Rafael Nadal is 3 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Rafael has defeated Sebastian Korda 6-2 1-6 7-63, Daniel Evans 7-5 6-3 and Reilly Opelka 7-63 7-65 to reach the quarter where he will face Nick Kyrgios.

Draw Prediction with head to head records

This is Rafael Nadal’s projected draw alongside with the presumable opponents in BNP Paribas Open. Rafael has a a positive record (11-4) against the presumable opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Sebastian Korda (38) – 6-2 1-6 7-63
R3 – Daniel Evans (29) – 7-5 6-3
R4 – Reilly Opelka (17) – 7-63 7-65
1/4 – Nick Kyrgios (132) – H2H 5-3
1/2 – Cameron Norrie (12) – H2H 4-0
or Carlos Alcaraz (19) – H2H 1-0
Fin – Andrey Rublev (7) – H2H 2-1
or Taylor Harry Fritz (20) – H2H 1-0
Latest Updated
Draw

1/4 – Nick Kyrgios’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-3 for Rafael Nadal

37 - 10win/loss in 2025

Rank
22
High
13
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 37-10 23-6 2-1 0-0 12-3 0-0
2021 7-8 5-6 0-0 0-1 2-1 0-0
2020 6-3 6-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 23-15 18-9 1-2 2-1 2-3 0-0
2018 25-14 15-8 1-1 2-2 7-3 0-0
2017 32-18 25-9 4-4 3-3 0-2 0-0
2016 39-15 21-9 9-4 5-0 4-2 0-0
2015 24-19 10-8 8-6 3-2 3-3 0-0

Nick Kyrgios has a 4-1 record in 2022, he played all matches on hard. As for the previous 12 years, the Australian has a 146-73 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Kyrgios didn’t play in this event.

H2H Rafael Nadal vs. Nick Kyrgios

This contest would be 9th time that Rafael Nadal and Nick Kyrgios play each other. The head to head is 5-3 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), but they are 2-2 on hard in major tournaments.

1/2 – Cameron Norrie’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-0 for Rafael Nadal

49 - 26win/loss in 2025

Rank
14
High
8
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 49-26 26-11 11-5 6-7 6-3 0-0
2021 56-25 25-11 16-5 9-7 6-2 0-0
2020 14-15 9-8 1-3 4-4 0-0 0-0
2019 31-28 19-13 7-9 3-3 2-3 0-0
2018 32-31 20-15 7-7 3-5 2-4 0-0
2017 38-16 32-8 0-0 4-3 2-5 0-0
2016 32-11 27-7 0-0 5-4 0-0 0-0
2015 14-6 7-0 0-0 5-3 2-3 0-0

Cameron Norrie has a 13-6 win-loss record in 2022, 11-5 on hard. Talking about the previous 10 years, the Brit has a 185-80 record on hard (Click here

to see full career record). Norrie won 9 of his last 10 matches.

His best result of this season was winning the title in Delray Beach where he overcame Reilly Opelka in the final 7-6(1) 7-6(4).

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Brit won the event after defeating Nikoloz Basilashvili 3-6 6-4 6-1.

H2H Rafael Nadal vs. Cameron Norrie

This contest would be 5th time that Rafael Nadal and Cameron Norrie clash against each other. The head to head is 4-0

for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Rafael Nadal could compete against Carlos Alcaraz. Their H2H record is 1-0 for Rafael Nadal.

Final – Andrey Rublev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Rafael Nadal

51 - 20win/loss in 2025

Rank
8
High
5
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 51-20 19-7 14-6 18-6 0-1 0-0
2021 53-23 25-10 9-5 12-6 7-2 0-0
2020 41-10 17-4 10-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 54-27 28-14 8-5 16-5 2-3 0-0
2018 21-24 10-12 2-3 9-9 0-0 0-0
2017 48-33 19-11 11-11 12-9 6-2 0-0
2016 38-33 6-7 12-14 19-10 1-2 0-0
2015 28-24 6-5 12-10 9-7 1-1 0-1

Andrey Rublev has a 17-2 win-loss record in 2022, 10-1 on hard. In connection to the previous 10 years, Rublev has a 133-68 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Russian will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 10 matches winning streak.

His most significant result of the season was conquering the title in Marseille where he overcame Felix Auger Aliassime in the final 7-5 7-6(4), and in Dubai where he beat Jiri Vesely in the final 6-3 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Russian was overcome by Tommy Paul in the 3rd round 6-4 3-6 7-5.

H2H Rafael Nadal vs. Andrey Rublev

This contest would be 4th time that Rafael Nadal and Andrey Rublev face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Rafael Nadal could compete against Taylor Harry Fritz. Their head to head record is 1-0 for Rafael Nadal.