Luca Nardi and Leandro Riedi will square off in the final of the Lugano Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on Centrale. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Leandro Riedi who should win in 3 sets.
Leandro Riedi -> 1.81
Luca Nardi -> 2
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Prediction and head to head Luca Nardi vs. Leandro Riedi
There is no head to head record between Luca Nardi and Leandro Riedi since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Luca Nardi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-30 | 14-13 | 8-9 | 8-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-27 | 14-14 | 8-5 | 9-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-36 | 20-10 | 8-13 | 12-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 5-2 | 11-10 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-24 | 3-3 | 26-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 297, Luca got to the final after defeating Hugo Grenier 6-3 6-4, Aldin Setkic 6-4 6-4, Jerome Kym 4-6 6-3 7-67 and Cedrik-Marcel Stebe 6-1 6-1.
In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Stebe (6-1 6-1). During the match, Nardi scored 59 points vs Stebe’s 34. Luca was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nardi struck 6 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Luca Nardi was quite efficient on serve to win 76% (25/33) of his 1st serve and 63% (5/8) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Stebe 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Luca has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Nardi has a winning record in the last 5 years having won 58% of his matches (56-40). 9-3 on indoor hard courts in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Nardi has an aggregate14-16 match record in the last 5 years on indoor hard courts.
The Italian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Forli 1 Challenger.
Luca has a composed 9-3 win-loss record in 2022, 9-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lugano Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Leandro Riedi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-8 | 11-5 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-15 | 2-4 | 6-4 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-22 | 14-9 | 3-4 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-17 | 18-6 | 5-5 | 21-6 | 0-0 | 5-0 |
| 2021 | 17-16 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 590 (career-high), Riedi got to the final after beating Maxime Cressy 7-62 6-73 6-4, Dan Added 6-4 6-2, Marc-Andrea Huesler 6-2 7-64 and Pierre-Hugues Herbert 3-6 7-63 7-63.
In the semifinal against Herbert, The Swiss recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-63 7-63). During the match Riedi scored 115 points vs Herbert’s 114. Riedi was exceptionally aggressive to blast 58 winners.
About the serving games, Riedi fired 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Leandro Riedi was very effective on serve to win 81% (58/72) of his 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Riedi broke Herbert once after converting 13% of his break points (1/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Leandro has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Riedi’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Trimbach.
Riedi has a compiled 20-5 win-loss record in 2022, 9-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lugano Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nardi | Riedi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 85 | 110 |
| Pts | 299-236 | 368-342 |
| Total Points | 535 | 710 |
| Winners | 139 | 194 |
| %Winners | 46% | 53% |
Both Nardi and Riedi played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Luca Nardi surrendered 1 set, while Leandro Riedi conceded 2 sets. Nardi has played 1 set(s) less than Riedi (9 vs 10). Therefore, Nardi played 25 games less than Riedi. Luca scored 139 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Leandro blasted 194 winners (53%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nardi | Riedi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 30 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 7.5 |
| 1st in | 186/260 | 252/358 |
| %1st in | 72% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 139/186 | 194/252 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 42/74 | 59/106 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 56% |
Nardi made 20 aces (5 per match). Riedi fired 30 aces (7.5 per match). Nardi won 75% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Riedi won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nardi | Riedi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 7 |
| Converted | 14/32 | 7/23 |
| % Converted | 44% | 30% |
| Conceded | 16 | 21 |
| Saved | 11 | 19 |
| % Saved | 69% | 90% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 |
Luca broke his opponents 14 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve 5 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. The Swiss broke his opponents 7 times with a 30% conversion rate. Riedi conceded his serve twice and he saved 90% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nardi | ||||||
| R1 Grenier | R2 Setkic | 1/4 Kym | 1/2 Stebe | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | 4-6 6-3 7-67 | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 32 | 14 | 85 | |
| pts | 76-53 | 62-51 | 102-98 | 59-34 | 299-236 | |
| Total points | 129 | 113 | 200 | 93 | 535 | |
| Winners | 30 | 29 | 55 | 25 | 139 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 47% | 54% | 42% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 43/65 | 39/53 | 71/101 | 33/41 | 186/260 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 74% | 70% | 80% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 30/43 | 29/39 | 55/71 | 25/33 | 139/186 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 74% | 77% | 76% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/22 | 7/14 | 17/30 | 5/8 | 42/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 50% | 57% | 63% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/5 | 1/7 | 5/8 | 14/32 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 80% | 14% | 63% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 1/3 | 3/4 | 3/3 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 33% | 75% | 100% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Riedi | ||||||
| R1 Cressy | R2 Added | 1/4 Huesler | 1/2 Herbert | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 6-73 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 7-64 | 3-6 7-63 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 36 | 18 | 21 | 35 | 110 | |
| pts | 114-115 | 65-53 | 74-60 | 115-114 | 368-342 | |
| Total points | 229 | 118 | 134 | 229 | 710 | |
| Winners | 62 | 34 | 40 | 58 | 194 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 52% | 54% | 50% | 53% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 13 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 78/110 | 45/70 | 57/75 | 72/103 | 252/358 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 64% | 76% | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 62/78 | 34/45 | 40/57 | 58/72 | 194/252 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 76% | 70% | 81% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/32 | 13/25 | 13/18 | 16/31 | 59/106 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 52% | 72% | 52% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| Converted | 1/9 | 3/3 | 2/3 | 1/8 | 7/23 | |
| Converted % | 11% | 100% | 67% | 13% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 21 | |
| Saved | 6/6 | 7/7 | 4/4 | 2/4 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Tennis Scores in Lugano Challenger
- Ruben Bemelmans/Daniel MasurBemelmans/Daniel Masur – Jerome Kym/Leandro RiediKym/Leandro Riedi (6-4 6-75 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings