H2H, PREDICTION Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz | Miami odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Miami. Ruud and Alcaraz will square off in the final of the Miami Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Carlos Alcaraz

Casper Ruud and Carlos Alcaraz will play each other in the final of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.45
Casper Ruud -> 2.93

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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This will be the 2nd time that Casper Ruud and Carlos Alcaraz fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Alcaraz won 6-2 6-4 in the quarter in Marbella back in 2021.

Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud – Marbella 09-April-2021

Casper Ruud

Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
8
High
2
LWWLWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 18-5 17-5 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0
2023 37-23 12-12 22-8 2-2 1-1 0-0
2022 51-22 18-8 25-7 7-5 1-2 0-0
2021 57-17 16-6 28-5 11-4 2-2 0-0
2020 22-13 4-5 17-6 1-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 8 (career-high), Casper reached the final after beating Henri Laaksonen 6-1 6-2, Alexander Bublik 6-3 6-2, Cameron Norrie 6-3 6-4, Alexander Zverev 6-3 1-6 6-3 and Francisco Cerundolo 6-4 6-1.

In the semifinal, Ruud had a good straight sets win against Cerundolo (6-4 6-1). During the match, Ruud scored 68 points vs Cerundolo’s 50. The Norwegian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Ruud managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Casper Ruud lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Ruud put 61% of his first serves in, winning 84% (31/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 33% (8/24) on the 2nd serve. Casper broke Cerundolo 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Norwegian has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Ruud has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (278-151). 8-2 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ruud has a composed63-43 record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in in Buenos Aires where he beat Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3.

Casper has an aggregate 13-3 win-loss record in 2022, 8-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

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Previously in Miami

Ruud
Miami
Ruud's Record

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
2
High
1
LWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 15-4 13-2 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 16 (career-high), Alcaraz reached the final after beating Marton Fucsovics 6-3 6-2, Marin Cilic 6-4 6-4, Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-5 6-3, Miomir Kecmanovic 6-75 6-3 7-65 and Hubert Hurkacz 7-65 7-62.

In the semifinal, Alcaraz had a good straight sets win against Hurkacz (7-65 7-62). During the match Alcaraz scored 88 points vs Hurkacz’s 79. Carlos was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about serving, Alcaraz bagged 3 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Carlos Alcaraz was pretty efficient on serve to win 78% (45/58) of his 1st serve and 70% (16/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alcaraz has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Rio de Janeiro where he defeated Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 6-4 6-2.

Alcaraz has an aggregate 17-2 win-loss record in 2022, 11-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021. See his history.

Alcaraz
Miami
Alcaraz's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Ruud
C.Alcaraz
6h:32
6h:32
Time on court​
9h:11
9h:11
1h:34
1h:34
Last match​
!
2h:02
2h:02
5
5
Match played
5
5
93
93
Games Played​
119
119
11
11
Set played​​
11
11
309
309
Total points​
402
402
61.8
61.8
Avg point​
80.4
80.4
154
154
Winners
201
201
30.8
30.8
Avg Winners​
40.2
40.2
50%
50%
Ratio winners
50%
50%
-- Serve --
27
27
Aces
13
13
5.4
5.4
Avg Aces
2.6
2.6
5
5
Double Faults
9
9
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1.8
1.8
154/185
154/185
1st won total​
201/258
201/258
!
83%
83%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
43/92
43/92
2nd won total​
64/111
64/111
47%
47%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
16/34
16/34
BP won
11/31
11/31
3.2/6.8
3.2/6.8
Avg BP won
2.2/6.2
2.2/6.2
47%
47%
Won
35%
35%
12
12
Conceded
17
17
2.4
2.4
Avg Conceded
3.4
3.4
4
4
Broken
2
2
!
0.8
0.8
Avg Broken
!
0.4
0.4
8
8
Saved
15
15

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ruud Alcaraz
Match played 5 5
Tot Set 11 11
Tot Games 93 119
Pts 309-232 402-350
Total Points 541 752
Winners 154 201
%Winners 50% 50%

Both Ruud and Alcaraz played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Casper Ruud dropped 1 set, while Carlos Alcaraz lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Ruud and Alcaraz have played the same amount of sets 11. However, Ruud played 26 games less than Alcaraz. Casper scored 154 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Alcaraz fired 201 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ruud Alcaraz
Aces 27 13
Avg per match 5.4 2.6
1st in 185/277 258/369
%1st in 67% 70%
1st pts 154/185 201/258
%1st pts 83% 78%
2nd pts 43/92 64/111
%2nd pts 47% 58%

Ruud bagged 27 aces (5.4 per match). Alcaraz blasted 13 aces (2.6 per match). Ruud won 83% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Alcaraz won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ruud Alcaraz
Won 16 11
Converted 16/34 11/31
% Converted 47% 35%
Conceded 12 17
Saved 8 15
% Saved 67% 88%
Times Broken 4 2

Casper broke his opponents 16 times with a 47% conversion rate. Ruud surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 11 times with a 35% conversion rate. Alcaraz conceded his serve twice and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.

Ruud
R2
Laaksonen
R3
Bublik
R4
Norrie
1/4
Zverev
1/2
Cerundolo
Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-3 6-2 6-3 6-4 6-3 1-6 6-3 6-4 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 2 3 2 11
Tot Games 15 17 19 25 17 93
pts 52-25 58-38 65-56 66-63 68-50 309-232
Total points 77 96 121 129 118 541
Winners 25 28 33 37 31 154
%Winners 48% 48% 51% 56% 46% 50%
SERVE
Aces 5 3 7 6 6 27
Double Faults 1 0 1 0 3 5
1st in 29/39 33/46 39/68 47/63 37/61 185/277
% 1st in 74% 72% 57% 75% 61% 67%
1st pts 25/29 28/33 33/39 37/47 31/37 154/185
% 1st pts 86% 85% 85% 79% 84% 83%
2nd pts 7/10 8/13 10/29 10/16 8/24 43/92
% 2nd pts 70% 62% 34% 63% 33% 47%
Breaks
Won 4 3 3 2 4 16
Converted 4/6 3/7 3/8 2/5 4/8 16/34
Converted % 67% 43% 38% 40% 50% 47%
Conceded 0 0 3 4 5 12
Saved 0/0 0/0 2/3 2/4 4/5 8
Saved % 67% 50% 80% 39%
Times Broken 0 0 1 2 1 4
Alcaraz
R2
Fucsovics
R3
Cilic
R4
Tsitsipas
1/4
Kecmanovic
1/2
Hurkacz
Total
Score 6-3 6-2 6-4 6-4 7-5 6-3 6-75 6-3 7-65 7-65 7-62
Tot Set 2 2 2 3 2 11
Tot Games 17 20 21 35 26 119
pts 64-49 66-55 82-68 102-99 88-79 402-350
Total points 113 121 150 201 167 752
Winners 29 28 37 62 45 201
%Winners 45% 42% 45% 61% 51% 50%
SERVE
Aces 2 2 1 5 3 13
Double Faults 3 1 2 3 0 9
1st in 35/55 36/55 50/72 79/106 58/81 258/369
% 1st in 64% 65% 69% 75% 72% 70%
1st pts 29/35 28/36 37/50 62/79 45/58 201/258
% 1st pts 83% 78% 74% 78% 78% 78%
2nd pts 11/20 13/19 10/22 14/27 16/23 64/111
% 2nd pts 55% 68% 45% 52% 70% 58%
Breaks
Won 3 2 4 2 0 11
Converted 3/6 2/9 4/11 2/2 0/3 11/31
Converted % 50% 22% 36% 100% 0% 35%
Conceded 3 1 8 2 3 17
Saved 3/3 1/1 7/8 1/2 3/3 15
Saved % 100% 100% 88% 50% 100% 88%
Times Broken 0 0 1 1 0 2

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Ruud
LWWLWWWLWW
Alcaraz
LWWWWWWWWW
2024 2023 2022
17 - 5
15 - 4
17-5
Hard
13-2
0-0
Clay
2-2
See Updated Draw
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