Gastao Elias and Alessandro Giannessi will play each other in the final of the Oeiras 2 Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 12:30 pm on CENTRAL COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gastao Elias who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Gastao Elias is the pick to win this match.
Gastao Elias -> 1.57
Alessandro Giannessi -> 2.4

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Prediction and head to head Gastao Elias vs. Alessandro Giannessi

This will be the 3rd time that Gastao Elias and Alessandro Giannessi play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Elias and Giannessi (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Elias won 6-3 6-3 in the semifinal in the Oeiras 1 Challenger back in April 2022.

Gastao Elias

Gastao Elias

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
380
High
57
LWLWWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-18 25-9 6-6 1-3 0-0 0-0
2024 42-32 8-5 27-25 7-2 0-0 0-0
2023 21-18 10-8 11-10 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 23-24 4-3 18-17 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 37-18 13-5 24-12 0-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 173, Elias got to the final after beating Sebastian Fanselow 6-1 6-2, Nuno Borges 2-6 7-5 6-3, Zsombor Piros 6-4 5-7 6-3 and Zdenek Kolar 2-6 6-2 6-1.

In the semifinal against Kolar, The Portuguese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-2 6-1). During the match, Elias scored 79 points vs Kolar’s 61. The Portuguese was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Elias fired 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Gastao Elias lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Elias put 60% of his first serves in, winning 62% (29/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the 2nd serve. Gastao broke Kolar 6 times after converting 86% of his break points (6/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Elias has conceded 3 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Elias has a good match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (304-231). 11-2 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Elias has an aggregate 232-152 match record in the last years on clay.

Gastao’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Oeiras 1 Challenger.

Gastao has an overall 15-6 win-loss record in 2022, 11-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Oeiras 2 Challenger

Oeiras 2 Challenger
Elias's Record

Alessandro Giannessi

Alessandro Giannessi

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
645
High
84
LLWLLLLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 13-25 0-5 13-20 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 36-33 3-5 33-27 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 20-30 2-1 18-28 0-0 0-1 0-0
2021 31-27 0-2 31-20 0-4 0-1 0-0
2020 10-14 0-1 10-12 0-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 178, Giannessi reached the final after defeating Luciano Darderi 4-6 7-65 6-1, Fabian Marozsan 5-7 7-64 6-4, Christopher O Connell 6-4 6-4 and Jozef Kovalik 2-6 6-4 7-5.

In the semifinal against Kovalik, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 7-5).During the match Giannessi scored less points (1) than Kovalik. In fact, the world no. 173 won 99 points vs Kovalik’s. That means that Giannessi was more focused during the important points. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about serving, Giannessi scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 6 double faults. Alessandro Giannessi lost the serve 5 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Giannessi put 56% of his first serves in, winning 67% (39/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (19/45) on the 2nd serve. Giannessi broke Kovalik 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alessandro has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

Giannessi’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Roseto Degli Abruzzi 2 Challenger,the Oeiras 1 Challenger and the Oeiras 2 Challenger.

Alessandro has a composed 13-8 win-loss record in 2022, 11-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Oeiras 2 Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See his history.

Oeiras 2 Challenger
Giannessi's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

G.Elias
A.Giannessi
7h:48
7h:48
Time on court​
9h:34
9h:34
1h:55
1h:55
Last match​
!
2h:40
2h:40
4
4
Match played
4
4
98
98
Games Played​
115
115
11
11
Set played​​
11
11
339
339
Total points​
397
397
84.8
84.8
Avg point​
99.3
99.3
125
125
Winners
176
176
31.3
31.3
Avg Winners​
44
44
37%
37%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
14
14
Aces
6
6
3.5
3.5
Avg Aces
1.5
1.5
3
3
Double Faults
17
17
0.8
0.8
Avg Double Faults
4.3
4.3
125/184
125/184
1st won total​
176/263
176/263
68%
68%
1st won %
67%
67%
70/131
70/131
2nd won total​
47/121
47/121
53%
53%
2nd won %
!
39%
39%
-- Break Points --
20/32
20/32
BP won
20/54
20/54
5/8
5/8
Avg BP won
5/13.5
5/13.5
!
63%
63%
Won
37%
37%
29
29
Conceded
42
42
7.3
7.3
Avg Conceded
10.5
10.5
12
12
Broken
17
17
3
3
Avg Broken
!
4.3
4.3
17
17
Saved
25
25

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Elias Giannessi
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 11 11
Tot Games 98 115
Pts 339-279 397-377
Total Points 618 774
Winners 125 176
%Winners 37% 44%

Both Elias and Giannessi played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Gastao Elias lost 3 sets, while Alessandro Giannessi lost 3 sets. Talking about their workload, Elias and Giannessi have played the same amount of sets 11. However, Elias played 17 games less than Giannessi. Gastao scored 125 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Giannessi recorded 176 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Elias Giannessi
Aces 14 6
Avg per match 3.5 1.5
1st in 184/315 263/384
%1st in 58% 68%
1st pts 125/184 176/263
%1st pts 68% 67%
2nd pts 70/131 47/121
%2nd pts 53% 39%

Elias managed to score 14 aces (3.5 per match). Giannessi recorded 6 aces (1.5 per match). Elias won 68% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Giannessi won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 39% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Elias Giannessi
Won 20 20
Converted 20/32 20/54
% Converted 63% 37%
Conceded 29 42
Saved 17 25
% Saved 59% 60%
Times Broken 12 17

The Portuguese broke his opponents 20 times with a 63% conversion rate. Elias lost his serve 12 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 20 times with a 37% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 17 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Elias
R1
Fanselow
R2
Borges
1/4
Piros
1/2
Kolar
Total
Score 6-1 6-2 2-6 7-5 6-3 6-4 5-7 6-3 2-6 6-2 6-1
Tot Set 2 3 3 3 11
Tot Games 15 29 31 23 98
pts 56-30 103-100 101-88 79-61 339-279
Total points 86 203 189 140 618
Winners 16 43 37 29 125
%Winners 29% 42% 37% 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 1 4 2 7 14
Double Faults 1 0 1 1 3
1st in 20/43 61/104 56/90 47/78 184/315
% 1st in 47% 59% 62% 60% 58%
1st pts 16/20 43/61 37/56 29/47 125/184
% 1st pts 80% 70% 66% 62% 68%
2nd pts 12/23 23/43 18/34 17/31 70/131
% 2nd pts 52% 53% 53% 55% 53%
Breaks
Won 6 2 6 6 20
Converted 6/7 2/7 6/11 6/7 20/32
Converted % 86% 29% 55% 86% 63%
Conceded 1 13 6 9 29
Saved 0/1 11/13 1/6 5/9 17
Saved % 0% 85% 17% 56% 40%
Times Broken 1 2 5 4 12
Giannessi
R1
Darderi
R2
Marozsan
1/4
O
1/2
Kovalik
Total
Score 4-6 7-65 6-1 5-7 7-64 6-4 6-4 6-4 2-6 6-4 7-5
Tot Set 3 3 2 3 11
Tot Games 30 35 20 30 115
pts 103-95 129-125 66-57 99-100 397-377
Total points 198 254 123 199 774
Winners 51 55 31 39 176
%Winners 50% 43% 47% 39% 44%
SERVE
Aces 1 3 1 1 6
Double Faults 2 6 3 6 17
1st in 81/101 81/119 43/61 58/103 263/384
% 1st in 80% 68% 70% 56% 68%
1st pts 51/81 55/81 31/43 39/58 176/263
% 1st pts 63% 68% 72% 67% 67%
2nd pts 9/20 12/38 7/18 19/45 47/121
% 2nd pts 45% 32% 39% 42% 39%
Breaks
Won 5 6 4 5 20
Converted 5/9 6/21 4/11 5/13 20/54
Converted % 56% 29% 36% 38% 37%
Conceded 7 18 5 12 42
Saved 3/7 12/18 3/5 7/12 25
Saved % 43% 67% 60% 58% 57%
Times Broken 4 6 2 5 17

Upcoming matches in the draw