Paula Badosa Gibert and Claire Liu will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Credit One Charleston Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 5:30 pm on Credit One Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa Gibert who should win in 2 sets.
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 1.12
Claire Liu -> 6.00
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Prediction and head to head Paula Badosa Gibert vs. Claire Liu
This will be the 3rd time that Paula Badosa Gibert and Claire Liu square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Liu (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Liu won 6-3 4-6 6-4 in the qualifications in Bucharest back in 2018.
Paula Badosa Gibert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-13 | 13-8 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-19 | 26-11 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), the Spaniard got to the 3rd round after defeating Anna Bondar 6-1 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Bondar (6-1 6-4). During the match, Badosa scored 70 points vs Bondar’s 53. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Badosa scored just 1 ace in the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Paula Badosa Gibert lost the serve once. Furthermore, Badosa put 65% of her first serves in, winning 63% (25/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the 2nd serve. Paula broke Bondar 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).
Badosa has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (297-156). 1-0 on clay in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Badosa has an overall 138-72 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in in Sydney where she overcame Barbora Krejcikova in the final 6-3 4-6 7-6(4).
The Spaniard has a compiled 17-6 win-loss record in 2022, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Charleston
Claire Liu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-19 | 20-13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 18-12 | 11-7 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-29 | 19-19 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-22 | 15-14 | 12-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-17 | 17-11 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 89, Claire got to the 3rd round after beating Heather Watson 6-4 6-2 and Shuai Zhang 7-5 2-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The American defeated Zhang (7-5 2-6 6-4). During the match Liu and Zhang scored the same amount of points (86). However, the world no. 3 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Liu recorded 7 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Claire Liu lost the serve 5 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Liu put 70% of her first serves in, winning 64% (37/58) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (10/25) on the 2nd serve. Liu broke Zhang 5 times after converting 33% of her break points (5/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Liu has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Liu has a composed 9-7 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Charleston
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2018 and 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Badosa | Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 48 |
| Pts | 70-53 | 146-131 |
| Total Points | 123 | 277 |
| Winners | 25 | 60 |
| %Winners | 36% | 41% |
Badosa played 1 match while Liu competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Claire Liu conceded 1 set while Paula Badosa Gibert hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Badosa has played 3 set(s) less than Liu (2 vs 5). Therefore, Badosa played 31 games less than Liu. The Spaniard scored 25 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Claire struck 60 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Badosa | Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 40/62 | 91/140 |
| %1st in | 65% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 25/40 | 60/91 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 24/49 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 49% |
Badosa made 1 ace . Liu also managed to score 9 aces (4.5 per match). Badosa won 63% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Liu won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Badosa | Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 9 |
| Converted | 4/10 | 9/22 |
| % Converted | 40% | 41% |
| Conceded | 1 | 14 |
| Saved | 0 | 8 |
| % Saved | 0% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 |
Badosa broke her opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered her serve once and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. Liu conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded.
| Badosa | |||
| R2 Bondar | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 70-53 | 70-53 | |
| Total points | 123 | 123 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 40/62 | 40/62 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 25/40 | 25/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 15/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Liu | ||||
| R1 Watson | R2 Zhang | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 7-5 2-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 30 | 48 | |
| pts | 60-45 | 86-86 | 146-131 | |
| Total points | 105 | 172 | 277 | |
| Winners | 23 | 37 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 7 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 33/57 | 58/83 | 91/140 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 70% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 23/33 | 37/58 | 60/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 64% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 10/25 | 24/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 40% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 5/15 | 9/22 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 33% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 5/10 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 50% | 125% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
Tennis Scores in Charleston
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Katarina ZavatskaZavatska (5-7 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Coco VandewegheVandeweghe – Lauren DavisDavis (3-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alize CornetCornet – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Magdalena FrechFrech (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Belinda BencicBencic – Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (6-1 7-66) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Ulrikke EikeriEikeri (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Elena RybakinaRybakina (6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (2-6 7-5 5-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Claire LiuLiu – Shuai ZhangZhang (7-5 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Anna BondarBondar (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Alison RiskeRiske (7-63 6-4) – See score progression
- Alessandro GiannessiGiannessi – Kenny de Schepperde Schepper (6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Nicolas KickerKicker (6-4 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Andrej MartinMartin (7-65 7-5) – See score progression
- Rogerio Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva – Gael MonfilsMonfils (7-65 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- David GoffinGoffin – Attila BalazsBalazs (6-4 6-77 6-2) – See score progression
- Jiri VeselyVesely – Radu AlbotAlbot (7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Ivan DodigDodig – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (3-6 7-66 6-2) – See score progression
- Paolo LorenziLorenzi – Aljaz BedeneBedene (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Emma NavarroNavarro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Magda LinetteLinette (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Coco VandewegheVandeweghe – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alize CornetCornet – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Belinda BencicBencic (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Claire LiuLiu – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (2-0) – H2H and prediction