
Grigor Dimitrov and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will fight against each other in the semifinal of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on COURT RAINIER III. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is the pick to win this match.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 1.72
Grigor Dimitrov -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Grigor Dimitrov vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
This will be the 2nd time that Grigor Dimitrov and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Davidovich Fokina (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Davidovich Fokina won 6-4 7-6(2) in the 1st round in Rome back in 2021.
Grigor Dimitrov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-11 | 9-6 | 5-4 | 1-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29, Grigor reached the semifinal after defeating Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-3 2-0 ret., Dusan Lajovic 4-6 6-3 6-2, Casper Ruud 6-3 7-5 and Hubert Hurkacz 6-4 3-6 7-62.
In the quarter, Grigor defeated Hurkacz (6-4 3-6 7-62). During the match, Dimitrov scored 96 points vs Hurkacz’s 90. Dimitrov was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Dimitrov recorded 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Grigor Dimitrov was quite efficient on serve to win 83% (38/46) of his 1st serve and 56% (22/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The Bulgarian broke Hurkacz 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Grigor has surrendered 2 set in this competition to win 53% of the points he played.
Dimitrov has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (310-183). 4-0 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Dimitrov has an aggregate 69-43 record in the last years on clay.
The Bulgarian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Melbourne.
Dimitrov has an aggregate 11-6 win-loss record in 2022, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 44-26 | 22-14 | 9-6 | 8-4 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-22 | 13-12 | 2-5 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-28 | 18-11 | 9-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-26 | 7-9 | 11-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-25 | 4-6 | 16-7 | 9-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 46, the Spaniard got to the semifinal after beating Marcos Giron 7-5 6-3, Novak Djokovic 6-3 6-75 6-1, David Goffin 6-4 6-1 and Taylor Harry Fritz 2-6 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter against Fritz, Alejandro recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-3). During the match Davidovich Fokina scored 105 points vs Fritz’s 93. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Davidovich Fokina couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 4 double faults. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Davidovich Fokina put 73% of his first serves in, winning 69% (42/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. Davidovich Fokina broke Fritz 4 times after converting 21% of his break points (4/19).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Spaniard has a composed 8-9 win-loss record in 2022, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Dimitrov | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 91 | 94 |
| Pts | 294-243 | 362-306 |
| Total Points | 537 | 668 |
| Winners | 120 | 140 |
| %Winners | 41% | 39% |
Both Dimitrov and Davidovich Fokina played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Grigor Dimitrov lost 2 sets, while Alejandro Davidovich Fokina dropped 2 sets. Dimitrov has played 1 set more than Davidovich Fokina (11 vs 10). However, it’s interesting to notice that Dimitrov played 3 games less than Davidovich Fokina. Dimitrov scored 120 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Alejandro scored 140 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Dimitrov | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 0.8 |
| 1st in | 142/245 | 204/284 |
| %1st in | 58% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 120/142 | 140/204 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 57/103 | 36/80 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 45% |
Dimitrov managed to score 16 aces (4 per match). Davidovich Fokina blasted 3 aces (0.8 per match). Dimitrov won 85% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Dimitrov | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 23 |
| Converted | 13/33 | 23/69 |
| % Converted | 39% | 33% |
| Conceded | 10 | 31 |
| Saved | 4 | 20 |
| % Saved | 40% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 11 |
Grigor broke his opponents 13 times with a 39% conversion rate. Dimitrov lost his serve 6 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded. Alejandro broke his opponents 23 times with a 33% conversion rate. Davidovich Fokina conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Dimitrov | ||||||
| R1 Basilashvili |
R2 Lajovic |
R3 Ruud |
1/4 Hurkacz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 2-0 ret. | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 7-5 | 6-4 3-6 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 11 | 27 | 21 | 32 | 91 | |
| pts | 45-24 | 90-80 | 63-49 | 96-90 | 294-243 | |
| Total points | 69 | 170 | 112 | 186 | 537 | |
| Winners | 15 | 40 | 27 | 38 | 120 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 44% | 43% | 40% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 16/27 | 51/85 | 29/48 | 46/85 | 142/245 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 60% | 60% | 54% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 15/16 | 40/51 | 27/29 | 38/46 | 120/142 | |
| % 1st pts | 94% | 78% | 93% | 83% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/11 | 16/34 | 10/19 | 22/39 | 57/103 | |
| % 2nd pts | 82% | 47% | 53% | 56% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 4/10 | 4/9 | 3/8 | 13/33 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 40% | 44% | 38% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/4 | 1/2 | 1/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 50% | 25% | 31% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
| Davidovich Fokina | ||||||
| R1 Giron |
R2 Djokovic |
R3 Goffin |
1/4 Fritz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 6-3 6-75 6-1 | 6-4 6-1 | 2-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 29 | 17 | 27 | 94 | |
| pts | 73-61 | 115-103 | 69-49 | 105-93 | 362-306 | |
| Total points | 134 | 218 | 118 | 198 | 668 | |
| Winners | 26 | 42 | 30 | 42 | 140 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 37% | 43% | 40% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 35/56 | 66/93 | 42/51 | 61/84 | 204/284 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 71% | 82% | 73% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | 42/66 | 30/42 | 42/61 | 140/204 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 64% | 71% | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 10/27 | 4/9 | 11/23 | 36/80 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 37% | 44% | 48% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 23 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 9/20 | 5/17 | 4/19 | 23/69 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 45% | 29% | 21% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 31 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 7/11 | 3/5 | 7/10 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 64% | 60% | 70% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWLLLWW
LWWLWWWWLW Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jannik SinnerSinner (5-7 6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-4 3-6 7-62) – See score progression
- Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury – Tim Puetz/Michael VenusPuetz/Michael Venus (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-2 6-73 6-4) – See score progression
- Juan-Sebastian Cabal/Robert FarahCabal/Robert Farah – Nikola Mektic/Mate PavicMektic/Mate Pavic (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-2 6-7(3) 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jannik SinnerSinner (5-7 6-3 7-6(5)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-3) – H2H and prediction








