Keegan Smith and Juncheng Shang will play each other in the qualifications of the San Luis Potosi Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 3:30 pm on CANCHA 4. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juncheng Shang who should win in 3 sets.
Juncheng Shang -> 1.66
Keegan Smith -> 2.17
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Prediction and head to head Keegan Smith vs. Juncheng Shang
There is no head to head record between Keegan Smith and Juncheng Shang since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Keegan Smith
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38-21 | 26-11 | 0-0 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-26 | 36-21 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-26 | 31-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-24 | 26-14 | 3-4 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 434 (career-high), Smith got to the qualifications after defeating Adrian Menendez-Maceiras 7-67 6-3.
In the qualifications, Keegan had a good straight sets win against Menendez-Maceiras (7-67 6-3). During the match, Smith scored 75 points vs Menendez-Maceiras’s 64. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about the service games, Smith bagged 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Keegan Smith lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Smith put 70% of his first serves in, winning 80% (36/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (9/19) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Menendez-Maceiras 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Smith has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 68% of his matches (82-38). 3-1 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Smith has a composed3-2 record in the last 7 years on clay.
Smith’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Cancun and M25 Bakersfield.
Smith has a composed 15-6 win-loss record in 2022, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the San Luis Potosi Challenger
Smith has never competed in this tournament before.
Juncheng Shang
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-8 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-27 | 25-10 | 8-7 | 2-6 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-23 | 21-14 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-24 | 17-8 | 15-10 | 7-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-5 | 6-3 | 12-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 446, the Chinese reached the qualifications after defeating Mukund Sasikumar 6-3 4-6 6-3.
In the qualifications, Juncheng defeated Kumar Mukund (6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match Shang scored 92 points vs Kumar Mukund’s 85. Juncheng was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Shang fired 3 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Juncheng Shang lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Shang put 47% of his first serves in, winning 80% (33/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (21/46) on the 2nd serve. Shang broke Kumar Mukund 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
The Chinese’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Naples.
Juncheng has a compiled 11-6 win-loss record in 2022, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Smith | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 28 |
| Pts | 75-64 | 92-85 |
| Total Points | 139 | 177 |
| Winners | 36 | 33 |
| %Winners | 48% | 36% |
Both Smith and Shang played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Juncheng Shang dropped 1 set while Keegan Smith hasn’t conceded a set so far. Smith has played 1 set(s) less than Shang (2 vs 3). Therefore, Smith played 6 games less than Shang. Smith scored 36 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese recorded 33 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Smith | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 45/64 | 41/87 |
| %1st in | 70% | 47% |
| 1st pts | 36/45 | 33/41 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 9/19 | 21/46 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 46% |
Smith bagged 5 aces . Shang bagged 3 aces . Smith won 80% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Shang won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Smith | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/9 | 4/5 |
| % Converted | 33% | 80% |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 |
| Saved | 2 | 4 |
| % Saved | 67% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
The American broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Keegan lost his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Shang broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Juncheng conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Smith | |||
| Q1 Menendez-Maceiras | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-67 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 75-64 | 75-64 | |
| Total points | 139 | 139 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 45/64 | 45/64 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 36/45 | 36/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/19 | 9/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Shang | |||
| Q1 Kumar Mukund | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 92-85 | 92-85 | |
| Total points | 177 | 177 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 41/87 | 41/87 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 47% | |
| 1st pts | 33/41 | 33/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/46 | 21/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
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