Elena Rybakina and Jessica Pegula will square off in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on BUTCH BUCHHOLZ. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.71
Jessica Pegula -> 2.19
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Jessica Pegula
There is no head to head record between Elena Rybakina and Jessica Pegula since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Elena Rybakina
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 6-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, Rybakina reached the 3rd round after defeating Elena Gabriela Ruse 6-4 7-5.
In the 2nd round, The Kazakhstani had a good straight sets win against Gabriela Ruse (6-4 7-5). During the match, Rybakina scored 82 points vs Gabriela Ruse’s 70. Elena was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rybakina bagged 7 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve 4 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 51% of her first serves in, winning 69% (25/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (14/34) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Gabriela Ruse 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Rybakina has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 68% of her matches (213-100). 10-4 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has an aggregate88-47 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Rybakina’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Adelaide.
Elena has an aggregate 11-4 win-loss record in 2022, 10-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Jessica Pegula
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 5-2 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, the American got to the 3rd round after beating Sloane Stephens 6-1 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Jessica had a good straight sets win against Stephens (6-1 6-4). During the match Pegula scored 70 points vs Stephens’s 51. Pegula was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Pegula bagged 6 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 61% of her first serves in, winning 65% (24/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the 2nd serve. Jessica broke Stephens 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Jessica has an aggregate 8-6 win-loss record in 2022, 8-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Rybakina | Pegula |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 1 |
Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
Tot Games | 22 | 17 |
Pts | 82-70 | 70-51 |
Total Points | 152 | 121 |
Winners | 25 | 24 |
%Winners | 30% | 34% |
Both Rybakina and Pegula played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rybakina and Pegula have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Rybakina played 5 games more than Pegula. Rybakina scored 25 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 24 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Rybakina | Pegula |
---|---|---|
Aces | 7 | 6 |
Avg per match | 7 | 6 |
1st in | 36/70 | 37/61 |
%1st in | 51% | 61% |
1st pts | 25/36 | 24/37 |
%1st pts | 69% | 65% |
2nd pts | 14/34 | 14/24 |
%2nd pts | 41% | 58% |
Rybakina bagged 7 aces . Pegula recorded 6 aces . Rybakina won 69% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Pegula won 65% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Rybakina | Pegula |
---|---|---|
Won | 6 | 5 |
Converted | 6/10 | 5/8 |
% Converted | 60% | 63% |
Conceded | 7 | 6 |
Saved | 3 | 5 |
% Saved | 43% | 83% |
Times Broken | 4 | 1 |
Rybakina broke her opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Elena conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded. Pegula broke her opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Jessica conceded her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded.
Rybakina | |||
R2 Gabriela Ruse |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 7-5 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
pts | 82-70 | 82-70 | |
Total points | 152 | 152 | |
Winners | 25 | 25 | |
%Winners | 30% | 30% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 7 | 7 | |
Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
1st in | 36/70 | 36/70 | |
% 1st in | 51% | 51% | |
1st pts | 25/36 | 25/36 | |
% 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
2nd pts | 14/34 | 14/34 | |
% 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 6 | 6 | |
Converted | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
Saved | 3/7 | 3 | |
Saved % | 43% | 43% | |
Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
Pegula | |||
R2 Stephens |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-1 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
pts | 70-51 | 70-51 | |
Total points | 121 | 121 | |
Winners | 24 | 24 | |
%Winners | 34% | 34% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 6 | 6 | |
Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
1st in | 37/61 | 37/61 | |
% 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
1st pts | 24/37 | 24/37 | |
% 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
2nd pts | 14/24 | 14/24 | |
% 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 5 | 5 | |
Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Head 2 Head
Tennis Scores in Miami
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Belinda BencicBencic – Heather WatsonWatson (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (7-5 6-74 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daria SavilleSaville – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-0 1-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Vera ZvonarevaZvonareva (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alison RiskeRiske – Ann LiLi (6-2 3-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lauren DavisDavis – Petra KvitovaKvitova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Shelby RogersRogers (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Shuai ZhangZhang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison BrengleBrengle – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Belinda BencicBencic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daria GavrilovaGavrilova – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alison RiskeRiske – Naomi OsakaOsaka (1-1) – H2H and prediction