Jay Clarke and Mateus Alves will face off in the 2nd round of the Mexico City Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 11:00 am on ESTADIO. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jay Clarke who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jay Clarke is the pick to win this match.
Jay Clarke -> 1.44
Mateus Alves -> 2.62

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Prediction and head to head Jay Clarke vs. Mateus Alves

There is no head to head record between Jay Clarke and Mateus Alves since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Jay Clarke

Jay Clarke

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
213
High
153
WLWWLWLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 55-29 23-8 26-9 5-6 0-5 1-1
2024 54-29 6-4 41-18 6-5 1-2 0-0
2023 34-19 10-12 21-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2022 22-27 11-12 3-4 7-6 1-5 0-0
2021 19-28 7-7 8-14 3-3 1-4 0-0

Ranked no. 166, Clarke reached the 2nd round after beating Bernard Tomic 6-4 6-73 6-3.

In the 1st round, The Brit defeated Tomic (6-4 6-73 6-3). During the match, Clarke scored 103 points vs Tomic’s 93. The Brit was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Regarding the service games, Clarke blasted 2 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Jay Clarke lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Clarke put 54% of his first serves in, winning 77% (44/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (23/49) on the 2nd serve. Jay broke Tomic 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Clarke has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 57% of his matches (195-147). 1-0 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Clarke has a compiled82-49 record in the last 7 years on clay.

Jay’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Forli 2 Challenger.

Jay has an overall 12-9 win-loss record in 2022, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Mexico City Challenger

Mexico City Challenger
Clarke's Record

Mateus Alves

Mateus Alves

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
476
High
271
WLWWLLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 28-26 1-4 27-22 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 46-31 3-5 43-26 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 30-28 4-7 26-21 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 22-15 5-1 17-14 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 32-33 21-20 11-13 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 469, the Brazilian reached the 2nd round after defeating Federico Zeballos 6-3 6-4, Calvin Hemery 6-74 6-4 6-4 and Federico Gaio 6-3 3-6 6-4.

In the 1st round, The Brazilian defeated Gaio (6-3 3-6 6-4). During the match Alves scored 84 points vs Gaio’s 74. The Brazilian was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.

About the serving games, Alves made 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Mateus Alves was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (37/50) of his 1st serve and 55% (12/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The Brazilian broke Gaio 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

The Brazilian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Campos do Jordao.

Alves has an overall 11-4 win-loss record in 2022, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Mexico City Challenger
Alves's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

J.Clarke
M.Alves (2001)
2h:10
2h:10
Time on court​
!
5h:48
5h:48
!
2h:10
2h:10
Last match​
1h:52
1h:52
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
32
32
Games Played​
80
80
3
3
Set played​​
8
8
103
103
Total points​
250
250
103
103
Avg point​
83.3
83.3
44
44
Winners
107
107
44
44
Avg Winners​
35.7
35.7
43%
43%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
18
18
2
2
Avg Aces
6
6
9
9
Double Faults
14
14
!
9
9
Avg Double Faults
4.7
4.7
44/57
44/57
1st won total​
107/136
107/136
!
77%
77%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
23/49
23/49
2nd won total​
42/83
42/83
47%
47%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
5/7
5/7
BP won
13/31
13/31
5/7
5/7
Avg BP won
4.3/10.3
4.3/10.3
!
71%
71%
Won
42%
42%
11
11
Conceded
15
15
11
11
Avg Conceded
5
5
3
3
Broken
8
8
3
3
Avg Broken
2.7
2.7
8
8
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Clarke Alves
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 3 8
Tot Games 32 80
Pts 103-93 250-214
Total Points 196 464
Winners 44 107
%Winners 43% 43%

Clarke played 1 match while Alves competed in 3 matches. Alves started his run from the qualifications while Clarke had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Jay Clarke lost 1 set, while Mateus Alves conceded 2 sets. Clarke has played 5 set(s) less than Alves (3 vs 8). Therefore, Clarke played 48 games less than Alves. Clarke scored 44 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Brazilian fired 107 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Clarke Alves
Aces 2 18
Avg per match 2 6
1st in 57/106 136/219
%1st in 54% 62%
1st pts 44/57 107/136
%1st pts 77% 79%
2nd pts 23/49 42/83
%2nd pts 47% 51%

Clarke scored 2 aces . Alves fired 18 aces (6 per match). Clarke won 77% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Alves won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Clarke Alves
Won 5 13
Converted 5/7 13/31
% Converted 71% 42%
Conceded 11 15
Saved 8 7
% Saved 73% 47%
Times Broken 3 8

Jay broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Jay conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. The Brazilian broke his opponents 13 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded.

Clarke
R1
Tomic
Total
Score 6-4 6-73 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 32 32
pts 103-93 103-93
Total points 196 196
Winners 44 44
%Winners 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 9 9
1st in 57/106 57/106
% 1st in 54% 54%
1st pts 44/57 44/57
% 1st pts 77% 77%
2nd pts 23/49 23/49
% 2nd pts 47% 47%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/7 5/7
Converted % 71% 71%
Conceded 11 11
Saved 8/11 8
Saved % 73% 73%
Times Broken 3 3
Alves
Q1
Zeballos
Q3
Hemery
R1
Gaio
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-74 6-4 6-4 6-3 3-6 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 3 8
Tot Games 19 33 28 80
pts 68-52 98-88 84-74 250-214
Total points 120 186 158 464
Winners 23 47 37 107
%Winners 34% 48% 44% 43%
SERVE
Aces 4 11 3 18
Double Faults 4 5 5 14
1st in 30/54 56/93 50/72 136/219
% 1st in 56% 60% 69% 62%
1st pts 23/30 47/56 37/50 107/136
% 1st pts 77% 84% 74% 79%
2nd pts 12/24 18/37 12/22 42/83
% 2nd pts 50% 49% 55% 51%
Breaks
Won 4 5 4 13
Converted 4/16 5/6 4/9 13/31
Converted % 25% 83% 44% 42%
Conceded 3 8 4 15
Saved 1/3 5/8 1/4 7
Saved % 33% 63% 25% 121%
Times Broken 2 3 3 8

Tennis Scores in Mexico City Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw