Alison Riske and Naomi Osaka will face off in the 4th round of the Miami Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.34
Alison Riske -> 3.52
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Prediction and head to head Alison Riske vs. Naomi Osaka
This will be the 3rd time that Alison Riske and Naomi Osaka square off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Osaka won 6-4 6-0 in the 3rd round in Beijing back in 2019.
Highlights Naomi Osaka vs Alison Riske – Beijing 03-October-2019
Alison Riske
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-21 | 15-14 | 2-3 | 1-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-16 | 7-9 | 0-2 | 7-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-8 | 6-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 36-24 | 22-18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 14-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 50, Riske got to the 4th round after beating Jil Teichmann 7-65 6-3, Alize Cornet 6-2 6-2 and Ann Li 6-2 3-6 6-3.
In the 3rd round, The American defeated Li (6-2 3-6 6-3). During the match, Riske scored 91 points vs Li’s 82. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Riske scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and she committed only 1 double fault. Alison Riske lost the serve 5 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Riske put 71% of her first serves in, winning 58% (35/60) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (12/25) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Li 7 times after converting 41% of her break points (7/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alison has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points she played.
Riske has a good record in the last 10 years having won 54% of her matches (242-205). 9-6 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Riske has a composed 134-123 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The American’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Adelaide.
The American has a compiled 9-6 win-loss record in 2022, 9-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Naomi Osaka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-14 | 7-6 | 5-5 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 14-9 | 13-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-6 | 16-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-3 | 16-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 77, Naomi got to the 4th round after beating Astra Sharma 6-3 6-4, Angelique Kerber 6-2 6-3 and Karolina Muchova w/o.
In the 3rd round, The Japanese defeated Muchova (w/o). During the match Osaka and Muchova scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 50 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Naomi was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
About the serving games, Osaka wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Naomi Osaka conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Osaka hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points she played.
Osaka’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Melbourne.
Osaka has a composed 8-2 win-loss record in 2022, 8-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Riske | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 64 | 36 |
| Pts | 230-189 | 133-88 |
| Total Points | 419 | 221 |
| Winners | 95 | 51 |
| %Winners | 41% | 38% |
Riske played 3 matches while Osaka competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Alison Riske lost 1 set while Naomi Osaka hasn’t dropped a set so far. Riske has played 3 sets more than Osaka (7 vs 4). Therefore, Riske played 28 games more than Osaka. Alison scored 95 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Osaka managed to score 51 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Riske | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 4 |
| 1st in | 149/220 | 56/100 |
| %1st in | 68% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 95/149 | 51/56 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 91% |
| 2nd pts | 39/71 | 28/44 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 64% |
Riske fired 3 aces (1 per match). Osaka struck 8 aces (4 per match). Riske won 64% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Osaka won 91% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Riske | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 5 |
| Converted | 14/30 | 5/18 |
| % Converted | 47% | 28% |
| Conceded | 21 | 2 |
| Saved | 14 | 2 |
| % Saved | 67% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 0 |
Riske broke her opponents 14 times with a 47% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Naomi broke her opponents 5 times with a 28% conversion rate. The Japanese was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Riske | |||||
| R1 Belen Teichmann |
R2 Cornet |
R3 Li |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-3 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 16 | 26 | 64 | |
| pts | 77-62 | 62-45 | 91-82 | 230-189 | |
| Total points | 139 | 107 | 173 | 419 | |
| Winners | 36 | 24 | 35 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 39% | 38% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 50/75 | 39/60 | 60/85 | 149/220 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 65% | 71% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 36/50 | 24/39 | 35/60 | 95/149 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 62% | 58% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 14/21 | 12/25 | 39/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 67% | 48% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/8 | 7/17 | 14/30 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 50% | 41% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 | 9 | 21 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5/5 | 4/9 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 100% | 44% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | |
| Osaka | |||||
| R1 Sharma |
R2 Kerber |
R3 Muchova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | – | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | – | 36 | |
| pts | 72-49 | 61-39 | – | 133-88 | |
| Total points | 121 | 100 | – | 221 | |
| Winners | 27 | 24 | – | 51 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% | – | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 6 | – | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | |
| 1st in | 29/49 | 27/51 | – | 56/100 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 53% | – | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 27/29 | 24/27 | – | 51/56 | |
| % 1st pts | 93% | 89% | – | 91% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/20 | 14/24 | – | 28/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 58% | – | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | – | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/11 | 3/7 | – | 5/18 | |
| Converted % | 18% | 43% | – | 28% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | – | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | – | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLWWLWL Tennis Scores in Miami
- Cori GauffGauff – Shuai ZhangZhang (7-61 7-5) – See score progression
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (2-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Shelby RogersRogers (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Madison BrengleBrengle (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Lauren DavisDavis (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Elena RybakinaRybakina (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (6-2 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (w/o) – See score progression
- Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (7-5 6-74 6-4) – See score progression
- Belinda BencicBencic – Heather WatsonWatson (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Vera ZvonarevaZvonareva (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (w/o) – See score progression
- Daria SavilleSaville – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-0 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Kaia KanepiKanepi (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Alison RiskeRiske – Ann LiLi (6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (6-2 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Elena RybakinaRybakina (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (2-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Lauren DavisDavis (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Shuai ZhangZhang (7-6(1) 7-5) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Madison BrengleBrengle (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Belinda BencicBencic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daria GavrilovaGavrilova – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alison RiskeRiske – Naomi OsakaOsaka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Ons JabeurJabeur (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-1) – H2H and prediction
