Fabio Fognini and Nick Kyrgios will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nick Kyrgios who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Nick Kyrgios is the pick to win this match.
Nick Kyrgios -> 1.184
Fabio Fognini -> 5.05

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Prediction and head to head Fabio Fognini vs. Nick Kyrgios

This will be the 2nd time that Fabio Fognini and Nick Kyrgios play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kyrgios (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Kyrgios won 6-3 6-3 in the 3rd round in Miami back in 2018.

Fabio Fognini

Fabio Fognini

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
188
High
9
LLLLLLWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 4-15 1-3 3-8 0-0 0-4 0-0
2024 35-28 7-10 23-12 2-4 3-2 0-0
2023 28-23 0-8 23-12 5-3 0-0 0-0
2022 24-26 10-9 12-12 2-4 0-1 0-0
2021 22-24 12-12 7-8 0-2 3-2 0-0

Ranked no. 34, Fognini reached the 3rd round after beating Taro Daniel 6-71 6-2 7-65.

In the 2nd round against Daniel, Fognini recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-71 6-2 7-65). During the match, Fognini scored 113 points vs Daniel’s 106. Fognini was quite aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Talking about the service games, Fognini struck 9 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Fabio Fognini lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Fognini put 62% of his first serves in, winning 70% (50/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (21/44) on the 2nd serve. Fognini broke Daniel 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).

Fognini has a positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (287-209). 3-2 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Fognini has an overall 97-80 match record in the last years on hard.

Fabio’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Rio de Janeiro.

Fabio has a composed 7-4 win-loss record in 2022, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Miami
Fognini's Record

Nick Kyrgios

Nick Kyrgios

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
659
High
13
LWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 1-4 1-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 37-10 23-6 2-1 0-0 12-3 0-0
2021 7-8 5-6 0-0 0-1 2-1 0-0

Ranked no. 102, the Australian reached the 3rd round after beating Adrian Mannarino 7-63 6-3 and Andrey Rublev 6-3 6-0.

In the 2nd round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Rublev (6-3 6-0). During the match Kyrgios scored 57 points vs Rublev’s 36. Kyrgios was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.

About the serving games, Kyrgios fired 10 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Nick Kyrgios lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kyrgios put 80% of his first serves in, winning 70% (30/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (5/11) on the 2nd serve. Kyrgios broke Rublev 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nick hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

Kyrgios has a composed 6-2 win-loss record in 2022, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2016 and 2017. See his history.

Miami
Kyrgios's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

F.Fognini
N.Kyrgios
2h:51
2h:51
Time on court​
2h:24
2h:24
!
2h:51
2h:51
Last match​
!
0h:52
0h:52
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
34
34
Games Played​
37
37
3
3
Set played​​
4
4
113
113
Total points​
132
132
113
113
Avg point​
66
66
50
50
Winners
71
71
50
50
Avg Winners​
35.5
35.5
44%
44%
Ratio winners
54%
54%
-- Serve --
9
9
Aces
22
22
9
9
Avg Aces
!
11
11
7
7
Double Faults
4
4
!
7
7
Avg Double Faults
2
2
50/71
50/71
1st won total​
71/93
71/93
70%
70%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
21/44
21/44
2nd won total​
13/28
13/28
48%
48%
2nd won %
46%
46%
-- Break Points --
6/10
6/10
BP won
6/9
6/9
6/10
6/10
Avg BP won
3/4.5
3/4.5
!
60%
60%
Won
!
67%
67%
12
12
Conceded
3
3
12
12
Avg Conceded
1.5
1.5
4
4
Broken
1
1
4
4
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
8
8
Saved
2
2

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Fognini Kyrgios
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 3 4
Tot Games 34 37
Pts 113-106 132-97
Total Points 219 229
Winners 50 71
%Winners 44% 54%

Fognini played 1 match while Kyrgios competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Fabio Fognini lost 1 set while Nick Kyrgios hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Fognini has played 1 set(s) less than Kyrgios (3 vs 4). Therefore, Fognini played 3 games less than Kyrgios. The Italian scored 50 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Kyrgios bagged 71 winners (54%).

Serve Performance

Serve Fognini Kyrgios
Aces 9 22
Avg per match 9 11
1st in 71/115 93/121
%1st in 62% 77%
1st pts 50/71 71/93
%1st pts 70% 76%
2nd pts 21/44 13/28
%2nd pts 48% 46%

Fognini bagged 9 aces . Kyrgios fired 22 aces (11 per match). Fognini won 70% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Kyrgios won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Fognini Kyrgios
Won 6 6
Converted 6/10 6/9
% Converted 60% 67%
Conceded 12 3
Saved 8 2
% Saved 67% 67%
Times Broken 4 1

The Italian broke his opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Fognini surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Nick broke his opponents 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. Kyrgios conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Fognini
R2
Daniel
Total
Score 6-71 6-2 7-65
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 34 34
pts 113-106 113-106
Total points 219 219
Winners 50 50
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 9 9
Double Faults 7 7
1st in 71/115 71/115
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 50/71 50/71
% 1st pts 70% 70%
2nd pts 21/44 21/44
% 2nd pts 48% 48%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/10 6/10
Converted % 60% 60%
Conceded 12 12
Saved 8/12 8
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 4 4
Kyrgios
R1
Mannarino
R2
Rublev
Total
Score 7-63 6-3 6-3 6-0
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 22 15 37
pts 75-61 57-36 132-97
Total points 136 93 229
Winners 41 30 71
%Winners 55% 53% 54%
SERVE
Aces 12 10 22
Double Faults 4 0 4
1st in 50/67 43/54 93/121
% 1st in 75% 80% 77%
1st pts 41/50 30/43 71/93
% 1st pts 82% 70% 76%
2nd pts 8/17 5/11 13/28
% 2nd pts 47% 45% 46%
Breaks
Won 1 5 6
Converted 1/2 5/7 6/9
Converted % 50% 71% 67%
Conceded 0 3 3
Saved 0/0 2/3 2
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 0 1 1

Tennis Scores in Miami

Upcoming matches in the draw