Belinda Bencic and Heather Watson will play each other in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on GRANDSTAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Belinda Bencic who should win in 2 sets.
Belinda Bencic -> 1.31
Heather Watson -> 3.58
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Prediction and head to head Belinda Bencic vs. Heather Watson
This will be the 2nd time that Belinda Bencic and Heather Watson fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Watson (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Watson won 7-5 6-4 in the 1st round in Indian Wells back in 2014.
Belinda Bencic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-17 | 31-12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-13 | 24-10 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-18 | 13-9 | 13-4 | 10-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-20 | 22-9 | 5-5 | 5-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 28, the Swiss reached the 3rd round after beating Marta Kostyuk 6-3 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The Swiss had a good straight sets win against Kostyuk (6-3 6-1). During the match, Bencic scored 66 points vs Kostyuk’s 40. Bencic was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bencic struck 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Belinda Bencic was quite effective on serve to win 82% (23/28) of her 1st serve and 82% (9/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Swiss broke Kostyuk 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Bencic has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (303-167). 4-4 on hard in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bencic has a composed 145-84 record in the last years on hard.
Bencic has a compiled 6-5 win-loss record in 2022, 4-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Heather Watson
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-18 | 9-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-20 | 16-11 | 1-4 | 8-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-25 | 18-13 | 2-4 | 6-3 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-26 | 14-13 | 4-6 | 6-3 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-21 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 115, Watson reached the 3rd round after beating Arantxa Rus 6-75 7-5 6-4 and Elina Svitolina 4-6 6-3 7-64.
In the 2nd round against Svitolina, Watson recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-64). During the match Watson scored 107 points vs Svitolina’s 90. The Brit was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Watson scored 7 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Heather Watson lost the serve 6 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Watson put 63% of her first serves in, winning 68% (42/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (18/36) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Svitolina 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Heather has an overall 9-7 win-loss record in 2022, 9-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2016. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bencic | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 67 |
| Pts | 66-40 | 229-204 |
| Total Points | 106 | 433 |
| Winners | 23 | 92 |
| %Winners | 35% | 40% |
Bencic played 1 match while Watson competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Heather Watson dropped 2 sets while Belinda Bencic hasn’t conceded a set so far. Bencic has played 4 set(s) less than Watson (2 vs 6). Therefore, Bencic played 51 games less than Watson. The Swiss scored 23 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Heather fired 92 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bencic | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 6 |
| 1st in | 28/39 | 150/223 |
| %1st in | 72% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 23/28 | 92/150 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 61% |
| 2nd pts | 9/11 | 35/73 |
| %2nd pts | 82% | 48% |
Bencic made 3 aces . Watson bagged 12 aces (6 per match). Bencic won 82% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 82% of the points. On the other side, Watson won 61% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bencic | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 15 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 15/23 |
| % Converted | 44% | 65% |
| Conceded | 0 | 27 |
| Saved | 0 | 14 |
| % Saved | 0% | 52% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 13 |
Belinda broke her opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Swiss pretty solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. Heather broke her opponents 15 times with a 65% conversion rate. Heather conceded her serve 13 times and she saved 52% of the break points that she conceded.
| Bencic | |||
| R2 Kostyuk | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 66-40 | 66-40 | |
| Total points | 106 | 106 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 28/39 | 28/39 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 23/28 | 23/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/11 | 9/11 | |
| % 2nd pts | 82% | 82% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Watson | ||||
| R1 Rus | R2 Svitolina | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 7-5 6-4 | 4-6 6-3 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 32 | 67 | |
| pts | 122-114 | 107-90 | 229-204 | |
| Total points | 236 | 197 | 433 | |
| Winners | 50 | 42 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 39% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 88/125 | 62/98 | 150/223 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 63% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 50/88 | 42/62 | 92/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 57% | 68% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/37 | 18/36 | 35/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 50% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 9 | 6 | 15 | |
| Converted | 9/12 | 6/11 | 15/23 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 55% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 16 | 11 | 27 | |
| Saved | 9/16 | 5/11 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 45% | 101% | |
| Times Broken | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
Tennis Scores in Miami
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Sloane StephensStephens (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Clara BurelBurel (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Lauren DavisDavis – Storm SandersSanders (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Madison BrengleBrengle – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-3 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Shelby RogersRogers – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-3 7-60) – See score progression
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Maria SakkariSakkari (4-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Dalma GalfiGalfi (5-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Qiang WangWang (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova – Elise MertensMertens (7-5 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Alison RiskeRiske – Alize CornetCornet (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (3-6 7-5 6-0) – See score progression
- Vera ZvonarevaZvonareva – Tamara ZidansekZidansek (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Ann LiLi – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (6-0 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Anna BondarBondar (6-3 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Heather WatsonWatson – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (4-6 6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Belinda BencicBencic – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Daria SavilleSaville – Harmony TanTan (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (3-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Stefanie VoegeleVoegele (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Magda LinetteLinette (7-61 6-2) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Angelique KerberKerber (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Bjorn FratangeloFratangelo – Akira SantillanSantillan (7-63 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert – Adrian Menendez-MaceirasMenendez-Maceiras (7-5 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Ivo KarlovicKarlovic – Denis KudlaKudla (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Dennis NovikovNovikov – Frank DancevicDancevic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Tobias KamkeKamke – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (7-65 7-5) – See score progression
- John IsnerIsner – Samuel GrothGroth (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Matthew EbdenEbden – Lukas LackoLacko (6-1 7-62) – See score progression
- Peter GojowczykGojowczyk – Konstantin KravchukKravchuk (2-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-3 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova – Elise MertensMertens (7-5 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Sloane StephensStephens (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Madison KeysKeys (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Maria SakkariSakkari (4-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Clara BurelBurel (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Qiang WangWang (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Madison BrengleBrengle – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – Heather WatsonWatson (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova – Daria GavrilovaGavrilova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ann LiLi – Alison RiskeRiske (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Naomi OsakaOsaka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Vera ZvonarevaZvonareva (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lauren DavisDavis – Petra KvitovaKvitova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Shelby RogersRogers (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Shuai ZhangZhang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison BrengleBrengle – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-1) – H2H and prediction