Roberto Carballes Baena and Pavel Kotov will play each other in the 2nd round of the Madrid Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Roberto Carballes Baena who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Roberto Carballes Baena is the pick to win this match.
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 1.33
Pavel Kotov -> 3.25
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Prediction and head to head Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Pavel Kotov
There is no head to head record between Roberto Carballes Baena and Pavel Kotov since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Roberto Carballes Baena
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-18 | 4-5 | 11-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-29 | 3-8 | 19-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-33 | 3-8 | 41-23 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-30 | 3-5 | 33-20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-18 | 3-4 | 16-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 78, Roberto got to the 2nd round after beating Dmitry Popko 7-64 6-1.
In the 1st round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Popko (7-64 6-1). During the match, Carballes Baena scored 78 points vs Popko’s 58. Roberto was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Carballes Baena was unable to score even 1 ace in the course of the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Roberto Carballes Baena lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Carballes Baena put 71% of his first serves in, winning 73% (32/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (8/18) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Popko 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).
Carballes Baena has a good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (389-279). 12-7 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Carballes Baena has an aggregate 341-217 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Carballes Baena’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Gran Canaria Challenger.
Carballes Baena has a compiled 13-13 win-loss record in 2022, 12-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Madrid Challenger
Pavel Kotov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-13 | 4-6 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 13-14 | 20-12 | 9-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-20 | 5-3 | 20-9 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 5-5 | 7-11 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 169, the Russian got to the 2nd round after beating Gian Marco Moroni 3-6 7-63 7-5.
In the 1st round against Marco Moroni, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-63 7-5). During the match Kotov scored 118 points vs Marco Moroni’s 114. Kotov was very aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about serving, Kotov struck 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Pavel Kotov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Kotov put 64% of his first serves in, winning 75% (49/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (16/37) on the 2nd serve. Kotov broke Marco Moroni 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Pavel’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Forli 3 Challenger.
The Russian has an aggregate 13-6 win-loss record in 2022, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carballes Baena | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 34 |
| Pts | 78-58 | 118-114 |
| Total Points | 136 | 232 |
| Winners | 32 | 49 |
| %Winners | 41% | 42% |
Both Carballes Baena and Kotov played 1 match. At the moment, Pavel Kotov lost 1 set while Roberto Carballes Baena hasn’t dropped a set so far. Carballes Baena has played 1 set(s) less than Kotov (2 vs 3). Therefore, Carballes Baena played 14 games less than Kotov. The Spaniard scored 32 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Kotov blasted 49 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carballes Baena | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 2 |
| 1st in | 44/62 | 65/102 |
| %1st in | 71% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 32/44 | 49/65 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 8/18 | 16/37 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 43% |
Carballes Baena didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Kotov made 2 aces . Carballes Baena won 73% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Kotov won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carballes Baena | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/16 | 4/12 |
| % Converted | 31% | 33% |
| Conceded | 4 | 11 |
| Saved | 2 | 7 |
| % Saved | 50% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
Carballes Baena broke his opponent 5 times with a 31% conversion rate. Roberto dropped his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Pavel broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. Pavel conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Carballes Baena | |||
| R1 Popko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 78-58 | 78-58 | |
| Total points | 136 | 136 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 44/62 | 44/62 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 32/44 | 32/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/18 | 8/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/16 | 5/16 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Kotov | |||
| R1 Marco Moroni |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-63 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 34 | |
| pts | 118-114 | 118-114 | |
| Total points | 232 | 232 | |
| Winners | 49 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 65/102 | 65/102 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 49/65 | 49/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/37 | 16/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWLWLLW
LLWWLWWLWL Tennis Scores in Madrid Challenger
- Pedro CachinCachin – Altug CelikbilekCelikbilek (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Manuel GuinardGuinard – Fernando VerdascoVerdasco (7-64 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Zsombor PirosPiros (6-4 2-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Mats MoraingMoraing (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Raul BrancaccioBrancaccio (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla – Lucas PouillePouille (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Pavel KotovKotov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Oleksii KrutykhKrutykh (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Manuel GuinardGuinard – Pedro CachinCachin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
