H2H, PREDICTION Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula | Miami odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Miami. Rybakina and Pegula will play each other in the 3rd round of the Miami Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Jessica Pegula

Elena Rybakina and Jessica Pegula will square off in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on BUTCH BUCHHOLZ. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.71
Jessica Pegula -> 2.19

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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Jessica Pegula

There is no head to head record between Elena Rybakina and Jessica Pegula since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Elena Rybakina

Elena Rybakina
Elena Rybakina

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
5
High
3
LWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 6-2 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 43-11 23-5 12-2 2-2 6-2 0-0
2023 47-15 31-11 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0

Ranked no. 18, Rybakina reached the 3rd round after defeating Elena Gabriela Ruse 6-4 7-5.

In the 2nd round, The Kazakhstani had a good straight sets win against Gabriela Ruse (6-4 7-5). During the match, Rybakina scored 82 points vs Gabriela Ruse’s 70. Elena was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rybakina bagged 7 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve 4 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 51% of her first serves in, winning 69% (25/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (14/34) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Gabriela Ruse 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).

Rybakina has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 68% of her matches (213-100). 10-4 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has an aggregate88-47 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

Rybakina’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Adelaide.

Elena has an aggregate 11-4 win-loss record in 2022, 10-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Rybakina
Miami
Rybakina's Record

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula
Jessica Pegula

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
6
High
3
LWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 5-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 21, the American got to the 3rd round after beating Sloane Stephens 6-1 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Jessica had a good straight sets win against Stephens (6-1 6-4). During the match Pegula scored 70 points vs Stephens’s 51. Pegula was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

About the serving games, Pegula bagged 6 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 61% of her first serves in, winning 65% (24/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the 2nd serve. Jessica broke Stephens 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).

Jessica has an aggregate 8-6 win-loss record in 2022, 8-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021. See her history.

Pegula
Miami
Pegula's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Rybakina
J.Pegula
1h:44
1h:44
Time on court​
1h:17
1h:17
1h:44
1h:44
Last match​
1h:17
1h:17
1
1
Match played
1
1
22
22
Games Played​
17
17
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
82
82
Total points​
70
70
82
82
Avg point​
70
70
25
25
Winners
24
24
25
25
Avg Winners​
24
24
30%
30%
Ratio winners
34%
34%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
6
6
7
7
Avg Aces
6
6
3
3
Double Faults
5
5
3
3
Avg Double Faults
5
5
25/36
25/36
1st won total​
24/37
24/37
69%
69%
1st won %
65%
65%
14/34
14/34
2nd won total​
14/24
14/24
41%
41%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
6/10
6/10
BP won
5/8
5/8
6/10
6/10
Avg BP won
5/8
5/8
!
60%
60%
Won
!
63%
63%
7
7
Conceded
6
6
7
7
Avg Conceded
6
6
4
4
Broken
1
1
4
4
Avg Broken
1
1
3
3
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rybakina Pegula
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 22 17
Pts 82-70 70-51
Total Points 152 121
Winners 25 24
%Winners 30% 34%

Both Rybakina and Pegula played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rybakina and Pegula have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Rybakina played 5 games more than Pegula. Rybakina scored 25 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 24 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rybakina Pegula
Aces 7 6
Avg per match 7 6
1st in 36/70 37/61
%1st in 51% 61%
1st pts 25/36 24/37
%1st pts 69% 65%
2nd pts 14/34 14/24
%2nd pts 41% 58%

Rybakina bagged 7 aces . Pegula recorded 6 aces . Rybakina won 69% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Pegula won 65% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rybakina Pegula
Won 6 5
Converted 6/10 5/8
% Converted 60% 63%
Conceded 7 6
Saved 3 5
% Saved 43% 83%
Times Broken 4 1

Rybakina broke her opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Elena conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded. Pegula broke her opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Jessica conceded her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
R2
Gabriela Ruse
Total
Score 6-4 7-5
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 22 22
pts 82-70 82-70
Total points 152 152
Winners 25 25
%Winners 30% 30%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 36/70 36/70
% 1st in 51% 51%
1st pts 25/36 25/36
% 1st pts 69% 69%
2nd pts 14/34 14/34
% 2nd pts 41% 41%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/10 6/10
Converted % 60% 60%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 3/7 3
Saved % 43% 43%
Times Broken 4 4
Pegula
R2
Stephens
Total
Score 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 70-51 70-51
Total points 121 121
Winners 24 24
%Winners 34% 34%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 37/61 37/61
% 1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 24/37 24/37
% 1st pts 65% 65%
2nd pts 14/24 14/24
% 2nd pts 58% 58%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/8 5/8
Converted % 63% 63%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 5/6 5
Saved % 83% 83%
Times Broken 1 1

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Rybakina
LWWWLWWW
Pegula
LWWLWWW
2025 2024 2023
6 - 2
5 - 2
6-2
Hard
5-2

Tennis Scores in Miami

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