Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune and Francesco Passaro will square off in the final of the Sanremo Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune -> 1.285
Francesco Passaro -> 3.64
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Prediction and head to head Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune vs. Francesco Passaro
There is no head to head record between Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune and Francesco Passaro since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|
Ranked no. 91, the Dane got to the final after defeating Evgenii Tiurnev 6-3 7-612, Nerman Fatic 6-3 6-2, Matteo Gigante 6-3 6-0 and Andrea Arnaboldi 6-4 6-1.
In the semifinal, Vitus Nodskov Rune had a good straight sets win against Arnaboldi (6-4 6-1). During the match, Vitus Nodskov Rune scored 61 points vs Arnaboldi’s 36. Holger was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Vitus Nodskov Rune scored just 1 ace in the encounter and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 78% (21/27) of his 1st serve and 87% (13/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Vitus Nodskov Rune broke Arnaboldi 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Dane hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Vitus Nodskov Rune has a solid win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 66% of his matches (122-64). 4-3 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Vitus Nodskov Rune has a compiled78-37 win-loss record in the last 5 years on clay.
Holger’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Sanremo Challenger.
The Dane has a compiled 10-9 win-loss record in 2022, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sanremo Challenger
Vitus Nodskov Rune has never competed in this tournament before.
Francesco Passaro
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-23 | 4-5 | 31-17 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-35 | 8-11 | 18-20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-28 | 12-6 | 35-18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-27 | 4-5 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 493, Francesco reached the final after defeating Ernests Gulbis 6-3 6-4, Mathieu Perchicot 6-2 6-0, Borna Gojo 6-4 6-2, Alexandre Muller 6-1 6-2, Mate Valkusz 4-6 6-3 6-2 and Gianluca Mager 6-1 6-1.
In the semifinal, Francesco had a good straight sets win against Mager (6-1 6-1). During the match Passaro scored 64 points vs Mager’s 44. Francesco was exceptionally aggressive to blast 20 winners.
About the serving games, Passaro fired 4 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Francesco Passaro was extremely effective on serve to win 77% (20/26) of his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Passaro broke Mager 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Passaro started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
The Italian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Monastir.
Passaro has a composed 17-8 win-loss record in 2022, 8-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Vitus Nodskov Rune | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 71 | 107 |
| Pts | 254-186 | 424-294 |
| Total Points | 440 | 718 |
| Winners | 105 | 151 |
| %Winners | 41% | 36% |
Vitus Nodskov Rune played 4 matches while Passaro competed in 6 matches. Passaro started his run from the qualifications while Vitus Nodskov Rune had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Francesco Passaro surrendered 1 set while Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune hasn’t lost a set so far. Vitus Nodskov Rune has played 5 set(s) less than Passaro (8 vs 13). Therefore, Vitus Nodskov Rune played 36 games less than Passaro. Vitus Nodskov Rune scored 105 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Francesco fired 151 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Vitus Nodskov Rune | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 22 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 140/212 | 208/355 |
| %1st in | 66% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 105/140 | 151/208 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 46/72 | 84/147 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 57% |
Vitus Nodskov Rune recorded 8 aces (2 per match). Passaro scored 22 aces (3.7 per match). Vitus Nodskov Rune won 75% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Passaro won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Vitus Nodskov Rune | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 28 |
| Converted | 15/25 | 28/55 |
| % Converted | 60% | 51% |
| Conceded | 5 | 27 |
| Saved | 4 | 20 |
| % Saved | 80% | 74% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 7 |
The Dane broke his opponents 15 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Dane dropped his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Passaro broke his opponents 28 times with a 51% conversion rate. Passaro conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded.
| Vitus Nodskov Rune | ||||||
| R1 Tyurnev |
R2 Fatic |
1/4 Gigante |
1/2 Arnaboldi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-612 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-0 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 71 | |
| pts | 83-77 | 56-45 | 54-28 | 61-36 | 254-186 | |
| Total points | 160 | 101 | 82 | 97 | 440 | |
| Winners | 37 | 24 | 23 | 21 | 105 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 43% | 43% | 34% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 56/81 | 30/48 | 27/41 | 27/42 | 140/212 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 63% | 66% | 64% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 37/56 | 24/30 | 23/27 | 21/27 | 105/140 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 80% | 85% | 78% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/25 | 10/18 | 7/14 | 13/15 | 46/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 56% | 50% | 87% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 4/7 | 5/7 | 4/6 | 15/25 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 57% | 71% | 67% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 0% | – | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Passaro | ||||||||
| Q1 Gulbis |
Q3 Perchicot |
R1 Gojo |
R2 Muller |
1/4 Valkusz |
1/2 Mager |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-0 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-1 6-2 | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 14 | 18 | 15 | 27 | 14 | 107 | |
| pts | 78-58 | 56-26 | 71-51 | 63-39 | 92-76 | 64-44 | 424-294 | |
| Total points | 136 | 82 | 122 | 102 | 168 | 108 | 718 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 20 | 151 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 38% | 41% | 46% | 34% | 31% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 27/55 | 23/42 | 42/68 | 41/53 | 49/83 | 26/54 | 208/355 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 55% | 62% | 77% | 59% | 48% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 21/27 | 21/23 | 29/42 | 29/41 | 31/49 | 20/26 | 151/208 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 91% | 69% | 71% | 63% | 77% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/28 | 10/19 | 13/26 | 7/12 | 19/34 | 15/28 | 84/147 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 53% | 50% | 58% | 56% | 54% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 28 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 5/5 | 5/12 | 4/6 | 6/11 | 5/11 | 28/55 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 100% | 42% | 67% | 55% | 45% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 27 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 0/0 | 3/5 | 2/2 | 6/10 | 4/4 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 83% | – | 60% | 100% | 60% | 100% | 101% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Francesco PassaroPassaro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
