Flavio Cobolli and Daniel Michalski will square off in the final of the Zadar Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 12:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Flavio Cobolli who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Flavio Cobolli is the pick to win this match.
Flavio Cobolli -> 1.75
Daniel Michalski -> 2.08

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Prediction and head to head Flavio Cobolli vs. Daniel Michalski

There is no head to head record between Flavio Cobolli and Daniel Michalski since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Flavio Cobolli

Flavio Cobolli

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
22
High
17
WLLWLWLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-29 9-13 15-6 4-7 6-3 0-0
2024 43-29 26-13 10-9 4-3 3-4 0-0
2023 56-36 10-6 43-23 3-6 0-1 0-0
2022 35-34 6-4 24-21 5-8 0-1 0-0
2021 46-30 5-4 39-21 2-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 165 (career-high), Flavio got to the final after beating Nino Serdarusic 1-6 6-4 6-1

, Dino Prizmic 2-6 7-5 6-2, Eduard Esteve Lobato 6-1 7-5 and Manuel Guinard 6-2 3-6 6-3.

In the semifinal, The Italian defeated Guinard (6-2 3-6 6-3). During the match, Cobolli scored 97 points vs Guinard’s 82. Flavio was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Cobolli managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Flavio Cobolli lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Cobolli put 61% of his first serves in, winning 65% (35/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (20/35) on the 2nd serve. Cobolli broke Guinard 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Cobolli has surrendered 3 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Cobolli has a winning match record in the last 5 years having won 58% of his matches (68-50). 8-2 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Cobolli has a composed53-31 win-loss record in the last 5 years on clay.

Flavio’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Roseto Degli Abruzzi 1 Challenger and the Zadar Challenger.

The Italian has an overall 12-7 win-loss record in 2022, 8-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Zadar Challenger

Zadar Challenger
Cobolli's Record

Daniel Michalski

Daniel Michalski

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
256
High
243
LLWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 51-29 5-3 46-26 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 39-26 1-6 36-19 2-1 0-0 0-0
2023 40-25 4-6 36-18 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 51-24 0-0 51-24 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 47-25 0-3 47-20 0-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 337 (career-high), the Pole got to the final after beating Josip Simundza 6-2 6-1, Mathieu Perchicot 7-5 3-6 6-2, Mili Poljicak 6-2 4-6 7-5, Nerman Fatic 7-5 6-1, Dalibor Svrcina 6-3 6-1 and Carlos Sanchez Jover 3-6 6-2 6-2.

In the semifinal against Sanchez Jover, The Pole recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-2 6-2). During the match Michalski scored 93 points vs Sanchez Jover’s 79. Daniel was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about serving, Michalski was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniel Michalski lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Michalski put 58% of his first serves in, winning 65% (34/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (18/37) on the 2nd serve. Michalski broke Sanchez Jover 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Daniel started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Michalski’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Cairo.

Daniel has a composed 22-3 win-loss record in 2022, 22-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Zadar Challenger

Daniel has never competed in this tournament before.

Zadar Challenger
Michalski's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

F.Cobolli
D.Michalski
8h:21
8h:21
Time on court​
11h:39
11h:39
!
2h:16
2h:16
Last match​
!
2h:20
2h:20
4
4
Match played
!
6
6
97
97
Games Played​
134
134
11
11
Set played​​
15
15
344
344
Total points​
488
488
86
86
Avg point​
81.3
81.3
123
123
Winners
171
171
30.8
30.8
Avg Winners​
28.5
28.5
36%
36%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
3
3
1
1
Avg Aces
0.5
0.5
10
10
Double Faults
11
11
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
1.8
1.8
123/192
123/192
1st won total​
171/260
171/260
64%
64%
1st won %
66%
66%
75/137
75/137
2nd won total​
88/160
88/160
55%
55%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
19/42
19/42
BP won
35/68
35/68
4.8/10.5
4.8/10.5
Avg BP won
5.8/11.3
5.8/11.3
45%
45%
Won
!
51%
51%
32
32
Conceded
30
30
8
8
Avg Conceded
5
5
11
11
Broken
16
16
2.8
2.8
Avg Broken
2.7
2.7
21
21
Saved
14
14

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Cobolli Michalski
Match played 4 6
Tot Set 11 15
Tot Games 97 134
Pts 344-305 488-387
Total Points 649 875
Winners 123 171
%Winners 36% 35%

Cobolli played 4 matches while Michalski competed in 6 matches. Michalski started his run from the qualifications while Cobolli had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Flavio Cobolli dropped 3 sets, while Daniel Michalski surrendered 3 sets. Cobolli has played 4 set(s) less than Michalski (11 vs 15). Therefore, Cobolli played 37 games less than Michalski. Cobolli scored 123 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Michalski fired 171 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Cobolli Michalski
Aces 4 3
Avg per match 1 0.5
1st in 192/329 260/420
%1st in 58% 62%
1st pts 123/192 171/260
%1st pts 64% 66%
2nd pts 75/137 88/160
%2nd pts 55% 55%

Cobolli bagged 4 aces (1 per match). Michalski scored 3 aces (0.5 per match). Cobolli won 64% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Michalski won 66% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Cobolli Michalski
Won 19 35
Converted 19/42 35/68
% Converted 45% 51%
Conceded 32 30
Saved 21 14
% Saved 66% 47%
Times Broken 11 16

Flavio broke his opponents 19 times with a 45% conversion rate. Flavio dropped his serve 11 times and he saved 66% of the break points that he conceded. Michalski broke his opponents 35 times with a 51% conversion rate. Michalski conceded his serve 16 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded.

Cobolli
R1
Serdarusic
R2
Prizmic
1/4
Esteve Lobato
1/2
Guinard
Total
Score 1-6 6-4 6-1 2-6 7-5 6-2 6-1 7-5 6-2 3-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 2 3 11
Tot Games 24 28 19 26 97
pts 87-79 92-92 68-52 97-82 344-305
Total points 166 184 120 179 649
Winners 32 40 16 35 123
%Winners 37% 43% 24% 36% 36%
SERVE
Aces 0 1 1 2 4
Double Faults 3 1 2 4 10
1st in 54/88 60/100 24/52 54/89 192/329
% 1st in 61% 60% 46% 61% 58%
1st pts 32/54 40/60 16/24 35/54 123/192
% 1st pts 59% 67% 67% 65% 64%
2nd pts 20/34 19/40 16/28 20/35 75/137
% 2nd pts 59% 48% 57% 57% 55%
Breaks
Won 4 4 6 5 19
Converted 4/12 4/6 6/13 5/11 19/42
Converted % 33% 67% 46% 45% 45%
Conceded 13 6 3 10 32
Saved 10/13 3/6 1/3 7/10 21
Saved % 77% 50% 33% 70% 58%
Times Broken 3 3 2 3 11
Michalski
Q1
Simundza
Q3
Perchicot
R1
Poljicak
R2
Fatic
1/4
Svrcina
1/2
Sanchez
Total
Score 6-2 6-1 7-5 3-6 6-2 6-2 4-6 7-5 7-5 6-1 6-3 6-1 3-6 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 3 2 2 3 15
Tot Games 15 29 30 19 16 25 134
pts 54-29 107-98 98-86 67-48 69-47 93-79 488-387
Total points 83 205 184 115 116 172 875
Winners 20 28 32 24 33 34 171
%Winners 37% 26% 33% 36% 48% 37% 35%
SERVE
Aces 1 1 0 1 0 0 3
Double Faults 2 4 2 0 1 2 11
1st in 26/39 44/78 53/91 38/59 47/64 52/89 260/420
% 1st in 67% 56% 58% 64% 73% 58% 62%
1st pts 20/26 28/44 32/53 24/38 33/47 34/52 171/260
% 1st pts 77% 64% 60% 63% 70% 65% 66%
2nd pts 8/13 21/34 20/38 14/21 7/17 18/37 88/160
% 2nd pts 62% 62% 53% 67% 41% 49% 55%
Breaks
Won 6 6 7 5 5 6 35
Converted 6/11 6/18 7/10 5/13 5/8 6/8 35/68
Converted % 55% 33% 70% 38% 63% 75% 51%
Conceded 3 5 6 3 4 9 30
Saved 2/3 1/5 1/6 1/3 3/4 6/9 14
Saved % 67% 20% 17% 33% 75% 67% 70%
Times Broken 1 4 5 2 1 3 16

Upcoming matches in the draw