Jay Clarke and Mateus Alves will face off in the 2nd round of the Mexico City Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 11:00 am on ESTADIO. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jay Clarke who should win in 3 sets.
Jay Clarke -> 1.44
Mateus Alves -> 2.62
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Jay Clarke vs. Mateus Alves
There is no head to head record between Jay Clarke and Mateus Alves since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Jay Clarke
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 55-29 | 23-8 | 26-9 | 5-6 | 0-5 | 1-1 |
| 2024 | 54-29 | 6-4 | 41-18 | 6-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-19 | 10-12 | 21-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-27 | 11-12 | 3-4 | 7-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-28 | 7-7 | 8-14 | 3-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 166, Clarke reached the 2nd round after beating Bernard Tomic 6-4 6-73 6-3.
In the 1st round, The Brit defeated Tomic (6-4 6-73 6-3). During the match, Clarke scored 103 points vs Tomic’s 93. The Brit was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Clarke blasted 2 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Jay Clarke lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Clarke put 54% of his first serves in, winning 77% (44/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (23/49) on the 2nd serve. Jay broke Tomic 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Clarke has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 57% of his matches (195-147). 1-0 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Clarke has a compiled82-49 record in the last 7 years on clay.
Jay’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Forli 2 Challenger.
Jay has an overall 12-9 win-loss record in 2022, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mexico City Challenger
Mateus Alves
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28-26 | 1-4 | 27-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-31 | 3-5 | 43-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-28 | 4-7 | 26-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-15 | 5-1 | 17-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-33 | 21-20 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 469, the Brazilian reached the 2nd round after defeating Federico Zeballos 6-3 6-4, Calvin Hemery 6-74 6-4 6-4 and Federico Gaio 6-3 3-6 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Brazilian defeated Gaio (6-3 3-6 6-4). During the match Alves scored 84 points vs Gaio’s 74. The Brazilian was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Alves made 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Mateus Alves was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (37/50) of his 1st serve and 55% (12/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The Brazilian broke Gaio 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
The Brazilian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Campos do Jordao.
Alves has an overall 11-4 win-loss record in 2022, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Clarke | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 80 |
| Pts | 103-93 | 250-214 |
| Total Points | 196 | 464 |
| Winners | 44 | 107 |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% |
Clarke played 1 match while Alves competed in 3 matches. Alves started his run from the qualifications while Clarke had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Jay Clarke lost 1 set, while Mateus Alves conceded 2 sets. Clarke has played 5 set(s) less than Alves (3 vs 8). Therefore, Clarke played 48 games less than Alves. Clarke scored 44 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Brazilian fired 107 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Clarke | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 6 |
| 1st in | 57/106 | 136/219 |
| %1st in | 54% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 44/57 | 107/136 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 23/49 | 42/83 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 51% |
Clarke scored 2 aces . Alves fired 18 aces (6 per match). Clarke won 77% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Alves won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Clarke | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 13 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 13/31 |
| % Converted | 71% | 42% |
| Conceded | 11 | 15 |
| Saved | 8 | 7 |
| % Saved | 73% | 47% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 8 |
Jay broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Jay conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. The Brazilian broke his opponents 13 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded.
| Clarke | |||
| R1 Tomic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-73 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 103-93 | 103-93 | |
| Total points | 196 | 196 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 57/106 | 57/106 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 44/57 | 44/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/49 | 23/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Alves | |||||
| Q1 Zeballos | Q3 Hemery | R1 Gaio | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-74 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 33 | 28 | 80 | |
| pts | 68-52 | 98-88 | 84-74 | 250-214 | |
| Total points | 120 | 186 | 158 | 464 | |
| Winners | 23 | 47 | 37 | 107 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 48% | 44% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 11 | 3 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 30/54 | 56/93 | 50/72 | 136/219 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 60% | 69% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 23/30 | 47/56 | 37/50 | 107/136 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 84% | 74% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 18/37 | 12/22 | 42/83 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 49% | 55% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/16 | 5/6 | 4/9 | 13/31 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 83% | 44% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 | 4 | 15 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 5/8 | 1/4 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 63% | 25% | 121% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
Tennis Scores in Mexico City Challenger
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Gilbert Klier JuniorKlier Junior (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Juan Ignacio LonderoIgnacio Londero – Goncalo OliveiraOliveira (7-5 6-76 6-3) – See score progression
- Mateus AlvesAlves – Federico GaioGaio (6-3 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Nicolas BarrientosBarrientos – Facundo MenaMena (6-1 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Facundo BagnisBagnis (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Evgeny DonskoyDonskoy (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Elmar EjupovicEjupovic – Juan Alejandro HernandezAlejandro Hernandez (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Pedja KrstinKrstin – Keegan SmithSmith (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Renzo OlivoOlivo – Nick ChappellChappell (6-4 4-6 7-62) – See score progression
- Jesper De JongDe Jong – Andrej MartinMartin (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Viktor DurasovicDurasovic (4-6 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Gerald MelzerMelzer – Stefan KozlovKozlov (6-4 0-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves – Ernesto EscobedoEscobedo (1-6 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Jay ClarkeClarke – Bernard TomicTomic (6-4 6-73 6-3) – See score progression
- Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPucinelli De Almeida – Denis IstominIstomin (5-7 7-65 7-66) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Facundo BagnisBagnis (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Nicolas BarrientosBarrientos – Facundo MenaMena (6-1 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Nicolas BarrientosBarrientos – Gerald MelzerMelzer (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elmar EjupovicEjupovic – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pedja KrstinKrstin – Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Maxime JanvierJanvier – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jay ClarkeClarke – Mateus De Carvalho CardosoDe Carvalho Cardoso (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jesper De JongDe Jong – Renzo OlivoOlivo (0-1) – H2H and prediction