Nicolas Jarry and Gerald Melzer will fight against each other in the quarter of the Mexico City Challenger for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on ESTADIO. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Jarry who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Nicolas Jarry is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Jarry -> 1.49
Gerald Melzer -> 2.62

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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Jarry vs. Gerald Melzer

This will be the 4^th time that Nicolas Jarry and Gerald Melzer play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Melzer (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Melzer won 7-6(2) 6-4 in the 1^st round in the Santiago 3 Challenger back in 2021.

Nicolas Jarry

Ranked no. 139, Jarry got to the quarter after defeating Viktor Durasovic 4-6 7-6⁵ 6-2 and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 7-6⁵ 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, The Chilean had a good straight sets win against Pucinelli De Almeida (7-6⁵ 6-2). During the match, Jarry scored 85 points vs Pucinelli De Almeida’s 73. The Chilean was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Jarry blasted 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Nicolas Jarry lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Jarry put 59% of his first serves in, winning 76% (32/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. The Chilean broke Pucinelli De Almeida 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jarry has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Jarry has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (302-204). 8-5 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Jarry has an overall 243-130 match record in the last years on clay.

Nicolas has an overall 8-5 win-loss record in 2022, 8-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Mexico City Challenger

The Chilean has never competed in this tournament before.

Gerald Melzer

Ranked no. 271, Melzer reached the quarter after beating Stefan Kozlov 6-4 0-0 ret. and Nicolas Barrientos 6-1 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, Melzer had a good straight sets win against Barrientos (6-1 6-1). During the match Melzer scored 56 points vs Barrientos’s 33. Melzer was pretty aggressive to blast 17 winners.

About the serving games, Melzer bagged 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Gerald Melzer was quite efficient on serve to win 74% (17/23) of his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Gerald broke Barrientos 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

The Austrian has an aggregate 2-3 win-loss record in 2022, 2-3 on clay (See FULL STATS)

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Jarry	Melzer
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	5
Tot Games	52	24
Pts	188-169	94-64
Total Points	357	158
Winners	70	32
%Winners	37%	34%

Both Jarry and Melzer played 2 matches. At the moment, Nicolas Jarry lost 1 set while Gerald Melzer hasn’t dropped a set so far. Talking about their workload, Jarry and Melzer have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Jarry played 28 games more than Melzer. Jarry scored 70 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Gerald blasted 32 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Jarry	Melzer
Aces	15	10
Avg per match	7.5	5
1st in	92/176	39/74
%1st in	52%	53%
1st pts	70/92	32/39
%1st pts	76%	82%
2nd pts	48/84	19/35
%2nd pts	57%	54%

Jarry scored 15 aces (7.5 per match). Melzer blasted 10 aces (5 per match). Jarry won 76% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Melzer won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Jarry	Melzer
Won	6	6
Converted	6/20	6/16
% Converted	30%	38%
Conceded	15	1
Saved	12	1
% Saved	80%	100%
Times Broken	3	0

Nicolas broke his opponents 6 times with a 30% conversion rate. The Chilean lost his serve 3 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The Austrian broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Gerald was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.

Jarry
	R1 Durasovic	R2 Pucinelli De Almeida	Total
Score	4-6 7-65 6-2	7-65 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	31	21	52
pts	103-96	85-73	188-169
Total points	199	158	357
Winners	38	32	70
%Winners	37%	38%	37%
SERVE
Aces	13	2	15
Double Faults	6	3	9
1st in	50/105	42/71	92/176
% 1st in	48%	59%	52%
1st pts	38/50	32/42	70/92
% 1st pts	76%	76%	76%
2nd pts	34/55	14/29	48/84
% 2nd pts	62%	48%	57%
Breaks
Won	3	3	6
Converted	3/9	3/11	6/20
Converted %	33%	27%	30%
Conceded	9	6	15
Saved	7/9	5/6	12
Saved %	78%	83%	81%
Times Broken	2	1	3

Melzer
	R1 Kozlov	R2 Barrientos	Total
Score	6-4 0-0 ret.	6-1 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	10	14	24
pts	38-31	56-33	94-64
Total points	69	89	158
Winners	15	17	32
%Winners	39%	30%	34%
SERVE
Aces	4	6	10
Double Faults	4	4	8
1st in	16/28	23/46	39/74
% 1st in	57%	50%	53%
1st pts	15/16	17/23	32/39
% 1st pts	94%	74%	82%
2nd pts	5/12	14/23	19/35
% 2nd pts	42%	61%	54%
Breaks
Won	1	5	6
Converted	1/6	5/10	6/16
Converted %	17%	50%	38%
Conceded	0	1	1
Saved	0/0	1/1	1
Saved %	–	100%	50%
Times Broken	0	0	0

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Renzo OlivoOlivo – Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Nicolas JarryJarry – Gerald MelzerMelzer (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Maxime JanvierJanvier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mateus De Carvalho CardosoDe Carvalho Cardoso – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (0-0) – H2H and prediction