Luca Nardi and Leandro Riedi will square off in the final of the Lugano Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on Centrale. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Leandro Riedi who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Leandro Riedi is the pick to win this match.
Leandro Riedi -> 1.81
Luca Nardi -> 2

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Prediction and head to head Luca Nardi vs. Leandro Riedi

There is no head to head record between Luca Nardi and Leandro Riedi since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Luca Nardi

Luca Nardi

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
107
High
67
LWWLLLWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 30-30 14-13 8-9 8-6 0-2 0-0
2024 32-27 14-14 8-5 9-4 1-4 0-0
2023 41-36 20-10 8-13 12-12 1-1 0-0
2022 33-20 5-2 11-10 17-8 0-0 0-0
2021 33-24 3-3 26-13 4-8 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 297, Luca got to the final after defeating Hugo Grenier 6-3 6-4, Aldin Setkic 6-4 6-4, Jerome Kym 4-6 6-3 7-67 and Cedrik-Marcel Stebe 6-1 6-1.

In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Stebe (6-1 6-1). During the match, Nardi scored 59 points vs Stebe’s 34. Luca was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Nardi struck 6 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Luca Nardi was quite efficient on serve to win 76% (25/33) of his 1st serve and 63% (5/8) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Stebe 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Luca has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Nardi has a winning record in the last 5 years having won 58% of his matches (56-40). 9-3 on indoor hard courts in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Nardi has an aggregate14-16 match record in the last 5 years on indoor hard courts.

The Italian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Forli 1 Challenger.

Luca has a composed 9-3 win-loss record in 2022, 9-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lugano Challenger

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Lugano Challenger
Nardi's Record

Leandro Riedi

Leandro Riedi

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
179
High
117
LWWWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 18-8 11-5 2-1 0-0 5-2 0-0
2024 32-15 2-4 6-4 17-4 7-3 0-0
2023 19-22 14-9 3-4 1-7 1-2 0-0
2022 49-17 18-6 5-5 21-6 0-0 5-0
2021 17-16 0-0 6-9 10-6 0-0 1-1

Ranked no. 590 (career-high), Riedi got to the final after beating Maxime Cressy 7-62

6-73 6-4, Dan Added 6-4 6-2, Marc-Andrea Huesler 6-2 7-64 and Pierre-Hugues Herbert 3-6 7-63 7-63.

In the semifinal against Herbert, The Swiss recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-63 7-63). During the match Riedi scored 115 points vs Herbert’s 114. Riedi was exceptionally aggressive to blast 58 winners.

About the serving games, Riedi fired 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Leandro Riedi was very effective on serve to win 81% (58/72) of his 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Riedi broke Herbert once after converting 13% of his break points (1/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Leandro has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Riedi’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Trimbach.

Riedi has a compiled 20-5 win-loss record in 2022, 9-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lugano Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See his history.

Lugano Challenger
Riedi's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

L.Nardi
L.Riedi
5h:58
5h:58
Time on court​
7h:26
7h:26
1h:02
1h:02
Last match​
!
2h:29
2h:29
4
4
Match played
4
4
85
85
Games Played​
110
110
9
9
Set played​​
10
10
299
299
Total points​
368
368
74.8
74.8
Avg point​
92
92
139
139
Winners
194
194
34.8
34.8
Avg Winners​
48.5
48.5
46%
46%
Ratio winners
53%
53%
-- Serve --
20
20
Aces
30
30
5
5
Avg Aces
7.5
7.5
5
5
Double Faults
10
10
1.3
1.3
Avg Double Faults
2.5
2.5
139/186
139/186
1st won total​
194/252
194/252
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
42/74
42/74
2nd won total​
59/106
59/106
57%
57%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
14/32
14/32
BP won
7/23
7/23
3.5/8
3.5/8
Avg BP won
1.8/5.8
1.8/5.8
44%
44%
Won
30%
30%
16
16
Conceded
21
21
4
4
Avg Conceded
5.3
5.3
5
5
Broken
2
2
1.3
1.3
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
11
11
Saved
19
19

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Nardi Riedi
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 9 10
Tot Games 85 110
Pts 299-236 368-342
Total Points 535 710
Winners 139 194
%Winners 46% 53%

Both Nardi and Riedi played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Luca Nardi surrendered 1 set, while Leandro Riedi conceded 2 sets. Nardi has played 1 set(s) less than Riedi (9 vs 10). Therefore, Nardi played 25 games less than Riedi. Luca scored 139 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Leandro blasted 194 winners (53%).

Serve Performance

Serve Nardi Riedi
Aces 20 30
Avg per match 5 7.5
1st in 186/260 252/358
%1st in 72% 70%
1st pts 139/186 194/252
%1st pts 75% 77%
2nd pts 42/74 59/106
%2nd pts 57% 56%

Nardi made 20 aces (5 per match). Riedi fired 30 aces (7.5 per match). Nardi won 75% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Riedi won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Nardi Riedi
Won 14 7
Converted 14/32 7/23
% Converted 44% 30%
Conceded 16 21
Saved 11 19
% Saved 69% 90%
Times Broken 5 2

Luca broke his opponents 14 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve 5 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. The Swiss broke his opponents 7 times with a 30% conversion rate. Riedi conceded his serve twice and he saved 90% of the break points that he conceded.

Nardi
R1
Grenier
R2
Setkic
1/4
Kym
1/2
Stebe
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-4 6-4 4-6 6-3 7-67 6-1 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 3 2 9
Tot Games 19 20 32 14 85
pts 76-53 62-51 102-98 59-34 299-236
Total points 129 113 200 93 535
Winners 30 29 55 25 139
%Winners 39% 47% 54% 42% 46%
SERVE
Aces 4 2 8 6 20
Double Faults 1 3 1 0 5
1st in 43/65 39/53 71/101 33/41 186/260
% 1st in 66% 74% 70% 80% 72%
1st pts 30/43 29/39 55/71 25/33 139/186
% 1st pts 70% 74% 77% 76% 75%
2nd pts 13/22 7/14 17/30 5/8 42/74
% 2nd pts 59% 50% 57% 63% 57%
Breaks
Won 4 4 1 5 14
Converted 4/12 4/5 1/7 5/8 14/32
Converted % 33% 80% 14% 63% 44%
Conceded 6 3 4 3 16
Saved 4/6 1/3 3/4 3/3 11
Saved % 67% 33% 75% 100% 69%
Times Broken 2 2 1 0 5
Riedi
R1
Cressy
R2
Added
1/4
Huesler
1/2
Herbert
Total
Score 7-62 6-73 6-4 6-4 6-2 6-2 7-64 3-6 7-63 7-63
Tot Set 3 2 2 3 10
Tot Games 36 18 21 35 110
pts 114-115 65-53 74-60 115-114 368-342
Total points 229 118 134 229 710
Winners 62 34 40 58 194
%Winners 54% 52% 54% 50% 53%
SERVE
Aces 13 8 5 4 30
Double Faults 3 2 1 4 10
1st in 78/110 45/70 57/75 72/103 252/358
% 1st in 71% 64% 76% 70% 70%
1st pts 62/78 34/45 40/57 58/72 194/252
% 1st pts 79% 76% 70% 81% 77%
2nd pts 17/32 13/25 13/18 16/31 59/106
% 2nd pts 53% 52% 72% 52% 56%
Breaks
Won 1 3 2 1 7
Converted 1/9 3/3 2/3 1/8 7/23
Converted % 11% 100% 67% 13% 30%
Conceded 6 7 4 4 21
Saved 6/6 7/7 4/4 2/4 19
Saved % 100% 100% 100% 50% 88%
Times Broken 0 0 0 2 2

Tennis Scores in Lugano Challenger

  • Ruben Bemelmans/Daniel MasurBemelmans/Daniel MasurJerome Kym/Leandro RiediKym/Leandro Riedi (6-4 6-75 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings

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