6 2-4 1-1 0-1 0-0
2023 2-5 2-4 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 37-25 19-8 11-9 5-5 2-3 0-0
2021 38-18 14-8 17-4 5-4 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 19, Carreno-Busta reached the 3rd round after beating Bernabe Zapata Miralles 6-3 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Carreno-Busta had a good straight sets win against Zapata Miralles (6-3 6-3). During the match, Carreno-Busta scored 65 points vs Zapata Miralles’s 51. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Regarding the service games, Carreno-Busta scored just 1 ace and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 64% of his first serves in, winning 56% (19/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the 2nd serve. Pablo broke Zapata Miralles 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).

Carreno-Busta has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (381-210). 3-2 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Carreno-Busta has a composed 213-96 match record in the last years on clay.

Carreno-Busta has an overall 12-7 win-loss record in 2022, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Barcelona

Barcelona
Carreno-Busta's Record

Lorenzo Sonego

Lorenzo Sonego

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
39
High
21
LWWWLWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-29 11-14 1-5 8-6 5-4 0-0
2024 27-33 10-14 10-11 4-5 3-3 0-0
2023 30-31 10-12 9-7 9-8 2-4 0-0
2022 30-29 7-9 8-11 10-5 5-4 0-0
2021 30-24 9-11 9-4 6-6 6-3 0-0

Ranked no. 28, Lorenzo reached the 3rd round after defeating Elias Ymer 6-4 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Ymer (6-4 6-2). During the match Sonego scored 63 points vs Ymer’s 41. Sonego was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about serving, Sonego made 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Lorenzo Sonego was pretty effective on serve to win 89% (34/38) of his 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sonego broke Ymer 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Sonego’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Buenos Aires.

Lorenzo has a composed 10-10 win-loss record in 2022, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Barcelona

Lorenzo has never competed in this tournament before.

Barcelona
Sonego's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

P.Carreno-Busta
L.Sonego
1h:27
1h:27
Time on court​
1h:17
1h:17
1h:27
1h:27
Last match​
1h:17
1h:17
1
1
Match played
1
1
18
18
Games Played​
18
18
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
65
65
Total points​
63
63
65
65
Avg point​
63
63
19
19
Winners
34
34
19
19
Avg Winners​
34
34
29%
29%
Ratio winners
54%
54%
-- Serve --
1
1
Aces
2
2
1
1
Avg Aces
2
2
0
0
Double Faults
1
1
0
0
Avg Double Faults
1
1
19/34
19/34
1st won total​
34/38
34/38
56%
56%
1st won %
!
89%
89%
11/19
11/19
2nd won total​
7/12
7/12
58%
58%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
6/12
6/12
BP won
3/6
3/6
6/12
6/12
Avg BP won
3/6
3/6
50%
50%
Won
50%
50%
6
6
Conceded
4
4
6
6
Avg Conceded
4
4
3
3
Broken
0
0
3
3
Avg Broken
!
0
0
3
3
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Carreno-Busta Sonego
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
Pts 65-51 63-41
Total Points 116 104
Winners 19 34
%Winners 29% 54%

Both Carreno-Busta and Sonego played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Carreno-Busta and Sonego have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (18). Pablo scored 19 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, Lorenzo fired 34 winners (54%).

Serve Performance

Serve Carreno-Busta Sonego
Aces 1 2
Avg per match 1 2
1st in 34/53 38/50
%1st in 64% 76%
1st pts 19/34 34/38
%1st pts 56% 89%
2nd pts 11/19 7/12
%2nd pts 58% 58%

Carreno-Busta struck 1 ace . Sonego also blasted 2 aces . Carreno-Busta won 56% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Sonego won 89% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Carreno-Busta Sonego
Won 6 3
Converted 6/12 3/6
% Converted 50% 50%
Conceded 6 4
Saved 3 4
% Saved 50% 100%
Times Broken 3 0

Pablo broke his opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Pablo dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Sonego broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.

Carreno-Busta
R2
Zapata Miralles
Total
Score 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
pts 65-51 65-51
Total points 116 116
Winners 19 19
%Winners 29% 29%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 34/53 34/53
% 1st in 64% 64%
1st pts 19/34 19/34
% 1st pts 56% 56%
2nd pts 11/19 11/19
% 2nd pts 58% 58%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/12 6/12
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 3/6 3
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 3 3
Sonego
R2
Ymer
Total
Score 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
pts 63-41 63-41
Total points 104 104
Winners 34 34
%Winners 54% 54%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 38/50 38/50
% 1st in 76% 76%
1st pts 34/38 34/38
% 1st pts 89% 89%
2nd pts 7/12 7/12
% 2nd pts 58% 58%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/6 3/6
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 4/4 4
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

Tennis Scores in Barcelona

Upcoming matches in the draw