Maria Sakkari and Paula Badosa Gibert will face off in the semifinal of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 8:30 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa Gibert who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Paula Badosa Gibert is the pick to win this match.
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 1.83
Maria Sakkari -> 2.06
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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Paula Badosa Gibert
This will be the 2nd time that Maria Sakkari and Paula Badosa Gibert fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Badosa (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Badosa won 7-6(4) 6-4 in the R in Guadalajara back in 2021.
Highlights Paula Badosa Gibert vs Maria Sakkari – Guadalajara 13-November-2021
Maria Sakkari
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-16 | 12-7 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-11 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6 (career-high), the Greek got to the semifinal after beating Katerina Siniakova 6-3 7-5, Petra Kvitova 6-3 6-0, Daria Saville 4-1 ret. and Elena Rybakina 7-5 6-4.
In the quarter, The Greek had a good straight sets win against Rybakina (7-5 6-4). During the match, Sakkari scored 74 points vs Rybakina ‘s 64. The Greek was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sakkari managed to score 6 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Maria Sakkari was quite effective on serve to win 76% (29/38) of her 1st serve and 59% (19/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Greek broke Rybakina 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sakkari hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 57% of the points she played.
Sakkari has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 62% of her matches (345-211). 11-3 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sakkari has an overall164-105 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Sakkari’s best result of the season was getting to the final in St. Petersburg.
Sakkari has a compiled 15-4 win-loss record in 2022, 11-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Paula Badosa Gibert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-19 | 26-11 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-9 | 7-6 | 6-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Paula got to the semifinal after beating Tereza Martincova 6-2 7-64, Sara Sorribes Tormo 7-64 6-1, Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-4 6-4 and Veronika Kudermetova 6-3 6-2.
In the quarter, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Kudermetova (6-3 6-2). During the match Badosa scored 65 points vs Kudermetova’s 47. Paula was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Badosa managed to score 5 aces and she was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Paula Badosa Gibert was very efficient on serve to win 75% (27/36) of her 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Kudermetova 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Badosa hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in in Sydney where she defeated Barbora Krejcikova in the final 6-3 4-6 7-6(4).
Badosa has a compiled 13-4 win-loss record in 2022, 13-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, she won this tournament once in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sakkari | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 63 | 78 |
| Pts | 235-175 | 299-234 |
| Total Points | 410 | 533 |
| Winners | 95 | 117 |
| %Winners | 40% | 39% |
Both Sakkari and Badosa played 4 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sakkari and Badosa have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Sakkari played 15 games less than Badosa. The Greek scored 95 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Badosa blasted 117 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sakkari | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st in | 118/212 | 161/260 |
| %1st in | 56% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 95/118 | 117/161 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 51/94 | 54/99 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 55% |
Sakkari fired 18 aces (4.5 per match). Badosa struck 15 aces (3.8 per match). Sakkari won 81% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 73% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sakkari | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 15 |
| Converted | 12/24 | 15/39 |
| % Converted | 50% | 38% |
| Conceded | 12 | 18 |
| Saved | 9 | 13 |
| % Saved | 75% | 72% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
The Greek broke her opponents 12 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Greek surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. Paula broke her opponents 15 times with a 38% conversion rate. Badosa conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 72% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sakkari | ||||||
| R2 Siniakova |
R3 Kvitova |
R4 Gavrilova |
1/4 Rybakina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-3 6-0 | 4-1 ret. | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 15 | 5 | 22 | 63 | |
| pts | 74-56 | 59-35 | 28-20 | 74-64 | 235-175 | |
| Total points | 130 | 94 | 48 | 138 | 410 | |
| Winners | 29 | 24 | 13 | 29 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 41% | 46% | 39% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 38/68 | 25/45 | 17/29 | 38/70 | 118/212 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | 59% | 54% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 24/25 | 13/17 | 29/38 | 95/118 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 96% | 76% | 76% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/30 | 10/20 | 6/12 | 19/32 | 51/94 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 50% | 50% | 59% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/7 | 1/3 | 3/6 | 12/24 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 57% | 33% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 4/5 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 100% | 100% | 80% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Badosa | ||||||
| R2 Martincova |
R3 Sorribes Tormo |
R4 Annie Fernandez |
1/4 Kudermetova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-64 | 7-64 6-1 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 78 | |
| pts | 76-59 | 78-61 | 80-67 | 65-47 | 299-234 | |
| Total points | 135 | 139 | 147 | 112 | 533 | |
| Winners | 32 | 21 | 37 | 27 | 117 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 27% | 46% | 42% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 41/65 | 37/65 | 47/75 | 36/55 | 161/260 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 57% | 63% | 65% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 32/41 | 21/37 | 37/47 | 27/36 | 117/161 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 57% | 79% | 75% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 15/28 | 13/28 | 13/19 | 54/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | 46% | 68% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 6/11 | 3/12 | 3/8 | 15/39 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 55% | 25% | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 18 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 6/9 | 5/6 | 1/1 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 67% | 83% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWLLL
Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- David FerrerFerrer – Fernando VerdascoVerdasco (6-1 6-73 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexandr DolgopolovDolgopolov – Andrey KuznetsovKuznetsov (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Simona HalepHalep – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Maria SakkariSakkari (1-0) – H2H and prediction
