Andrea Arnaboldi and Alexey Vatutin will play each other in the quarter of the Sanremo Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrea Arnaboldi who should win in 3 sets.
Andrea Arnaboldi -> 1.72
Alexey Vatutin -> 2.12
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Prediction and head to head Andrea Arnaboldi vs. Alexey Vatutin
This will be the 3rd time that Andrea Arnaboldi and Alexey Vatutin square off. The head to head is 1-1 for Arnaboldi and Vatutin (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Arnaboldi won 7-6(3) 6-2 in the 2nd round in the Cherbourg Challenger back in 2020.
Andrea Arnaboldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 16-22 | 2-4 | 9-14 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-27 | 0-2 | 14-15 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-29 | 2-4 | 8-17 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 24-19 | 4-2 | 10-9 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 21-32 | 2-8 | 12-16 | 3-5 | 4-2 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 249, Andrea reached the quarter after beating Hugo Grenier 6-3 6-2 and Riccardo Bonadio 4-6 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Bonadio, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-3). During the match, Arnaboldi scored 94 points vs Bonadio’s 74. Arnaboldi was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Arnaboldi fired 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Andrea Arnaboldi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Arnaboldi put 66% of his first serves in, winning 66% (37/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 66% (19/29) on the 2nd serve. Andrea broke Bonadio 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has lost 1 set in this competition to win 58% of the points he played.
Arnaboldi has a unfavourable record in the last 10 years having won only 49% of his matches (289-299). 4-1 on clay in 2022. . Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Arnaboldi has an overall 165-149 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
The Italian has a composed 8-10 win-loss record in 2022, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sanremo Challenger
Alexey Vatutin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38-28 | 2-1 | 25-15 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 52-32 | 0-2 | 32-16 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-27 | 5-7 | 6-8 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 4-1 |
| 2022 | 38-39 | 8-3 | 19-20 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-38 | 0-1 | 15-26 | 16-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 302, Alexey reached the quarter after beating Robin Haase 7-5 2-6 6-2 and Miljan Zekic 5-7 6-2 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Zekic, Alexey recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-2 6-4). During the match Vatutin scored 108 points vs Zekic’s 102. Vatutin was quite aggressive to blast 53 winners.
About the serving games, Vatutin fired 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alexey Vatutin lost the serve twice and he saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Vatutin put 70% of his first serves in, winning 71% (53/75) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. Alexey broke Zekic 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
Vatutin’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Grenoble and M25 Portimao.
The Russian has an aggregate 15-8 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaboldi | Vatutin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 58 |
| Pts | 161-119 | 209-201 |
| Total Points | 280 | 410 |
| Winners | 64 | 91 |
| %Winners | 40% | 44% |
Both Arnaboldi and Vatutin played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrea Arnaboldi surrendered 1 set, while Alexey Vatutin surrendered 2 sets. Arnaboldi has played 1 set(s) less than Vatutin (5 vs 6). Therefore, Arnaboldi played 14 games less than Vatutin. Andrea scored 64 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Vatutin made 91 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaboldi | Vatutin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2 |
| 1st in | 97/142 | 146/206 |
| %1st in | 68% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 64/97 | 91/146 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 62% |
| 2nd pts | 31/45 | 29/60 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 48% |
Arnaboldi fired 2 aces (1 per match). Vatutin blasted 4 aces (2 per match). Arnaboldi won 66% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Vatutin won 62% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaboldi | Vatutin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 10 |
| Converted | 9/18 | 10/21 |
| % Converted | 50% | 48% |
| Conceded | 6 | 29 |
| Saved | 2 | 22 |
| % Saved | 33% | 76% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 7 |
Andrea broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Arnaboldi conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 10 times with a 48% conversion rate. Alexey conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.
| Arnaboldi | ||||
| R1 Grenier | R2 Bonadio | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 4-6 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 27 | 44 | |
| pts | 67-45 | 94-74 | 161-119 | |
| Total points | 112 | 168 | 280 | |
| Winners | 27 | 37 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 39% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 41/57 | 56/85 | 97/142 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 66% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 27/41 | 37/56 | 64/97 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/16 | 19/29 | 31/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 66% | 69% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 5/9 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 56% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 2/5 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 40% | 20% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Vatutin | ||||
| R1 Haase | R2 Zekic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 2-6 6-2 | 5-7 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 30 | 58 | |
| pts | 101-99 | 108-102 | 209-201 | |
| Total points | 200 | 210 | 410 | |
| Winners | 38 | 53 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 49% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 71/99 | 75/107 | 146/206 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 70% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 38/71 | 53/75 | 91/146 | |
| % 1st pts | 54% | 71% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 14/32 | 29/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 44% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 4/11 | 10/21 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 36% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 15 | 29 | |
| Saved | 9/14 | 13/15 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 87% | 76% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Thomas FabbianoFabbiano – Gianluca MagerMager (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexey VatutinVatutin – Andrea ArnaboldiArnaboldi (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Mate ValkuszValkusz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – (1-0) – H2H and prediction