Paula Badosa Gibert and Claire Liu will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Credit One Charleston Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 5:30 pm on Credit One Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa Gibert who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Paula Badosa Gibert is the pick to win this match.
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 1.12
Claire Liu -> 6.00

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Paula Badosa Gibert vs. Claire Liu

This will be the 3rd time that Paula Badosa Gibert and Claire Liu square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Liu (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Liu won 6-3 4-6 6-4 in the qualifications in Bucharest back in 2018.

Paula Badosa Gibert

Paula Badosa Gibert

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
25
High
2
LWLLLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 18-13 13-8 3-2 0-1 2-2 0-0
2024 37-19 26-11 6-5 0-1 5-2 0-0
2023 18-9 6-4 11-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 32-22 20-13 8-5 1-2 3-2 0-0
2021 43-17 19-9 17-3 4-3 3-2 0-0

Ranked no. 3 (career-high), the Spaniard got to the 3rd round after defeating Anna Bondar 6-1 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Bondar (6-1 6-4). During the match, Badosa scored 70 points vs Bondar’s 53. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Badosa scored just 1 ace in the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Paula Badosa Gibert lost the serve once. Furthermore, Badosa put 65% of her first serves in, winning 63% (25/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the 2nd serve. Paula broke Bondar 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).

Badosa has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (297-156). 1-0 on clay in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Badosa has an overall 138-72 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in in Sydney where she overcame Barbora Krejcikova in the final 6-3 4-6 7-6(4).

The Spaniard has a compiled 17-6 win-loss record in 2022, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Charleston

Charleston
Badosa's Record

Claire Liu

Claire Liu

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
210
High
52
LWWLLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 24-19 20-13 4-6 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 18-12 11-7 7-5 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 27-29 19-19 7-8 0-0 1-2 0-0
2022 29-22 15-14 12-4 0-1 2-3 0-0
2021 39-17 17-11 17-4 0-0 5-2 0-0

Ranked no. 89, Claire got to the 3rd round after beating Heather Watson 6-4 6-2 and Shuai Zhang 7-5 2-6 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The American defeated Zhang (7-5 2-6 6-4). During the match Liu and Zhang scored the same amount of points (86). However, the world no. 3 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.

About the serving games, Liu recorded 7 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Claire Liu lost the serve 5 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Liu put 70% of her first serves in, winning 64% (37/58) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (10/25) on the 2nd serve. Liu broke Zhang 5 times after converting 33% of her break points (5/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Liu has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Liu has a composed 9-7 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Charleston

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2018 and 2021. See her history.

Charleston
Liu's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

P.Badosa
C.Liu
1h:35
1h:35
Time on court​
!
3h:28
3h:28
1h:35
1h:35
Last match​
!
2h:07
2h:07
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
17
17
Games Played​
48
48
2
2
Set played​​
5
5
70
70
Total points​
146
146
70
70
Avg point​
73
73
25
25
Winners
60
60
25
25
Avg Winners​
30
30
36%
36%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
1
1
Aces
9
9
1
1
Avg Aces
4.5
4.5
2
2
Double Faults
6
6
2
2
Avg Double Faults
3
3
25/40
25/40
1st won total​
60/91
60/91
63%
63%
1st won %
66%
66%
15/22
15/22
2nd won total​
24/49
24/49
!
68%
68%
2nd won %
49%
49%
-- Break Points --
4/10
4/10
BP won
9/22
9/22
4/10
4/10
Avg BP won
4.5/11
4.5/11
40%
40%
Won
41%
41%
1
1
Conceded
14
14
1
1
Avg Conceded
7
7
1
1
Broken
6
6
1
1
Avg Broken
3
3
0
0
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Badosa Liu
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 5
Tot Games 17 48
Pts 70-53 146-131
Total Points 123 277
Winners 25 60
%Winners 36% 41%

Badosa played 1 match while Liu competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Claire Liu conceded 1 set while Paula Badosa Gibert hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Badosa has played 3 set(s) less than Liu (2 vs 5). Therefore, Badosa played 31 games less than Liu. The Spaniard scored 25 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Claire struck 60 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Badosa Liu
Aces 1 9
Avg per match 1 4.5
1st in 40/62 91/140
%1st in 65% 65%
1st pts 25/40 60/91
%1st pts 63% 66%
2nd pts 15/22 24/49
%2nd pts 68% 49%

Badosa made 1 ace . Liu also managed to score 9 aces (4.5 per match). Badosa won 63% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Liu won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Badosa Liu
Won 4 9
Converted 4/10 9/22
% Converted 40% 41%
Conceded 1 14
Saved 0 8
% Saved 0% 57%
Times Broken 1 6

Badosa broke her opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered her serve once and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. Liu conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded.

Badosa
R2
Bondar
Total
Score 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 70-53 70-53
Total points 123 123
Winners 25 25
%Winners 36% 36%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 40/62 40/62
% 1st in 65% 65%
1st pts 25/40 25/40
% 1st pts 63% 63%
2nd pts 15/22 15/22
% 2nd pts 68% 68%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/10 4/10
Converted % 40% 40%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 0/1 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 1 1
Liu
R1
Watson
R2
Zhang
Total
Score 6-4 6-2 7-5 2-6 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 18 30 48
pts 60-45 86-86 146-131
Total points 105 172 277
Winners 23 37 60
%Winners 38% 43% 41%
SERVE
Aces 2 7 9
Double Faults 3 3 6
1st in 33/57 58/83 91/140
% 1st in 58% 70% 65%
1st pts 23/33 37/58 60/91
% 1st pts 70% 64% 66%
2nd pts 14/24 10/25 24/49
% 2nd pts 58% 40% 49%
Breaks
Won 4 5 9
Converted 4/7 5/15 9/22
Converted % 57% 33% 41%
Conceded 4 10 14
Saved 3/4 5/10 8
Saved % 75% 50% 125%
Times Broken 1 5 6

Tennis Scores in Charleston

Upcoming matches in the draw