Alexander Zverev and Pablo Carreno-Busta will square off in the 3rd round of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:30 pm on COURT RAINIER III. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.31
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 3.74
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta
This will be the 3rd time that Alexander Zverev and Pablo Carreno-Busta fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Zverev won 3-6 2-6 6-3 6-4 6-3 in the semifinal in at the U.S. Open back in 2020.
Highlights Alexander Zverev vs Pablo Carreno-Busta – U.S. Open 11-September-2020
Alexander Zverev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 57-25 | 24-9 | 18-7 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 69-21 | 29-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Zverev reached the 3rd round after beating Federico Delbonis 6-1 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Zverev had a good straight sets win against Delbonis (6-1 7-5). During the match, Zverev scored 70 points vs Delbonis’s 51. Alexander was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Zverev bagged 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alexander Zverev lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Zverev put 66% of his first serves in, winning 68% (25/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Delbonis 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Zverev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 67% of his matches (392-192). 3-0 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zverev has a composed 131-61 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Zverev’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Montpellier.
Alexander has a compiled 15-5 win-loss record in 2022, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Pablo Carreno-Busta
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-28 | 25-10 | 14-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, the Spaniard got to the 3rd round after defeating Sebastian Baez 6-4 4-6 6-2 and Alexander Bublik 4-6 7-63 4-3 ret..
In the 2nd round against Bublik, Carreno-Busta recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-63 4-3 ret.). During the match Carreno-Busta and Bublik scored the same amount of points (87). However, the world no. 3 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Pablo was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta made 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 68% of his first serves in, winning 64% (35/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 81% (21/26) on the 2nd serve. Carreno-Busta broke Bublik twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
The Spaniard has a compiled 11-6 win-loss record in 2022, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2014, 2017 and 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zverev | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 58 |
| Pts | 70-51 | 186-173 |
| Total Points | 121 | 359 |
| Winners | 25 | 84 |
| %Winners | 36% | 45% |
Zverev played 1 match while Carreno-Busta competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Pablo Carreno-Busta dropped 2 sets while Alexander Zverev hasn’t lost a set so far. Zverev has played 5 set(s) less than Carreno-Busta (2 vs 7). Therefore, Zverev played 39 games less than Carreno-Busta. The German scored 25 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard scored 84 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zverev | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2 |
| 1st in | 37/56 | 128/178 |
| %1st in | 66% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 25/37 | 84/128 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | 33/50 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 66% |
Zverev managed to score 4 aces . Carreno-Busta bagged 4 aces (2 per match). Zverev won 68% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 66% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zverev | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 7 |
| Converted | 6/11 | 7/10 |
| % Converted | 55% | 70% |
| Conceded | 4 | 16 |
| Saved | 2 | 11 |
| % Saved | 50% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
Zverev broke his opponent 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Zverev lost his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Pablo broke his opponents 7 times with a 70% conversion rate. Carreno-Busta conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Zverev | |||
| R2 Delbonis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 70-51 | 70-51 | |
| Total points | 121 | 121 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 37/56 | 37/56 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 25/37 | 25/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | 10/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Carreno-Busta | ||||
| R1 Baez |
R2 Bublik |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-2 | 4-6 7-63 4-3 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 30 | 58 | |
| pts | 99-86 | 87-87 | 186-173 | |
| Total points | 185 | 174 | 359 | |
| Winners | 49 | 35 | 84 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 40% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 73/97 | 55/81 | 128/178 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 68% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 49/73 | 35/55 | 84/128 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 64% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 21/26 | 33/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 81% | 66% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 2/4 | 7/10 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 50% | 70% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 4 | 16 | |
| Saved | 9/12 | 2/4 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 50% | 125% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLLWLWWWL
LWLLWWWWLW Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (2-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Federico DelbonisDelbonis (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Marin CilicCilic (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Laslo DjereDjere – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (7-62 6-75 6-3) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (7-65 7-5) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alexander BublikBublik (4-6 7-63 4-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-2 7-62) – See score progression
- David GoffinGoffin – Daniel EvansEvans (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (6-0 7-64) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Marcelo Arevalo/Jean-Julien RojerArevalo/Jean-Julien Rojer – Tomislav Brkic/Nikola CacicBrkic/Nikola Cacic (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-3 6-75 6-1) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Dusan LajovicLajovic (4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (7-6(5) 7-5) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-2 7-6(2)) – See score progression
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (6-0 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (2-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alexander BublikBublik (4-6 7-6(3) 4-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Federico DelbonisDelbonis (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Laslo DjereDjere – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Jannik SinnerSinner (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – David GoffinGoffin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (1-0) – H2H and prediction
