Matteo Arnaldi and Michael Geerts will fight against each other in the 1st round of the Split Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 3:30 pm on COURT 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.727
Michael Geerts -> 2.06
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Michael Geerts
There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Michael Geerts since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-16 | 10-8 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 324 (career-high), the Italian reached the 1st round after defeating Arjun Kadhe 6-3 6-0 and Daniel Michalski 6-1 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Michalski (6-1 6-2). During the match, Arnaldi scored 62 points vs Michalski’s 37. Arnaldi was exceptionally aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Arnaldi scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Matteo Arnaldi was pretty effective on serve to win 83% (19/23) of his 1st serve and 71% (10/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Matteo broke Michalski 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 63% of the points he played.
Arnaldi has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 63% of his matches (98-58). 11-6 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Arnaldi has an overall66-34 match record in the last 5 years on clay.
Matteo has a composed 12-11 win-loss record in 2022, 11-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Split Challenger
Matteo has never competed in this tournament before.
Michael Geerts
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-22 | 8-3 | 8-11 | 7-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-39 | 13-10 | 13-19 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 42-37 | 5-8 | 24-14 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| 2021 | 35-28 | 13-7 | 14-14 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-8 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-1 |
Ranked no. 328, Michael got to the 1st round after beating Georgii Kravchenko 1-6 7-62 6-1 and Henri Squire 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Michael had a good straight sets win against Squire (6-4 6-4). During the match Geerts scored 71 points vs Squire’s 59. Geerts was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Geerts bagged 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Michael Geerts was exceptionally effective on serve to win 84% (31/37) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Michael broke Squire twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belgian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Geerts has an overall 12-12 win-loss record in 2022, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaldi | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 47 |
| Pts | 127-74 | 165-145 |
| Total Points | 201 | 310 |
| Winners | 40 | 65 |
| %Winners | 31% | 39% |
Both Arnaldi and Geerts played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Michael Geerts conceded 1 set while Matteo Arnaldi hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Arnaldi has played 1 set(s) less than Geerts (4 vs 5). Therefore, Arnaldi played 17 games less than Geerts. The Italian scored 40 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, The Belgian scored 65 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaldi | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 52/74 | 85/143 |
| %1st in | 70% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 40/52 | 65/85 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 16/22 | 33/58 |
| %2nd pts | 73% | 57% |
Arnaldi blasted 3 aces (1.5 per match). Geerts managed to score 8 aces (4 per match). Arnaldi won 77% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 73% of the points. On the other side, Geerts won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaldi | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 6 |
| Converted | 11/20 | 6/19 |
| % Converted | 55% | 32% |
| Conceded | 1 | 6 |
| Saved | 0 | 3 |
| % Saved | 0% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Matteo broke his opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. Arnaldi conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Geerts broke his opponents 6 times with a 32% conversion rate. Michael conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Arnaldi | ||||
| Q1 Kadhe |
Q3 Michalski |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | 30 | |
| pts | 65-37 | 62-37 | 127-74 | |
| Total points | 102 | 99 | 201 | |
| Winners | 21 | 19 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 29/37 | 23/37 | 52/74 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 62% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 21/29 | 19/23 | 40/52 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 83% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/8 | 10/14 | 16/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 71% | 73% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 5/11 | 11/20 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 45% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Geerts | ||||
| Q1 Kravchenko |
Q3 Squire |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 7-62 6-1 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 20 | 47 | |
| pts | 94-86 | 71-59 | 165-145 | |
| Total points | 180 | 130 | 310 | |
| Winners | 34 | 31 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 44% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 48/82 | 37/61 | 85/143 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 61% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 34/48 | 31/37 | 65/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 84% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/34 | 13/24 | 33/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 54% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 2/7 | 6/19 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 29% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 1/1 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 100% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWWLWL
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- Antoine HoangHoang – Nikola MilojevicMilojevic (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Michael GeertsGeerts – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Borna GojoGojo – Thomas FabbianoFabbiano (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zdenek KolarKolar – Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Miljan ZekicZekic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
