Belinda Bencic and Heather Watson will play each other in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on GRANDSTAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Belinda Bencic who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Belinda Bencic is the pick to win this match.
Belinda Bencic -> 1.31
Heather Watson -> 3.58

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Prediction and head to head Belinda Bencic vs. Heather Watson

This will be the 2nd time that Belinda Bencic and Heather Watson fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Watson (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Watson won 7-5 6-4 in the 1st round in Indian Wells back in 2014.

Belinda Bencic

Belinda Bencic

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
11
High
4
WWWWWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-17 31-12 3-3 0-0 5-2 0-0
2024 8-2 0-0 0-0 8-2 0-0 0-0
2023 31-13 24-10 4-2 0-0 3-1 0-0
2022 42-18 13-9 13-4 10-2 6-3 0-0
2021 37-20 22-9 5-5 5-3 5-3 0-0

Ranked no. 28, the Swiss reached the 3rd round after beating Marta Kostyuk 6-3 6-1.

In the 2nd round, The Swiss had a good straight sets win against Kostyuk (6-3 6-1). During the match, Bencic scored 66 points vs Kostyuk’s 40. Bencic was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Regarding the service games, Bencic struck 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Belinda Bencic was quite effective on serve to win 82% (23/28) of her 1st serve and 82% (9/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Swiss broke Kostyuk 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).

Bencic has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (303-167). 4-4 on hard in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bencic has a composed 145-84 record in the last years on hard.

Bencic has a compiled 6-5 win-loss record in 2022, 4-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Miami
Bencic's Record

Heather Watson

Heather Watson

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
267
High
38
LLLLLWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-18 9-10 0-2 0-1 5-5 0-0
2024 26-20 16-11 1-4 8-2 1-3 0-0
2023 32-25 18-13 2-4 6-3 6-5 0-0
2022 29-26 14-13 4-6 6-3 5-4 0-0
2021 11-21 6-13 0-3 1-1 4-4 0-0

Ranked no. 115, Watson reached the 3rd round after beating Arantxa Rus 6-75 7-5 6-4 and Elina Svitolina 4-6 6-3 7-64.

In the 2nd round against Svitolina, Watson recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-64). During the match Watson scored 107 points vs Svitolina’s 90. The Brit was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about serving, Watson scored 7 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Heather Watson lost the serve 6 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Watson put 63% of her first serves in, winning 68% (42/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (18/36) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Svitolina 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brit has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Heather has an overall 9-7 win-loss record in 2022, 9-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2016. See her history.

Miami
Watson's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

B.Bencic
H.Watson
1h:08
1h:08
Time on court​
!
6h:04
6h:04
1h:08
1h:08
Last match​
!
2h:38
2h:38
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
16
16
Games Played​
67
67
2
2
Set played​​
6
6
66
66
Total points​
229
229
66
66
Avg point​
114.5
114.5
23
23
Winners
92
92
23
23
Avg Winners​
46
46
35%
35%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
12
12
3
3
Avg Aces
6
6
1
1
Double Faults
4
4
1
1
Avg Double Faults
2
2
23/28
23/28
1st won total​
92/150
92/150
!
82%
82%
1st won %
61%
61%
9/11
9/11
2nd won total​
35/73
35/73
!
82%
82%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
4/9
4/9
BP won
15/23
15/23
4/9
4/9
Avg BP won
7.5/11.5
7.5/11.5
44%
44%
Won
!
65%
65%
0
0
Conceded
27
27
0
0
Avg Conceded
13.5
13.5
0
0
Broken
13
13
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
6.5
6.5
0
0
Saved
14
14

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Bencic Watson
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 6
Tot Games 16 67
Pts 66-40 229-204
Total Points 106 433
Winners 23 92
%Winners 35% 40%

Bencic played 1 match while Watson competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Heather Watson dropped 2 sets while Belinda Bencic hasn’t conceded a set so far. Bencic has played 4 set(s) less than Watson (2 vs 6). Therefore, Bencic played 51 games less than Watson. The Swiss scored 23 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Heather fired 92 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Bencic Watson
Aces 3 12
Avg per match 3 6
1st in 28/39 150/223
%1st in 72% 67%
1st pts 23/28 92/150
%1st pts 82% 61%
2nd pts 9/11 35/73
%2nd pts 82% 48%

Bencic made 3 aces . Watson bagged 12 aces (6 per match). Bencic won 82% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 82% of the points. On the other side, Watson won 61% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Bencic Watson
Won 4 15
Converted 4/9 15/23
% Converted 44% 65%
Conceded 0 27
Saved 0 14
% Saved 0% 52%
Times Broken 0 13

Belinda broke her opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Swiss pretty solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. Heather broke her opponents 15 times with a 65% conversion rate. Heather conceded her serve 13 times and she saved 52% of the break points that she conceded.

Bencic
R2
Kostyuk
Total
Score 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 66-40 66-40
Total points 106 106
Winners 23 23
%Winners 35% 35%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 28/39 28/39
% 1st in 72% 72%
1st pts 23/28 23/28
% 1st pts 82% 82%
2nd pts 9/11 9/11
% 2nd pts 82% 82%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/9 4/9
Converted % 44% 44%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Watson
R1
Rus
R2
Svitolina
Total
Score 6-75 7-5 6-4 4-6 6-3 7-64
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 35 32 67
pts 122-114 107-90 229-204
Total points 236 197 433
Winners 50 42 92
%Winners 41% 39% 40%
SERVE
Aces 5 7 12
Double Faults 3 1 4
1st in 88/125 62/98 150/223
% 1st in 70% 63% 67%
1st pts 50/88 42/62 92/150
% 1st pts 57% 68% 61%
2nd pts 17/37 18/36 35/73
% 2nd pts 46% 50% 48%
Breaks
Won 9 6 15
Converted 9/12 6/11 15/23
Converted % 75% 55% 65%
Conceded 16 11 27
Saved 9/16 5/11 14
Saved % 56% 45% 101%
Times Broken 7 6 13

Tennis Scores in Miami

Upcoming matches in the draw