Andrey Rublev and Jannik Sinner will square off in the 3rd round of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 5:00 pm on COURT RAINIER III. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.93
Jannik Sinner -> 1.95

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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Jannik Sinner

This will be the 3rd time that Andrey Rublev and Jannik Sinner fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played, Sinner won 6-2 7-6(6) in the quarter in Barcelona back in 2021.

Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev – Barcelona 23-April-2021

Andrey Rublev

Andrey Rublev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
16
High
5
LWWLLLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-25 16-13 8-6 6-4 4-2 0-0
2024 43-26 26-11 11-6 6-7 0-2 0-0
2023 56-26 23-12 19-5 6-7 8-2 0-0
2022 51-20 19-7 14-6 18-6 0-1 0-0
2021 53-23 25-10 9-5 12-6 7-2 0-0

Ranked no. 8, Andrey reached the 3rd round after defeating Alex De Minaur 2-6 6-1 6-4.

In the 2nd round against De Minaur, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-1 6-4). During the match, Rublev scored 92 points vs De Minaur’s 84. Andrey was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rublev bagged 3 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Andrey Rublev lost the serve 3 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 75% of his first serves in, winning 63% (45/72) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke De Minaur 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Rublev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (347-194). 1-0 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has an overall 82-54 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in in Marseille where he overcame Felix Auger Aliassime in the final 7-5 7-6(4) and in in Dubai where he beat Jiri Vesely in the final 6-3 6-4.

Andrey has a composed 19-4 win-loss record in 2022, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Rublev's Record

Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
2
High
1
WWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 58-6 24-3 11-2 15-0 8-1 0-0
2024 73-8 40-5 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0

Ranked no. 12, Sinner got to the 3rd round after beating Borna Coric 6-3 2-6 6-3 and Emil Ruusuvuori 7-5 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Ruusuvuori (7-5 6-3). During the match Sinner scored 70 points vs Ruusuvuori’s 66. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Sinner made 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jannik Sinner lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Sinner put 54% of his first serves in, winning 66% (27/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (17/35) on the 2nd serve. Jannik broke Ruusuvuori 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sinner has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Jannik has an aggregate 18-3 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See his history.

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Sinner's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Rublev
J.Sinner
2h:02
2h:02
Time on court​
!
4h:10
4h:10
!
2h:02
2h:02
Last match​
1h:43
1h:43
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
25
25
Games Played​
47
47
3
3
Set played​​
5
5
92
92
Total points​
169
169
92
92
Avg point​
84.5
84.5
45
45
Winners
66
66
45
45
Avg Winners​
33
33
49%
49%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
8
8
3
3
Avg Aces
4
4
7
7
Double Faults
9
9
!
7
7
Avg Double Faults
4.5
4.5
45/72
45/72
1st won total​
66/91
66/91
63%
63%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
12/24
12/24
2nd won total​
37/75
37/75
50%
50%
2nd won %
49%
49%
-- Break Points --
4/7
4/7
BP won
8/19
8/19
4/7
4/7
Avg BP won
4/9.5
4/9.5
!
57%
57%
Won
42%
42%
12
12
Conceded
17
17
12
12
Avg Conceded
8.5
8.5
3
3
Broken
4
4
3
3
Avg Broken
2
2
9
9
Saved
13
13

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rublev Sinner
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 3 5
Tot Games 25 47
Pts 92-84 169-152
Total Points 176 321
Winners 45 66
%Winners 49% 39%

Rublev played 1 match while Sinner competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev lost 1 set, while Jannik Sinner surrendered 1 set. Rublev has played 2 set(s) less than Sinner (3 vs 5). Therefore, Rublev played 22 games less than Sinner. Andrey scored 45 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Sinner fired 66 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rublev Sinner
Aces 3 8
Avg per match 3 4
1st in 72/96 91/166
%1st in 75% 55%
1st pts 45/72 66/91
%1st pts 63% 73%
2nd pts 12/24 37/75
%2nd pts 50% 49%

Rublev blasted 3 aces . Sinner struck 8 aces (4 per match). Rublev won 63% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Sinner won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rublev Sinner
Won 4 8
Converted 4/7 8/19
% Converted 57% 42%
Conceded 12 17
Saved 9 13
% Saved 75% 76%
Times Broken 3 4

Andrey broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Rublev surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Sinner broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. Jannik conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.

Rublev
R2
De Minaur
Total
Score 2-6 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 25 25
pts 92-84 92-84
Total points 176 176
Winners 45 45
%Winners 49% 49%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 7 7
1st in 72/96 72/96
% 1st in 75% 75%
1st pts 45/72 45/72
% 1st pts 63% 63%
2nd pts 12/24 12/24
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/7 4/7
Converted % 57% 57%
Conceded 12 12
Saved 9/12 9
Saved % 75% 75%
Times Broken 3 3
Sinner
R1
Coric
R2
Ruusuvuori
Total
Score 6-3 2-6 6-3 7-5 6-3
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 26 21 47
pts 99-86 70-66 169-152
Total points 185 136 321
Winners 39 27 66
%Winners 39% 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 5 3 8
Double Faults 6 3 9
1st in 50/90 41/76 91/166
% 1st in 56% 54% 55%
1st pts 39/50 27/41 66/91
% 1st pts 78% 66% 73%
2nd pts 20/40 17/35 37/75
% 2nd pts 50% 49% 49%
Breaks
Won 3 5 8
Converted 3/9 5/10 8/19
Converted % 33% 50% 42%
Conceded 9 8 17
Saved 7/9 6/8 13
Saved % 78% 75% 153%
Times Broken 2 2 4

Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters

Upcoming matches in the draw