Denis Yevseyev and Aldin Setkic will play each other in the qualifications of the Lugano Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 10:00 am on CAMPO 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Yevseyev who should win in 3 sets.
Denis Yevseyev -> 1.57
Aldin Setkic -> 2.25
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Prediction and head to head Denis Yevseyev vs. Aldin Setkic
This will be the 3rd time that Denis Yevseyev and Aldin Setkic play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Setkic (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they squared off, Setkic won 7-5 6-2 in the semifinal in M15 Prijedor back in 2021.
Denis Yevseyev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-40 | 15-13 | 9-16 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-37 | 14-14 | 12-13 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-36 | 23-16 | 16-14 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 39-31 | 11-9 | 12-12 | 14-9 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2021 | 36-30 | 4-5 | 22-15 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 338, Yevseyev reached the qualifications after defeating Jerzy Janowicz 4-6 6-3 7-64.
In the qualifications against Janowicz, Denis recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-64). During the match, Yevseyev scored 120 points vs Janowicz’s 116. Yevseyev was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Yevseyev blasted 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Denis Yevseyev lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Yevseyev put 56% of his first serves in, winning 68% (38/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (23/44) on the 2nd serve. Denis broke Janowicz 4 times after converting 27% of his break points (4/15).
Yevseyev has a favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (293-231). 13-3 on indoor hard courts in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Yevseyev has a composed 49-45 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The Kazakhstani’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Vilnius.
Denis has an aggregate 13-4 win-loss record in 2022, 13-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lugano Challenger
Denis has never competed in this tournament before.
Aldin Setkic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-9 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 14-18 | 10-10 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-24 | 4-3 | 16-17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 1-2 | 14-16 | 11-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 2021 | 39-28 | 11-8 | 23-15 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 |
Ranked no. 364, Setkic reached the qualifications after defeating Yanki Erel 4-6 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications against Erel, Setkic recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-4). During the match Setkic scored 93 points vs Erel’s 81. Setkic was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about serving, Setkic managed to score 11 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Aldin Setkic lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Setkic put 67% of his first serves in, winning 82% (45/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (11/27) on the 2nd serve. Aldin broke Erel 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Aldin has an aggregate 6-6 win-loss record in 2022, 6-5 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Yevseyev | Setkic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 30 |
| Pts | 120-116 | 93-81 |
| Total Points | 236 | 174 |
| Winners | 38 | 45 |
| %Winners | 32% | 48% |
Both Yevseyev and Setkic played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Denis Yevseyev conceded 1 set, while Aldin Setkic dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Yevseyev and Setkic have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Yevseyev played 2 games more than Setkic. Denis scored 38 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, The Bosnian bagged 45 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Yevseyev | Setkic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 11 |
| 1st in | 56/100 | 55/82 |
| %1st in | 56% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 38/56 | 45/55 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 23/44 | 11/27 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 41% |
Yevseyev recorded 7 aces . Setkic made 11 aces . Yevseyev won 68% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Setkic won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Yevseyev | Setkic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/15 | 4/8 |
| % Converted | 27% | 50% |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 |
| Saved | 5 | 2 |
| % Saved | 63% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
The Kazakhstani broke his opponent 4 times with a 27% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani lost his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Aldin broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Setkic conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded.
| Yevseyev | |||
| Q1 Janowicz | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 120-116 | 120-116 | |
| Total points | 236 | 236 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 56/100 | 56/100 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 38/56 | 38/56 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/44 | 23/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/15 | 4/15 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Setkic | |||
| Q1 Erel | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 93-81 | 93-81 | |
| Total points | 174 | 174 | |
| Winners | 45 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 55/82 | 55/82 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 45/55 | 45/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/27 | 11/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Thomas FabbianoFabbiano – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (3-7) – H2H and prediction
- Marius CopilCopil – Dennis NovakNovak (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ruben BemelmansBemelmans – Gijs BrouwerBrouwer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mirza BasicBasic – Mats MoraingMoraing (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert – Filip HoranskyHoransky (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Aldin SetkicSetkic (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lucas MiedlerMiedler – Yunseong ChungChung (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Michael GeertsGeerts – Dan AddedAdded (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Andrea ArnaboldiArnaboldi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pavel KotovKotov – Radu AlbotAlbot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kacper ZukZuk – Cedrik-Marcel StebeStebe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maxime CressyCressy – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Otto VirtanenVirtanen – Jakub PaulPaul (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jonas ForejtekForejtek – (0-0) – H2H and prediction