[UPDATED QF]. Prediction, H2H of Cameron Norrie’s draw vs Alcaraz, Nadal, Rublev to win Indian Wells

Indian Wells draw preview with H2H - Cameron Norrie may need to overcome Carlos Alcaraz, Rafael Nadal, Andrey Rublev to conquer the competition in the BNP Paribas Open.

Cameron Norrie Stats info

Cameron Norrie is 3 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Cameron has defeated Pedro Martinez Portero 6-3 6-3, Nikoloz Basilashvili 3-6 6-3 6-1 and Jenson Brooksby 6-2 6-4 to reach the quarter where he will face Carlos Alcaraz.

Draw Prediction with head to head records

This is Cameron Norrie’s projected draw alongside with the plausible opposition in BNP Paribas Open. Cameron has a losing record (1-6) with the plausible opposition.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Pedro Martinez Portero (49) – 6-3 6-3
R3 – Nikoloz Basilashvili (18) – 3-6 6-3 6-1
R4 – Jenson Brooksby (43) – 6-2 6-4
1/4 – Carlos Alcaraz (19) – H2H 0-1
1/2 – Rafael Nadal (4) – H2H 0-4
or Nick Kyrgios (132) – H2H 2-1
Fin – Andrey Rublev (7) – H2H 1-1
or Taylor Harry Fritz (20) – H2H 4-5
Norrie
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Draw

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1/4 – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

57 - 13win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 11-1 win-loss record in 2022, 5-1 on hard. Regarding the last 4 years, Alcaraz has a 33-11 record on hard. Alcaraz will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 9 matches winning streak.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Rio de Janeiro where he beat Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 6-4 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Carlos was defeated by Andy Murray in the 2nd round 5-7 6-3 6-2.

H2H Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This would be the 2nd time that Cameron Norrie and Carlos Alcaraz square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

1/2 – Rafael Nadal’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-0 for Rafael Nadal

39 - 8win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 39-8 23-3 10-2 1-3 5-0 0-0
2021 24-5 5-2 19-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 27-7 13-3 9-1 5-3 0-0 0-0
2019 58-7 21-2 21-3 11-1 5-1 0-0
2018 45-4 14-2 26-1 0-0 5-1 0-0
2017 68-12 38-8 24-1 3-2 3-1 0-0
2016 39-14 18-10 21-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2015 61-20 20-9 26-6 10-3 5-2 0-0

Rafael Nadal has a 18-0 record in 2022, he played all matches on hard. Regarding the last 20 years, Rafael has a 436-106 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Spaniard will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 10 matches winning streak.

His best achievement of the current season was conquering the competition in Melbourne where he defeated Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3, at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 2-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 7-5, and in Acapulco where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Rafael didn’t play in this tournament.

H2H Cameron Norrie vs. Rafael Nadal

This contest would be 5th time that Cameron Norrie and Rafael Nadal clash against each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Cameron Norrie could take on Nick Kyrgios. Their H2H record is 2-1 for Cameron Norrie.

Final – Andrey Rublev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 1-1

51 - 20win/loss in 2025

Rank
8
High
5
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 51-20 19-7 14-6 18-6 0-1 0-0
2021 53-23 25-10 9-5 12-6 7-2 0-0
2020 41-10 17-4 10-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 54-27 28-14 8-5 16-5 2-3 0-0
2018 21-24 10-12 2-3 9-9 0-0 0-0
2017 48-33 19-11 11-11 12-9 6-2 0-0
2016 38-33 6-7 12-14 19-10 1-2 0-0
2015 28-24 6-5 12-10 9-7 1-1 0-1

Andrey Rublev has a 17-2 win-loss record in 2022, 10-1 on hard. As for the previous 10 years, the Russian has a 133-68 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Russian will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 10 matches winning streak.

His most significant achievement of this current year was conquering the tournament in Marseille where he beat Felix Auger Aliassime in the final 7-5 7-6(4), and in Dubai where he defeated Jiri Vesely in the final 6-3 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Andrey capitulated to Tommy Paul in the 3rd round 6-4 3-6 7-5.

H2H Cameron Norrie vs. Andrey Rublev

This contest would be 3rd time that Cameron Norrie and Andrey Rublev fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 for Norrie on hard in major tournaments.

However, Cameron Norrie could fight against Taylor Harry Fritz. Their H2H is 5-4 for Taylor Harry Fritz.