Daniel Michalski and Matteo Arnaldi will face off in the qualifications of the Split Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 10:30 am on COURT 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Michalski who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniel Michalski is the pick to win this match.
Daniel Michalski -> 1.65
Matteo Arnaldi -> 2.18
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Prediction and head to head Daniel Michalski vs. Matteo Arnaldi
There is no head to head record between Daniel Michalski and Matteo Arnaldi since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Daniel Michalski
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-18 | 1-6 | 17-11 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-25 | 4-6 | 36-18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-24 | 0-0 | 51-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 47-25 | 0-3 | 47-20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-10 | 7-3 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 280, Michalski got to the qualifications after beating Bozo Barun 6-2 6-4.
In the qualifications, Daniel had a good straight sets win against Barun (6-2 6-4). During the match, Michalski scored 59 points vs Barun’s 45. The Pole was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Michalski couldn’t to score even 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniel Michalski lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Michalski put 63% of his first serves in, winning 74% (25/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Daniel broke Barun 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Michalski has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 64% of his matches (132-73). 23-5 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Michalski has a composed106-51 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.
The Pole’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Cairo and the Zadar Challenger.
The Pole has an aggregate 23-5 win-loss record in 2022, 23-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Split Challenger
Daniel has never competed in this tournament before.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-16 | 10-8 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 337, Arnaldi reached the qualifications after beating Arjun Kadhe 6-3 6-0.
In the qualifications, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Kadhe (6-3 6-0). During the match Arnaldi scored 65 points vs Kadhe’s 37. Matteo was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Arnaldi bagged 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Matteo Arnaldi was very efficient on serve to win 72% (21/29) of his 1st serve and 75% (6/8) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Arnaldi broke Kadhe 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Arnaldi has an overall 11-11 win-loss record in 2022, 10-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Michalski | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 15 |
| Pts | 59-45 | 65-37 |
| Total Points | 104 | 102 |
| Winners | 25 | 21 |
| %Winners | 42% | 32% |
Both Michalski and Arnaldi played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Michalski and Arnaldi have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Michalski played 3 games more than Arnaldi. Michalski scored 25 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Matteo made 21 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Michalski | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 2 |
| 1st in | 34/54 | 29/37 |
| %1st in | 63% | 78% |
| 1st pts | 25/34 | 21/29 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 6/8 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 75% |
Michalski didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Arnaldi bagged 2 aces . Michalski won 74% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Arnaldi won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 75% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Michalski | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/5 | 6/9 |
| % Converted | 80% | 67% |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 67% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Michalski broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Daniel conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Michalski | |||
| Q1 Barun |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 59-45 | 59-45 | |
| Total points | 104 | 104 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 34/54 | 34/54 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 25/34 | 25/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 10/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Arnaldi | |||
| Q1 Kadhe |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 65-37 | 65-37 | |
| Total points | 102 | 102 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 29/37 | 29/37 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 21/29 | 21/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/8 | 6/8 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 75% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWLWLW
LLWLWWWLWL
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