Cedrik-Marcel Stebe and Luca Nardi will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Lugano Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:30 pm on CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cedrik-Marcel Stebe who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Cedrik-Marcel Stebe is the pick to win this match.
Cedrik-Marcel Stebe -> 1.67
Luca Nardi -> 2.2

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Prediction and head to head Cedrik-Marcel Stebe vs. Luca Nardi

This will be the 2^nd time that Cedrik-Marcel Stebe and Luca Nardi play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Stebe (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they competed against each other, Stebe won 7-6(6) 6-3 in the 1^st round in the Cordenons Challenger back in 2020.

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe

Ranked no. 218, the German reached the semifinal after defeating Kacper Zuk 6-3 6-3, Mirza Basic 4-6 6-4 6-3 and Jurij Rodionov 6-1 6-1.

In the quarter, Cedrik-Marcel had a good straight sets win against Rodionov (6-1 6-1). During the match, Stebe scored 56 points vs Rodionov’s 31. Cedrik-Marcel was exceptionally aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Regarding the service games, Stebe scored just 1 ace in the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Cedrik-Marcel Stebe was very efficient on serve to win 73% (19/26) of his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Cedrik-Marcel broke Rodionov 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The German has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.

Stebe has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (182-116). 15-4 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Stebe has a composed 48-24 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

The German’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Forli 1 Challenger and the Forli 3 Challenger.

Stebe has an overall 15-8 win-loss record in 2022, 15-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lugano Challenger

Cedrik-Marcel has never competed in this tournament before.

Luca Nardi

Ranked no. 297, the Italian reached the semifinal after defeating Hugo Grenier 6-3 6-4, Aldin Setkic 6-4 6-4 and Jerome Kym 4-6 6-3 7-6⁷.

In the quarter against Kym, Nardi recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-6⁷

). During the match Nardi scored 102 points vs Kym’s 98. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 55 winners.

About the serving games, Nardi fired 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Luca Nardi was quite efficient on serve to win 77% (55/71) of his 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Kym once after converting 14% of his break points (1/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The Italian’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Forli 1 Challenger.

Luca has an aggregate 8-3 win-loss record in 2022, 8-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Stebe	Nardi
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	7
Tot Games	61	71
Pts	218-170	240-202
Total Points	388	442
Winners	92	114
%Winners	42%	48%

Both Stebe and Nardi played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Cedrik-Marcel Stebe conceded 1 set, while Luca Nardi conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Stebe and Nardi have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Stebe played 10 games less than Nardi. Cedrik-Marcel scored 92 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Luca recorded 114 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Stebe	Nardi
Aces	12	14
Avg per match	4	4.7
1st in	124/191	153/219
%1st in	65%	70%
1st pts	92/124	114/153
%1st pts	74%	75%
2nd pts	38/67	37/66
%2nd pts	57%	56%

Stebe blasted 12 aces (4 per match). Nardi struck 14 aces (4.7 per match). Stebe won 74% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Nardi won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Stebe	Nardi
Won	11	9
Converted	11/25	9/24
% Converted	44%	38%
Conceded	11	13
Saved	9	8
% Saved	82%	62%
Times Broken	2	5

Cedrik-Marcel broke his opponents 11 times with a 44% conversion rate. Cedrik-Marcel dropped his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Luca broke his opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.

Stebe
	R1 Zuk	R2 Basic	1/4 Rodionov	Total
Score	6-3 6-3	4-6 6-4 6-3	6-1 6-1
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	18	29	14	61
pts	70-53	92-86	56-31	218-170
Total points	123	178	87	388
Winners	31	42	19	92
%Winners	44%	46%	34%	42%
SERVE
Aces	2	9	1	12
Double Faults	1	2	1	4
1st in	42/58	56/87	26/46	124/191
% 1st in	72%	64%	57%	65%
1st pts	31/42	42/56	19/26	92/124
% 1st pts	74%	75%	73%	74%
2nd pts	9/16	17/31	12/20	38/67
% 2nd pts	56%	55%	60%	57%
Breaks
Won	3	3	5	11
Converted	3/8	3/10	5/7	11/25
Converted %	38%	30%	71%	44%
Conceded	3	7	1	11
Saved	3/3	5/7	1/1	9
Saved %	100%	71%	100%	90%
Times Broken	0	2	0	2

Nardi
	R1 Grenier	R2 Setkic	1/4 Kym	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	6-4 6-4	4-6 6-3 7-67
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	19	20	32	71
pts	76-53	62-51	102-98	240-202
Total points	129	113	200	442
Winners	30	29	55	114
%Winners	39%	47%	54%	48%
SERVE
Aces	4	2	8	14
Double Faults	1	3	1	5
1st in	43/65	39/53	71/101	153/219
% 1st in	66%	74%	70%	70%
1st pts	30/43	29/39	55/71	114/153
% 1st pts	70%	74%	77%	75%
2nd pts	13/22	7/14	17/30	37/66
% 2nd pts	59%	50%	57%	56%
Breaks
Won	4	4	1	9
Converted	4/12	4/5	1/7	9/24
Converted %	33%	80%	14%	38%
Conceded	6	3	4	13
Saved	4/6	1/3	3/4	8
Saved %	67%	33%	75%	58%
Times Broken	2	2	1	5

Tennis Scores in Lugano Challenger

• Ruben Bemelmans/Daniel MasurBemelmans/Daniel Masur – Dan Added/Albano OlivettiAdded/Albano Olivetti (7-6⁶ 4-6 10-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Cedrik-Marcel StebeStebe – (1-0) – H2H and prediction