Akira Santillan and Shintaro Mochizuki will square off in the 1st round of the Aguascalientes Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 6:30 pm on CANCHA LA HUERTA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Akira Santillan who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Akira Santillan is the pick to win this match.
Akira Santillan -> 1.69
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 2.12

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Prediction and head to head Akira Santillan vs. Shintaro Mochizuki

There is no head to head record between Akira Santillan and Shintaro Mochizuki since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Akira Santillan

Akira Santillan

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
348
High
144
LWWWLWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 61-22 33-13 6-2 22-7 0-0 0-0
2024 3-7 3-6 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2023 39-33 11-13 21-14 7-6 0-0 0-0
2022 37-28 28-19 9-8 0-0 0-0 0-1
2021 20-15 2-5 12-7 6-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 384, the Australian reached the 1st round after beating Hady Habib 6-2 6-4 and Jc Aragone 3-6 7-5 6-2.

In the qualifications against Aragone, Akira recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-2). During the match, Santillan scored 99 points vs Aragone’s 95. The Australian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Regarding the service games, Santillan fired 11 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Akira Santillan lost the serve 5 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Santillan put 56% of his first serves in, winning 69% (40/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (18/45) on the 2nd serve. Akira broke Aragone 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Santillan started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Santillan has a good record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (215-159). 3-2 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Santillan has an overall 43-44 record in the last years on clay.

Akira’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Canberra.

Santillan has a compiled 13-8 win-loss record in 2022, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Aguascalientes Challenger

Santillan has never competed in this tournament before.

Aguascalientes Challenger
Santillan's Record

Shintaro Mochizuki

Shintaro Mochizuki

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
94
High
92
LLLWLLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 43-31 27-16 2-6 3-6 11-3 0-0
2024 28-33 19-22 7-5 0-1 2-5 0-0
2023 41-33 22-16 13-8 2-5 4-4 0-0
2022 37-34 18-17 13-12 6-5 0-0 0-0
2021 35-30 11-10 18-11 5-7 1-1 0-1

Ranked no. 431, the Japanese reached the 1st round after beating Skander Mansouri 7-64 6-2 and Mukund Sasikumar 7-65 6-3.

In the qualifications, Mochizuki had a good straight sets win against Kumar Mukund (7-65 6-3). During the match Mochizuki scored 71 points vs Kumar Mukund’s 63. Shintaro was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.

About the serving games, Mochizuki struck 12 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Shintaro Mochizuki lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 53% of his first serves in, winning 80% (28/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (14/31) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Kumar Mukund 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Japanese started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.

The Japanese has an overall 7-7 win-loss record in 2022, 3-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Aguascalientes Challenger
Mochizuki's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.Santillan
S.Mochizuki
3h:02
3h:02
Time on court​
3h:15
3h:15
1h:58
1h:58
Last match​
1h:36
1h:36
2
2
Match played
2
2
47
47
Games Played​
43
43
5
5
Set played​​
4
4
166
166
Total points​
145
145
83
83
Avg point​
72.5
72.5
68
68
Winners
58
58
34
34
Avg Winners​
29
29
41%
41%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
22
22
Aces
14
14
!
11
11
Avg Aces
7
7
9
9
Double Faults
16
16
4.5
4.5
Avg Double Faults
!
8
8
68/89
68/89
1st won total​
58/77
58/77
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
28/62
28/62
2nd won total​
31/67
31/67
45%
45%
2nd won %
46%
46%
-- Break Points --
9/24
9/24
BP won
7/13
7/13
4.5/12
4.5/12
Avg BP won
3.5/6.5
3.5/6.5
38%
38%
Won
!
54%
54%
13
13
Conceded
15
15
6.5
6.5
Avg Conceded
7.5
7.5
5
5
Broken
4
4
2.5
2.5
Avg Broken
2
2
8
8
Saved
11
11

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Santillan Mochizuki
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 4
Tot Games 47 43
Pts 166-144 145-127
Total Points 310 272
Winners 68 58
%Winners 41% 40%

Both Santillan and Mochizuki played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Akira Santillan lost 1 set while Shintaro Mochizuki hasn’t dropped a set so far. Santillan has played 1 set more than Mochizuki (5 vs 4). Therefore, Santillan played 4 games more than Mochizuki. The Australian scored 68 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Mochizuki struck 58 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Santillan Mochizuki
Aces 22 14
Avg per match 11 7
1st in 89/151 77/144
%1st in 59% 53%
1st pts 68/89 58/77
%1st pts 76% 75%
2nd pts 28/62 31/67
%2nd pts 45% 46%

Santillan struck 22 aces (11 per match). Mochizuki bagged 14 aces (7 per match). Santillan won 76% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Mochizuki won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Santillan Mochizuki
Won 9 7
Converted 9/24 7/13
% Converted 38% 54%
Conceded 13 15
Saved 8 11
% Saved 62% 73%
Times Broken 5 4

Santillan broke his opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. Akira surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded. Mochizuki broke his opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Santillan
Q1
Habib
Q3
Aragone
Total
Score 6-2 6-4 3-6 7-5 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 18 29 47
pts 67-49 99-95 166-144
Total points 116 194 310
Winners 28 40 68
%Winners 42% 40% 41%
SERVE
Aces 11 11 22
Double Faults 1 8 9
1st in 31/48 58/103 89/151
% 1st in 65% 56% 59%
1st pts 28/31 40/58 68/89
% 1st pts 90% 69% 76%
2nd pts 10/17 18/45 28/62
% 2nd pts 59% 40% 45%
Breaks
Won 3 6 9
Converted 3/13 6/11 9/24
Converted % 23% 55% 38%
Conceded 1 12 13
Saved 1/1 7/12 8
Saved % 100% 58% 79%
Times Broken 0 5 5
Mochizuki
Q1
Mansouri
Q3
Kumar Mukund
Total
Score 7-64 6-2 7-65 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 21 22 43
pts 74-64 71-63 145-127
Total points 138 134 272
Winners 30 28 58
%Winners 41% 39% 40%
SERVE
Aces 2 12 14
Double Faults 8 8 16
1st in 42/78 35/66 77/144
% 1st in 54% 53% 53%
1st pts 30/42 28/35 58/77
% 1st pts 71% 80% 75%
2nd pts 17/36 14/31 31/67
% 2nd pts 47% 45% 46%
Breaks
Won 4 3 7
Converted 4/7 3/6 7/13
Converted % 57% 50% 54%
Conceded 8 7 15
Saved 6/8 5/7 11
Saved % 75% 71% 73%
Times Broken 2 2 4

Tennis Scores in Aguascalientes Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw