Rafael Nadal and Nick Kyrgios will play each other in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.34
Nick Kyrgios -> 3.52
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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Nick Kyrgios
This will be the 9th time that Rafael Nadal and Nick Kyrgios fight against each other. The head to head is 5-3 for Nadal (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Nadal won 6-3 3-6 7-6(6) 7-6(4) in the 4th round in at the Australian Open back in 2020.
Highlights Rafael Nadal vs Nick Kyrgios – Australian Open 27-January-2020
Rafael Nadal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-5 | 2-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-8 | 23-3 | 10-2 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-5 | 5-2 | 19-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-7 | 13-3 | 9-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Rafael got to the quarter after defeating Sebastian Korda 6-2 1-6 7-63, Daniel Evans 7-5 6-3 and Reilly Opelka 7-63 7-65.
In the 4th round, Nadal had a good straight sets win against Opelka (7-63 7-65). During the match, Nadal scored 93 points vs Opelka’s 78. Rafael was very aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nadal bagged 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Rafael Nadal was quite efficient on serve to win 84% (43/51) of his 1st serve and 73% (16/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Nadal broke Opelka once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nadal has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Nadal has a fantastic record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (463-87). 18-0 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nadal has a composed 194-43 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Melbourne where he defeated Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3 and in at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 2-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 7-5 and in in Acapulco where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-4.
Nadal has an aggregate 18-0 win-loss record in 2022, 18-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Nick Kyrgios
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-10 | 23-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 7-8 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 23-15 | 18-9 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 132, Nick reached the quarter after defeating Sebastian Baez 6-4 6-0, Federico Delbonis 6-2 6-2, Casper Ruud 6-4 6-4 and Jannik Sinner w/o.
In the 4th round, The Australian defeated Sinner (w/o). During the match Kyrgios and Sinner scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 4 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Nick was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
Talking about serving, Kyrgios couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Nick Kyrgios conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nick hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Nick has an aggregate 4-1 win-loss record in 2022, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nadal | Kyrgios |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 75 | 52 |
| Pts | 256-221 | 184-133 |
| Total Points | 477 | 317 |
| Winners | 110 | 89 |
| %Winners | 43% | 48% |
Both Nadal and Kyrgios played 3 matches. At the moment, Rafael Nadal conceded 1 set while Nick Kyrgios hasn’t dropped a set so far. Nadal has played 1 set more than Kyrgios (7 vs 6). Therefore, Nadal played 23 games more than Kyrgios. Rafael scored 110 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian fired 89 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nadal | Kyrgios |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 28 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 9.3 |
| 1st in | 152/237 | 108/161 |
| %1st in | 64% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 110/152 | 89/108 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 52/85 | 26/53 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 49% |
Nadal managed to score 15 aces (5 per match). Kyrgios made 28 aces (9.3 per match). Nadal won 72% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Kyrgios won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nadal | Kyrgios |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 10 |
| Converted | 8/15 | 10/17 |
| % Converted | 53% | 59% |
| Conceded | 19 | 9 |
| Saved | 13 | 9 |
| % Saved | 68% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 0 |
Nadal broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. Nadal lost his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded. Nick broke his opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. Nick was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 9 break points.
| Nadal | |||||
| R2 Korda |
R3 Evans |
R4 Opelka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 1-6 7-63 | 7-5 6-3 | 7-63 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 21 | 26 | 75 | |
| pts | 95-90 | 68-53 | 93-78 | 256-221 | |
| Total points | 185 | 121 | 171 | 477 | |
| Winners | 37 | 30 | 43 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 44% | 46% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 5 | 3 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 61/98 | 40/66 | 51/73 | 152/237 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 61% | 70% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 37/61 | 30/40 | 43/51 | 110/152 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 75% | 84% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/37 | 17/26 | 16/22 | 52/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 65% | 73% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/4 | 1/5 | 8/15 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 75% | 20% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 4 | 4 | 19 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 3/4 | 3/4 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 75% | 75% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| Kyrgios | ||||||
| R1 Baez |
R2 Delbonis |
R3 Ruud |
R4 Sinner |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | – | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | 20 | – | 52 | |
| pts | 66-47 | 58-40 | 60-46 | – | 184-133 | |
| Total points | 113 | 98 | 106 | – | 317 | |
| Winners | 36 | 25 | 28 | – | 89 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 43% | 47% | – | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 12 | 9 | 7 | – | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | 4 | |
| 1st in | 46/62 | 28/47 | 34/52 | – | 108/161 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 60% | 65% | – | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 36/46 | 25/28 | 28/34 | – | 89/108 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 89% | 82% | – | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/16 | 10/19 | 12/18 | – | 26/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 25% | 53% | 67% | – | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 2 | – | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/7 | 2/2 | – | 10/17 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 57% | 100% | – | 59% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 0 | – | 9 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 5/5 | 0/0 | – | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | – | – | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWWLWL
Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Lloyd HarrisHarris (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alexander BublikBublik (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (7-63 7-5) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Tommy PaulPaul (7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- John IsnerIsner – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Steve JohnsonJohnson (7-67 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-4 2-6 7-62) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (4-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-74 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Benjamin BonziBonzi (7-65 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Daniel EvansEvans (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (5-3) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Cameron NorrieNorrie (1-0) – H2H and prediction
