Nicolas Alvarez Varona and Oleksii Krutykh will play each other in the qualifications of the Madrid Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Alvarez Varona who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nicolas Alvarez Varona is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona -> 1.74
Oleksii Krutykh -> 2.04
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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs. Oleksii Krutykh
There is no head to head record between Nicolas Alvarez Varona and Oleksii Krutykh since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-9 | 3-2 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-34 | 3-7 | 13-19 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-26 | 11-8 | 29-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-9 | 21-6 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 283 (career-high), Nicolas reached the qualifications after defeating Carlos Gimeno Valero 6-72 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications against Gimeno Valero, The Spaniard recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-72 6-4 6-2). During the match, Alvarez Varona scored 99 points vs Gimeno Valero’s 93. Nicolas was exceptionally aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alvarez Varona managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Nicolas Alvarez Varona lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Alvarez Varona put 61% of his first serves in, winning 77% (51/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (19/42) on the 2nd serve. Alvarez Varona broke Gimeno Valero 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Alvarez Varona has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 59% of his matches (132-90). 4-6 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alvarez Varona has a composed59-47 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
The Spaniard has a compiled 5-8 win-loss record in 2022, 4-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Madrid Challenger
Alvarez Varona has never competed in this tournament before.
Oleksii Krutykh
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-22 | 1-3 | 13-18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-32 | 13-8 | 15-16 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 49-27 | 2-3 | 44-20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-25 | 8-3 | 32-20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-12 | 13-7 | 7-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 340 (career-high), Oleksii got to the qualifications after defeating Tristan Lamasine 7-64 6-3.
In the qualifications, Krutykh had a good straight sets win against Lamasine (7-64 6-3). During the match Krutykh scored 78 points vs Lamasine’s 66. Krutykh was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Krutykh blasted 11 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Oleksii Krutykh was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 80% (32/40) of his 1st serve and 70% (16/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Ukrainian broke Lamasine once after converting 13% of his break points (1/8).
Oleksii’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Antalya.
Krutykh has an aggregate 14-4 win-loss record in 2022, 13-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alvarez Varona | Krutykh |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 22 |
| Pts | 99-93 | 78-66 |
| Total Points | 192 | 144 |
| Winners | 51 | 32 |
| %Winners | 52% | 41% |
Both Alvarez Varona and Krutykh played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Nicolas Alvarez Varona dropped 1 set while Oleksii Krutykh hasn’t conceded a set so far. Alvarez Varona has played 1 set more than Krutykh (3 vs 2). Therefore, Alvarez Varona played 9 games more than Krutykh. Nicolas scored 51 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, The Ukrainian fired 32 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alvarez Varona | Krutykh |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 11 |
| 1st in | 66/108 | 40/63 |
| %1st in | 61% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 51/66 | 32/40 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 19/42 | 16/23 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 70% |
Alvarez Varona recorded 5 aces . Krutykh recorded 11 aces . Alvarez Varona won 77% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Krutykh won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 70% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alvarez Varona | Krutykh |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 1 |
| Converted | 4/5 | 1/8 |
| % Converted | 80% | 13% |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 |
| Saved | 6 | 0 |
| % Saved | 86% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
The Spaniard broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Nicolas dropped his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Oleksii broke his opponent once with a 13% conversion rate. The Ukrainian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Alvarez Varona | |||
| Q1 Gimeno Valero |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-72 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 99-93 | 99-93 | |
| Total points | 192 | 192 | |
| Winners | 51 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 66/108 | 66/108 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 51/66 | 51/66 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/42 | 19/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Krutykh | |||
| Q1 Lamasine |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 78-66 | 78-66 | |
| Total points | 144 | 144 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 40/63 | 40/63 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 32/40 | 32/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/23 | 16/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 70% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/8 | 1/8 | |
| Converted % | 13% | 13% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLLWLLL
LWLLLWLWLW
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