Pablo Carreno-Busta and Lorenzo Sonego will face off in the 3rd round of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:00 pm on PISTA JAN KODES. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 3 sets.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.53
Lorenzo Sonego -> 2.50
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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Lorenzo Sonego
This will be the 3rd time that Pablo Carreno-Busta and Lorenzo Sonego play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Carreno-Busta and Sonego (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Carreno-Busta won 7-6(7) 6-0 in the 3rd round in Winston salem back in 2019.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-28 | 25-10 | 14-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, Carreno-Busta reached the 3rd round after beating Bernabe Zapata Miralles 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Carreno-Busta had a good straight sets win against Zapata Miralles (6-3 6-3). During the match, Carreno-Busta scored 65 points vs Zapata Miralles’s 51. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Carreno-Busta scored just 1 ace and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 64% of his first serves in, winning 56% (19/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the 2nd serve. Pablo broke Zapata Miralles 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).
Carreno-Busta has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (381-210). 3-2 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Carreno-Busta has a composed 213-96 match record in the last years on clay.
Carreno-Busta has an overall 12-7 win-loss record in 2022, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Barcelona
Lorenzo Sonego
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-29 | 11-14 | 1-5 | 8-6 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-33 | 10-14 | 10-11 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-31 | 10-12 | 9-7 | 9-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-29 | 7-9 | 8-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-24 | 9-11 | 9-4 | 6-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 28, Lorenzo reached the 3rd round after defeating Elias Ymer 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Ymer (6-4 6-2). During the match Sonego scored 63 points vs Ymer’s 41. Sonego was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Sonego made 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Lorenzo Sonego was pretty effective on serve to win 89% (34/38) of his 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sonego broke Ymer 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Sonego’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Buenos Aires.
Lorenzo has a composed 10-10 win-loss record in 2022, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Barcelona
Lorenzo has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carreno-Busta | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 |
| Pts | 65-51 | 63-41 |
| Total Points | 116 | 104 |
| Winners | 19 | 34 |
| %Winners | 29% | 54% |
Both Carreno-Busta and Sonego played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Carreno-Busta and Sonego have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (18). Pablo scored 19 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, Lorenzo fired 34 winners (54%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carreno-Busta | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2 |
| 1st in | 34/53 | 38/50 |
| %1st in | 64% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 19/34 | 34/38 |
| %1st pts | 56% | 89% |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 7/12 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 58% |
Carreno-Busta struck 1 ace . Sonego also blasted 2 aces . Carreno-Busta won 56% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Sonego won 89% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carreno-Busta | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 3 |
| Converted | 6/12 | 3/6 |
| % Converted | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 50% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
Pablo broke his opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Pablo dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Sonego broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.
| Carreno-Busta | |||
| R2 Zapata Miralles | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 65-51 | 65-51 | |
| Total points | 116 | 116 | |
| Winners | 19 | 19 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 34/53 | 34/53 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 19/34 | 19/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 56% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 11/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Sonego | |||
| R2 Ymer | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 63-41 | 63-41 | |
| Total points | 104 | 104 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 54% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 38/50 | 38/50 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 34/38 | 34/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 7/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Tennis Scores in Barcelona
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (6-1 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Federico CoriaCoria (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Carlos TabernerTaberner (6-1 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Hugo DellienDellien (7-63 6-1) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Lloyd HarrisHarris – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Federico DelbonisDelbonis (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Soon-Woo KwonKwon (6-1 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Alexander BublikBublik (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Daniel EvansEvans (6-4 7-68) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Elias YmerYmer (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Egor GerasimovGerasimov (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (6-1 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Lloyd HarrisHarris (1-1) – H2H and prediction