Belinda Bencic and Naomi Osaka will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Miami Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.54
Belinda Bencic -> 2.62
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Belinda Bencic vs. Naomi Osaka
This will be the 5th time that Belinda Bencic and Naomi Osaka play each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Bencic (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Bencic won 7-5 6-4 in the 4th round in New York back in 2019.
Highlights Belinda Bencic vs Naomi Osaka – New York 02-September-2019
Belinda Bencic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 31-13 | 24-10 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-18 | 13-9 | 13-4 | 10-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-20 | 22-9 | 5-5 | 5-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-8 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 50-22 | 23-9 | 11-6 | 9-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 28, the Swiss got to the semifinal after defeating Marta Kostyuk 6-3 6-1, Heather Watson 6-4 6-1, Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-2 6-3 and Daria Saville 6-1 6-2.
In the quarter, Bencic had a good straight sets win against Gavrilova (6-1 6-2). During the match, Bencic scored 61 points vs Gavrilova’s 34. Belinda was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bencic scored just 1 ace throughout the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Belinda Bencic lost the serve once and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Bencic put 69% of her first serves in, winning 64% (21/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the 2nd serve. Bencic broke Gavrilova 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bencic hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 60% of the points she played.
Bencic has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (306-167). 7-4 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Bencic has an aggregate 148-84 record in the last years on hard.
Bencic has an aggregate 9-5 win-loss record in 2022, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Naomi Osaka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15-12 | 7-6 | 5-4 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 14-9 | 13-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-6 | 16-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-3 | 16-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 77, Naomi reached the semifinal after defeating Astra Sharma 6-3 6-4, Angelique Kerber 6-2 6-3, Karolina Muchova w/o, Alison Riske 6-3 6-4 and Danielle Rose Collins 6-2 6-1.
In the quarter, Osaka had a good straight sets win against Collins (6-2 6-1). During the match Osaka scored 54 points vs Collins’s 29. Naomi was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Osaka struck 13 aces and she was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Naomi Osaka conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 63% of her first serves in, win 88% (21/24) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (7/14) on the 2nd serve. Osaka broke Collins 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Osaka hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points she played.
Naomi’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Melbourne.
The Japanese has an aggregate 10-2 win-loss record in 2022, 10-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bencic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 65 | 70 |
| Pts | 262-173 | 265-183 |
| Total Points | 435 | 448 |
| Winners | 100 | 103 |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% |
Both Bencic and Osaka played 4 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Bencic and Osaka have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Bencic played 5 games less than Osaka. Belinda scored 100 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Naomi recorded 103 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bencic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 28 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 7 |
| 1st in | 137/200 | 124/211 |
| %1st in | 69% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 100/137 | 103/124 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 34/63 | 50/87 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 57% |
Bencic blasted 13 aces (3.3 per match). Osaka managed to score 28 aces (7 per match). Bencic won 73% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Osaka won 83% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bencic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 13 |
| Converted | 20/37 | 13/37 |
| % Converted | 54% | 35% |
| Conceded | 21 | 10 |
| Saved | 17 | 9 |
| % Saved | 81% | 90% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 |
Belinda broke her opponents 20 times with a 54% conversion rate. Belinda dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 81% of the break points that she conceded. Naomi broke her opponents 13 times with a 35% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded her serve once and she saved 90% of the break points that she conceded.
| Bencic | ||||||
| R2 Kostyuk |
R3 Watson |
R4 Sasnovich |
1/4 Gavrilova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 65 | |
| pts | 66-40 | 68-50 | 67-49 | 61-34 | 262-173 | |
| Total points | 106 | 118 | 116 | 95 | 435 | |
| Winners | 23 | 27 | 29 | 21 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 40% | 43% | 34% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 28/39 | 36/58 | 40/55 | 33/48 | 137/200 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 62% | 73% | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 23/28 | 27/36 | 29/40 | 21/33 | 100/137 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 75% | 73% | 64% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/11 | 10/22 | 5/15 | 10/15 | 34/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 82% | 45% | 33% | 67% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 5/9 | 5/8 | 6/11 | 20/37 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 56% | 63% | 55% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 21 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 7/8 | 3/5 | 7/8 | 17 | |
| Saved % | – | 88% | 60% | 88% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| Osaka | |||||||
| R1 Sharma |
R2 Kerber |
R3 Muchova |
R4 Riske |
1/4 Collins |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | w/o | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | – | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | – | 19 | 15 | 70 | |
| pts | 72-49 | 61-39 | – | 78-66 | 54-29 | 265-183 | |
| Total points | 121 | 100 | – | 144 | 83 | 448 | |
| Winners | 27 | 24 | – | 31 | 21 | 103 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% | – | 40% | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 2 | 6 | – | 7 | 13 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 29/49 | 27/51 | – | 44/73 | 24/38 | 124/211 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 53% | – | 60% | 63% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 27/29 | 24/27 | – | 31/44 | 21/24 | 103/124 | |
| % 1st pts | 93% | 89% | – | 70% | 88% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/20 | 14/24 | – | 15/29 | 7/14 | 50/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 58% | – | 52% | 50% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | – | 3 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 2/11 | 3/7 | – | 3/12 | 5/7 | 13/37 | |
| Converted % | 18% | 43% | – | 25% | 71% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | – | 8 | 0 | 10 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | – | 7/8 | 0/0 | 9 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | – | 88% | – | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWLWWW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Matthew EbdenEbden – Peter GojowczykGojowczyk (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- John IsnerIsner – Bjorn FratangeloFratangelo (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Belinda BencicBencic – Naomi OsakaOsaka (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-0) – H2H and prediction
